Index performance

Every basket the desk has cultivated, with its tracked record since inception. Each level is the combined value of that index's real markets, marked daily at the two-sided mid and rebased to 1000.

131 baskets tracked2615 markets held206 settledsince 2026-08-01

Tracked baskets

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
IndexHorizonTrendLevelSince inception1d7dMax DDMarketsSettledHit rateDays
WCHICChicago Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1580.69+58.07%+24.54%+52.10%-23.9%7024
WBANKBank — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1210.28+21.03%0.94%+17.18%-8.9%28028
WARIAI RaceSlateStanding1192.63+19.26%1.47%1.00%-4.4%261090%45
WMEE3Meeting — Economics, inside two yearsSlateStanding1179.05+17.90%+0.12%+8.47%-3.9%49028
WOPE2Openai — Financials, inside two yearsSlateStanding1178.22+17.82%2.91%+1.06%-7.0%9028
WNEWYNew York Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1157.35+15.73%+3.01%+13.35%-6.4%14028
WJACKJacksonville Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1153.69+15.37%+3.28%+14.70%-2.9%6019
WPHILPhiladelphia Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1142.90+14.29%0.00%+6.60%-2.6%8028
WINFInflation WatchSlateMonthly1118.06+11.81%0.03%+2.71%-3.0%18785.7%45
WACHIAchieved — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1113.47+11.35%+1.47%4.26%-11.7%28028
WLOS2Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1103.37+10.34%+0.25%+7.51%-1.1%17028
WINTEInterest — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1092.67+9.27%0.04%+4.97%-2.9%26028
WKANSKansas City Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1091.59+9.16%+1.44%+7.10%-2.7%11028
WBUFFBuffalo Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1087.99+8.80%1.46%+1.53%-5.8%12028
WHIGHHigher — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1071.03+7.10%+1.06%+2.36%-11.3%35028
WSEA3Seattle Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1067.08+6.71%1.07%+11.09%-10.3%14028
WRELEReleased — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1066.15+6.62%0.04%+0.25%-5.2%11128
WREPURepublican — Elections, inside two weeksSlateWeekly1063.22+6.32%0.00%0.00%-5.3%10023
WSCORScore — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1057.26+5.73%+0.43%+2.55%-15.5%60028
WDAL2Inverse Dallas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1054.99+5.50%0.35%+4.33%-1.7%8025
WARIZArizona Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1052.21+5.22%3.22%+4.98%-10.4%16028
WMINNMinnesota Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1049.06+4.91%3.30%+4.08%-5.4%7019
WNEW2Inverse New England Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1041.13+4.11%+0.09%+0.33%-1.7%13028
WDET2Inverse Detroit Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1023.95+2.40%0.09%+2.05%-2.2%9028
WSCO2Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1019.04+1.90%0.92%+2.03%-4.0%60028
WDEMODemocratic — Elections, inside two yearsSlateStanding1018.94+1.89%+0.13%+2.54%-1.0%10012
WDEN2Inverse Denver Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1016.67+1.67%+0.04%+1.88%-1.3%10028
WTAMPTampa Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1016.54+1.65%+1.31%+0.40%-2.8%6019
WALTAltcoin HeatSlateMonthly1016.07+1.61%+0.32%+1.45%-6.6%34245
WWAS2Inverse Washington Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1015.45+1.55%0.19%0.34%-1.8%8024
WLASVLas Vegas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1012.79+1.28%7.79%6.35%-26.4%10028
WRACERace — Elections, inside six monthsSlateStanding1012.56+1.26%0.65%+0.38%-6.1%19028
WGRE2Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1011.77+1.18%3.19%+0.53%-4.2%6028
WTRUMTrump — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1011.71+1.17%+1.69%+0.45%-4.2%25012
WBTPBitcoin PathSlateMonthly1009.47+0.95%+1.21%+0.33%-10.5%23045
WCLE2Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1009.16+0.92%+0.78%+0.32%-2.5%7025
WACH2Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1008.60+0.86%1.95%+2.65%-6.1%28028
WHOU3Inverse Houston Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1007.97+0.80%+0.11%+1.26%-0.8%10028
WARTIArtist — Culture, inside six monthsSlateStanding1006.90+0.69%0.60%+3.48%-3.2%563028
WRAT4Rates — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly1006.21+0.62%0.00%3.78%-4.7%11128
