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The Index Desk
The independent, cross-venue benchmark desk that turns prediction markets into named, ticker-coded standing indices — the VIX and Fear-and-Greed gauges for world events. Each publishes daily with a dated history, an audit of exactly which markets moved it, and a citable method. Free to quote with attribution — data, not advice.
10 of 12 benchmarks live · updated daily
Flagship · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
Rose 1.5 to 44.3 (Moderate), led by commodity-stress (24% leg) (new) +8.0; geopolitical-risk (47% leg) −4.3; recession-odds (29% leg) −2.2.
Biggest movers today
Geopolitical Risk
Election Heat
AI Race
Climate Risk
How much extreme-weather / disaster risk the market is pricing this season.
Culture Heat
Political Turmoil
How much political instability (resignations, shutdowns, ousters) the market is pricing.
Each index is a benchmark reading of market prices — not a W.E.T. forecast, not investment advice. Values can be quoted with attribution, a link, and the “as of” date. See any index's methodology for exactly how it is computed.