Index performance

Every basket the desk has cultivated, with its tracked record since inception. Each level is the combined value of that index's real markets, marked daily at the two-sided mid and rebased to 1000.

131 baskets tracked2897 markets held193 settledsince 2026-08-01

Tracked baskets

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
IndexHorizonTrendLevelSince inception1d7dMax DDMarketsSettledHit rateDays
WARIAI RaceSlateStanding1203.44+20.34%+0.37%+1.22%-4.4%27988.9%37
WLASVLas Vegas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1191.17+19.12%+12.16%+17.08%-26.4%10020
WSCORScore — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1189.92+18.99%+3.18%+10.74%-5.5%60020
WCGFCrypto GreedSlateMonthly1165.54+16.55%1.61%4.23%-5.4%315100%37
WHIKEHike — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1151.26+15.13%+0.07%0.47%-3.0%18020
WACHIAchieved — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1149.39+14.94%+0.36%+2.19%-7.8%28020
WOPE2Openai — Financials, inside two yearsSlateStanding1142.10+14.21%2.35%+3.45%-7.0%9020
WRATERate — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1121.65+12.16%+0.26%+1.41%-1.1%75020
WRAT3Rate — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly1102.36+10.24%+0.01%0.25%-1.3%52020
WHIGHHigher — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1098.46+9.85%1.49%+1.28%-6.9%35020
WINFInflation WatchSlateMonthly1093.61+9.36%0.74%0.78%-2.9%19683.3%37
WMEETMeeting — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1082.20+8.22%+0.32%+1.31%-1.8%55020
WINC5Increases — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1081.63+8.16%+9.60%+11.92%-9.4%6020
WINCRIncrease — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1080.75+8.07%+1.23%+2.83%-2.9%26020
WMEE3Meeting — Economics, inside two yearsSlateStanding1071.60+7.16%0.07%+1.55%-3.0%49020
WPHILPhiladelphia Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1068.19+6.82%+3.21%+3.45%-1.3%8020
WRELEReleased — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding1066.73+6.67%+0.41%+1.06%-5.2%11120
WREPURepublican — Elections, inside two weeksSlateWeekly1063.22+6.32%0.00%+0.34%-5.3%10015
WDALLDallas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1061.12+6.11%+5.46%+5.16%-5.7%8017
WRAT4Rates — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly1052.13+5.21%0.01%0.29%-1.2%12020
WMEE2Meeting — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly1051.39+5.14%+0.03%14.97%-18.3%26020
WCHICChicago Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1041.77+4.18%0.13%0.35%-0.9%7016
WDENVDenver Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1034.83+3.48%+0.83%+1.17%-2.3%10020
WCINCCincinnati Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1034.08+3.41%+1.34%+1.69%-8.6%9017
WHOU2Houston Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1033.74+3.37%+3.14%+2.71%-2.4%10020
WRACERace — Elections, inside six monthsSlateStanding1027.33+2.73%0.44%+0.28%-6.1%19020
WBUFFBuffalo Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1026.12+2.61%+1.11%+0.35%-4.6%12020
WSEA4Inverse Seattle Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1023.67+2.37%+2.47%+2.16%-0.6%14020
WFEDEFederal — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1022.95+2.30%+0.40%+3.06%-2.9%56020
WINTEInterest — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1022.64+2.26%+1.93%0.58%-2.9%26020
WNEWYNew York Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1022.32+2.23%+4.35%+4.18%-6.4%14020
WINC6Inverse Increases — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding1020.42+2.04%1.28%0.71%-2.4%6020
WSEA2Seats — Elections, inside two weeksSlateWeekly1020.43+2.04%+6.15%-4.7%1304
WBTPBitcoin PathSlateMonthly1018.98+1.90%+1.07%+2.04%-10.5%23037
WSENASenate — Elections, inside six monthsSlateStanding1018.25+1.83%+0.62%+1.55%-0.7%69014
WNEW2Inverse New England Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1017.89+1.79%+1.35%+1.64%-1.0%13020
WWAS2Inverse Washington Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1014.04+1.40%0.29%+0.94%-1.8%8016
WKANSKansas City Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1013.00+1.30%+0.44%+0.81%-1.3%11020
WMIAMMiami Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1012.04+1.20%+5.21%+1.28%-11.5%12020
WALTAltcoin HeatSlateMonthly1011.46+1.15%2.29%3.07%-3.8%35137
WTAMPTampa Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1011.06+1.11%0.27%+1.15%-0.7%6011