WBALTBaltimore Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1004.14+0.41%+0.89%+3.28%-4.6%8028
WSOCSoccer HeatSlateDaily1003.94+0.39%0.00%0.00%-9.8%06861.8%45
WHIG2Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1001.74+0.17%1.98%+0.33%-6.4%35028
WCINCCincinnati Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1001.12+0.11%1.93%3.62%-9.1%9025
WLAS2Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1001.07+0.11%0.23%+2.26%-5.2%10028
WNEW4Inverse New York Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1000.65+0.06%0.26%0.76%-1.7%14028
WPIT2Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1000.000.00%+0.14%+1.54%-3.7%6028
WSENASenate — Elections, inside six monthsSlateStanding998.060.19%0.47%1.96%-2.0%69022
WTEN2Inverse Tennessee Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding997.750.23%0.18%+0.17%-1.9%8028
WDENVDenver Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding996.810.32%0.41%3.67%-4.9%10028
WHOUSHouse — Elections, inside two yearsSlateStanding994.830.52%+0.03%1.09%-1.3%15012
WMIN2Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding994.690.53%+1.33%0.15%-2.6%7019
WARI2Inverse Arizona Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding994.270.57%+0.32%0.34%-1.6%16028
WEGFEquity GreedSlateMonthly992.100.79%0.23%1.40%-3.6%25345
WEBIEarnings BeatSlateWeekly991.200.88%0.00%0.00%-1.4%28862.5%45
WMEE2Meeting — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly990.340.97%0.00%5.12%-21.3%24228
WPITTPittsburgh Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding989.651.04%1.27%30.99%-53.5%6028
WCIN2Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding988.041.20%+0.30%0.15%-2.7%9025
WSEA4Inverse Seattle Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding987.441.26%+0.03%2.57%-3.6%14028
WTAM2Inverse Tampa Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding986.091.39%0.71%0.44%-1.7%6019
WREP2Republican — Elections, inside two yearsSlateStanding984.531.55%0.16%2.03%-2.4%11012
WMIDMidterm ControlSlateMonthly980.791.92%+0.15%+1.14%-3.0%36045
WELWElection WeekSlateDaily978.202.18%0.00%0.00%-4.5%161172.7%45
WKAN2Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding974.132.59%0.94%2.19%-4.3%11028
WBAL2Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding974.002.60%0.13%2.99%-3.5%8028
WMIAMMiami Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding973.802.62%0.89%8.05%-11.5%12028
WSAN2Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding973.262.67%+0.17%1.17%-3.4%11028
WSEA2Seats — Elections, inside two weeksSlateWeekly969.533.05%+0.13%8.60%-9.2%13012
WMIA2Inverse Miami Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding966.763.32%0.43%0.33%-5.0%12028
WRAT3Rate — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly964.873.51%0.00%11.88%-12.9%50228
WJAC2Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding964.753.52%0.61%3.55%-3.8%6019
WGREEGreen Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding958.724.13%+4.26%3.91%-52.3%6028
WELE2Election — Politics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly957.184.28%0.13%4.11%-4.9%61021
WPHI2Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding956.734.33%0.01%4.11%-7.1%8028
WTENNTennessee Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding956.394.36%+0.25%3.76%-29.5%8028
WINT2Interest — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly955.884.41%0.00%4.34%-5.1%11128
WHOU2Houston Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding955.614.44%1.50%7.38%-7.6%10028
WMIDTMidterm — Elections, inside six monthsSlateStanding954.174.58%2.09%4.10%-4.7%45028
WRCIRecession OddsSlateMonthly950.774.92%0.59%+5.65%-12.9%13245
WCHI2Inverse Chicago Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding950.124.99%1.45%5.15%-5.3%7024
WYORKYork — Sports, inside six monthsSlateStanding941.175.88%+0.54%+1.85%-8.6%18028
WFAVFavorites ComboSlateDaily940.475.95%0.00%0.00%-22.0%14266.7%45
WPTIPolitical TurmoilSlateMonthly938.576.14%+1.06%3.63%-10.6%13045
WCHICulture HeatSlateMonthly938.436.16%+0.74%0.27%-10.0%44345
WPARLParliamentary — Elections, inside two monthsSlateMonthly936.896.31%0.02%2.23%-6.5%17028
WINC6Inverse Increases — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding934.216.58%0.06%5.82%-11.5%6028
WGOOGGoogle — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding927.507.25%+1.31%+6.66%-14.4%13028
