What we are building
The world’s first longitudinal dataset connecting human worldviews to market prices.
World Event Trading is an independent index, product, data, and media company built on prediction markets. Thousands of WET Indexes create a standardized coordinate system for competing worldviews. As markets resolve, WET measures which combinations of beliefs were early, calibrated, resilient, or consistently wrong.
- 01
Unifies markets — maps contracts from multiple venues to the same real-world events
- 02
Designs indexes — combines related markets into measurable, falsifiable worldviews
- 03
Personalizes the future — lets each user assemble selected indexes into a Worldview Portfolio
- 04
Builds the dataset — records how worldviews form, change, perform, and relate to later outcomes
The exchange is not the product. The individual contract is not the product. The worldview — and the longitudinal data created by tracking it — is the product.
The 5c(c) problem
Section 5c(c) of the Commodity Exchange Act lets registered venues self-certify new event contracts. Supply is expanding across independent systems — and that expansion is WET’s raw material, not its competition. It produces three structural gaps:
01
Event fragmentation
No consolidated tape connects equivalent contracts across venues. The same real-world event is priced in separate systems with different wording, rules, and resolution sources.
Canonical cross-venue event graph
02
Thesis fragmentation
Individual contracts price isolated outcomes, while people reason in broader beliefs about the economy, politics, technology, culture, climate, and global affairs.
Methodology-published WET Indexes
03
Identity fragmentation
No system records which combinations of those beliefs people held before outcomes occurred. After the event resolves, the belief is gone.
Immutable, time-stamped Worldview Portfolios
Why it compounds
Historical market prices can be purchased or reconstructed. Pre-outcome worldview selections cannot be recreated after the fact. Time is part of the moat.
Five layers compound: structural (venue fragmentation creates permanent demand for a neutral organizer), mathematical (the canonical ontology and its methodology history), longitudinal (belief data that cannot be backfilled), distribution (an owned non-sports media category rather than a rented audience), and trust (every index versioned, source-linked, and correction-capable).
Where we are
Now
Public beta
Open to anyone with an email. Sign in with a six-digit code, build a Worldview Portfolio, and it syncs across devices. Every index on this page is live and methodology-published.
Next
Product Hunt launch
The beta cohort is the launch audience. Portfolios built now become the first longitudinal belief records in the dataset — and they cannot be backfilled later.
Then
Raise
Institutional benchmark licensing, data feeds, and privacy-safe cohort intelligence are the commercial layer above the graph. Investor materials on request.
Join the public beta.
An email and a six-digit code — no password. Your Worldview Portfolio is saved against it, syncs across devices, and becomes part of the longitudinal record from the day you build it.
Or build one first ↓