WDAL2Inverse Dallas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1009.06+0.91%0.29%+0.08%-1.7%8017
WNEW3Inverse New York Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1008.90+0.89%+0.36%+1.41%-1.3%14020
WNEWENew England Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1007.91+0.79%+1.04%0.12%-4.9%13020
WLOSALos Angeles Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1006.62+0.66%+0.96%+0.95%-1.5%17020
WKAN2Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1004.71+0.47%+0.40%+0.63%-0.8%11020
WJACKJacksonville Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1004.37+0.44%+0.14%2.58%-2.9%6011
WBAL2Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1004.13+0.41%+0.10%+0.21%-0.2%8020
WINT2Interest — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly1004.10+0.41%0.07%+1.61%-3.0%12020
WSOCSoccer HeatSlateDaily1003.94+0.39%0.00%0.00%-9.8%06861.8%37
WGRE2Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1003.83+0.38%+0.44%+0.28%-4.2%6020
WSAN2Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1003.36+0.34%+0.25%+0.79%-0.9%11020
WDET2Inverse Detroit Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1003.21+0.32%+0.08%0.21%-2.2%9020
WEGFEquity GreedSlateMonthly1003.11+0.31%0.86%1.44%-2.8%25337
WLOS2Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1002.66+0.27%0.75%0.05%-0.8%17020
WARI2Inverse Arizona Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1002.36+0.24%+0.63%+0.71%-1.3%16020
WMINNMinnesota Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1002.41+0.24%2.48%0.16%-2.5%7011
WGREEGreen Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1001.66+0.17%0.58%+0.24%-49.2%6020
WJAC2Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1000.81+0.08%0.06%+0.56%-0.9%6011
WGEAGlobal EasingSlateMonthly1000.70+0.07%1.91%3.51%-14.7%15137
WCHI2Inverse Chicago Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding1000.52+0.05%+0.01%+0.22%-0.3%7016
WREP2Republican — Elections, inside two yearsSlateStanding1000.34+0.03%0.01%-0.0%1104
WHOUSHouse — Elections, inside two yearsSlateStanding999.890.01%0.06%-0.1%1504
WPHI2Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding998.050.19%0.22%0.24%-0.7%8020
WDEN2Inverse Denver Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding997.920.21%0.29%0.45%-1.2%10020
WMIDTMidterm — Elections, inside six monthsSlateStanding997.130.29%0.20%+0.01%-1.5%45020
WCLE2Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding996.370.36%1.57%1.56%-2.3%7017
WMIN2Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding996.380.36%+0.17%+0.03%-0.6%7011
WHOU3Inverse Houston Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding995.360.46%0.26%0.25%-0.7%10020
WBUF2Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding995.020.50%0.64%0.18%-1.6%12020
WDEMODemocratic — Elections, inside two yearsSlateStanding994.810.52%0.23%-0.6%1004
WHIG2Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding994.600.54%5.62%+0.72%-5.6%35020
WSANFSan Francisco Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding992.030.80%1.95%3.74%-3.7%11020
WEBIEarnings BeatSlateWeekly991.200.88%0.00%0.00%-1.4%28862.5%37
WTRUMTrump — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding990.700.93%+0.31%-1.2%2504
WTAM2Inverse Tampa Bay Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding990.510.95%+0.01%0.35%-1.0%6011
WDETRDetroit Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding990.210.98%+0.49%+1.44%-6.3%9020
WCIN2Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding989.551.05%0.94%1.08%-1.1%9017
WANGEAngeles — Sports, inside six monthsSlateStanding988.861.11%+1.05%+0.82%-2.5%17020
WTEN2Inverse Tennessee Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding988.571.14%0.93%1.34%-1.9%8020
WOPENOpenai — Financials, inside six monthsSlateStanding988.301.17%0.30%5.96%-6.0%17120
WACH2Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding987.431.26%5.68%+0.74%-5.7%28020
WELE2Election — Politics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly986.321.37%+1.78%+1.26%-4.4%61013
WARIZArizona Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding984.521.55%+2.32%+1.85%-10.4%16020
WLAS2Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding983.541.65%0.21%1.89%-3.7%10020
WMIA2Inverse Miami Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding980.701.93%0.40%2.28%-2.6%12020
WELWElection WeekSlateDaily978.202.18%0.00%0.00%-4.5%161172.7%37