WBUF2Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding926.197.38%1.18%6.40%-7.6%12028
WNEWENew England Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding921.257.88%1.83%4.23%-11.1%13028
WANTHAnthropic — Financials, inside six monthsSlateStanding914.838.52%1.46%0.31%-12.7%22128
WWASHWashington Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding911.978.80%+0.18%4.02%-9.3%8024
WRESEReserve — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding910.328.97%+0.36%2.89%-11.0%20028
WPRESPresident — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding907.749.23%0.33%3.94%-13.3%14028
WCAPTCapture — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding904.129.59%+0.01%0.90%-12.3%16128
WGEAGlobal EasingSlateMonthly903.409.66%+0.86%13.57%-20.9%14245
WAWDAwards RaceSlateMonthly899.7410.03%+0.04%2.21%-11.7%28837.5%45
WINC4Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly895.5510.44%0.00%0.03%-10.4%14028
WDETRDetroit Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding892.2710.77%3.73%9.90%-10.9%9028
WELECElection — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding889.2611.07%0.41%8.45%-14.7%13028
WOPENOpenai — Financials, inside six monthsSlateStanding883.3911.66%0.50%10.32%-15.9%17128
WRAT2Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding880.2011.98%0.09%6.27%-13.7%74128
WNFLGridiron FuturesSlateMonthly879.5812.04%+0.21%3.07%-12.4%251154.5%45
WCOUNCountry — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding879.0412.10%+0.54%3.42%-13.4%10028
WANGEAngeles — Sports, inside six monthsSlateStanding876.7512.33%0.54%9.25%-12.4%17028
WDALLDallas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding867.8113.22%+0.21%16.29%-18.8%8025
WSEATSeats — Elections, inside two monthsSlateMonthly866.9613.30%+0.10%2.67%-13.5%36128
WINC2Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding865.4313.46%+0.13%7.61%-15.4%26028
WTAYLTaylor Swift — Culture, inside six monthsSlateStanding853.5814.64%+0.52%1.37%-15.1%27028
WCDRClimate RiskSlateMonthly847.7415.23%+0.13%4.59%-19.4%11345
WLOSALos Angeles Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding836.5216.35%1.04%14.59%-16.9%17028
WALBUAlbum — Culture, inside six monthsSlateStanding831.0916.89%+0.63%9.13%-17.4%36028
WDCWWashington WeekSlateWeekly831.0516.89%+0.15%3.73%-17.0%11345
WFLAFlashpoint WatchSlateWeekly821.4217.86%0.08%+1.82%-21.6%111050%45
WFPIFed PathSlateMonthly776.9922.30%+1.05%23.91%-42.4%10045
WHIK2Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding772.9422.71%0.01%13.48%-22.8%17128
WCODECode Arena — Tech Science, inside two monthsSlateMonthly756.5524.35%0.71%6.82%-25.1%21028
WCLEVCleveland Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WCOSCommodity StressSlateWeekly00
WCGFCrypto GreedSlateMonthly00
WEHIElection HeatSlateStanding00
WFEDEFederal — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WGRIGeopolitical RiskSlateStanding00
WHIKEHike — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WINCRIncrease — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WINC3Increase — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly00
WINC5Increases — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WMEETMeeting — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WRATERate — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WSANFSan Francisco Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WSHISports HeatSlateDaily00
WSTWStorm WatchSlateDaily00

How to read this record

Each level starts at 1000 on the day that basket's book opened, and moves only with its markets' prices. Settled markets convert to cash at their payoff, so hit rate counts graded outcomes only — it is empty until a basket has settlements. Realized and unrealized results are reported separately on each basket page, never merged.

There is no backtest here, deliberately. These baskets were nominated from the market universe that exists today, so any simulated history would be hindsight-contaminated and survivorship-biased by construction. What is published is the forward record from a dated inception — short today, and the only version of this number worth trusting.

Hypothetical: marks are mid quotes before fees, spread and slippage, with no capacity assumed. The index is not directly investable and W.E.T. is not an exchange — every constituent links to the venue that lists it. Data, not advice.