WBANKBank — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding978.092.19%+2.18%+5.03%-8.9%28020
WMIDMidterm ControlSlateMonthly975.522.45%0.13%0.01%-2.9%36037
WWASHWashington Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding975.402.46%+1.54%2.22%-4.6%8016
WSCO2Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding975.042.50%3.69%1.58%-4.0%60020
WINC2Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding974.482.55%0.14%0.48%-4.6%26020
WARTIArtist — Culture, inside six monthsSlateStanding972.722.73%0.28%1.84%-3.2%563020
WBALTBaltimore Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding972.082.79%+1.03%+0.86%-4.3%8020
WPARLParliamentary — Elections, inside two monthsSlateMonthly971.592.84%+0.91%0.27%-3.9%17020
WPIT2Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding970.013.00%2.40%2.88%-3.7%6020
WPTIPolitical TurmoilSlateMonthly967.773.22%+0.15%+1.63%-10.6%13037
WELECElection — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding957.864.21%+1.00%+0.21%-9.8%13020
WFPIFed PathSlateMonthly956.084.39%2.73%6.38%-34.3%10037
WSEA3Seattle Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding947.965.20%4.47%3.42%-10.3%14020
WYORKYork — Sports, inside six monthsSlateStanding945.595.44%+1.31%2.06%-7.4%18020
WRAT2Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding944.005.60%+0.53%1.25%-6.1%75020
WFAVFavorites ComboSlateDaily940.475.95%0.00%0.00%-22.0%14266.7%37
WANTHAnthropic — Financials, inside six monthsSlateStanding940.115.99%2.24%2.25%-10.3%22120
WPRESPresident — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding939.826.02%0.12%3.43%-9.4%14020
WCHICulture HeatSlateMonthly936.306.37%1.47%2.81%-9.6%45237
WRESEReserve — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding932.866.71%1.24%0.98%-7.7%20020
WAWDAwards RaceSlateMonthly924.067.59%0.45%1.11%-9.0%33337
WALBUAlbum — Culture, inside six monthsSlateStanding915.508.45%0.53%0.22%-8.6%36020
WHIK2Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six monthsSlateStanding915.188.48%0.11%0.76%-8.5%18020
WCAPTCapture — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding913.338.67%1.48%2.34%-11.0%16120
WCOUNCountry — Politics, inside six monthsSlateStanding906.729.33%+0.68%1.50%-13.1%10020
WSEATSeats — Elections, inside two monthsSlateMonthly906.649.34%+0.22%3.42%-9.8%36120
WGOOGGoogle — Tech Science, inside six monthsSlateStanding902.439.76%+5.46%2.53%-14.4%13020
WRCIRecession OddsSlateMonthly900.329.97%+1.73%+1.89%-12.9%13237
WNFLGridiron FuturesSlateMonthly899.0710.09%+0.03%0.14%-10.5%251154.5%37
WINC4Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly896.3610.36%0.10%0.67%-10.4%14020
WCDRClimate RiskSlateMonthly895.5210.45%0.28%8.45%-15.2%11337
WDCWWashington WeekSlateWeekly870.9912.90%+0.10%+1.12%-15.8%11337
WTAYLTaylor Swift — Culture, inside six monthsSlateStanding863.7013.63%0.83%6.07%-13.6%27020
WCODECode Arena — Tech Science, inside two monthsSlateMonthly808.1319.19%2.05%0.61%-22.8%21020
WFLAFlashpoint WatchSlateWeekly798.4720.15%0.55%2.17%-21.6%111050%37
WCLEVCleveland Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WCOSCommodity StressSlateWeekly00
WEHIElection HeatSlateStanding00
WGRIGeopolitical RiskSlateStanding00
WINC3Increase — Economics, inside two monthsSlateMonthly00
WPITTPittsburgh Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding00
WSHISports HeatSlateDaily00
WSTWStorm WatchSlateDaily00
WTENNTennessee Football, inside six monthsSlateStanding00

How to read this record

Each level starts at 1000 on the day that basket's book opened, and moves only with its markets' prices. Settled markets convert to cash at their payoff, so hit rate counts graded outcomes only — it is empty until a basket has settlements. Realized and unrealized results are reported separately on each basket page, never merged.

There is no backtest here, deliberately. These baskets were nominated from the market universe that exists today, so any simulated history would be hindsight-contaminated and survivorship-biased by construction. What is published is the forward record from a dated inception — short today, and the only version of this number worth trusting.

Hypothetical: marks are mid quotes before fees, spread and slippage, with no capacity assumed. The index is not directly investable and W.E.T. is not an exchange — every constituent links to the venue that lists it. Data, not advice.