BenchmarkWETFRAG

W.E.T. Fragmentation Index

v2.0
1.49lvl 0.46

How far apart the venues are on the same question — the 5c(c) problem, indexed.

index level · base 100 (moving to 1,000 — consultation closes 2026-08-27) · WET Close 2026-09-09 · 27 days settled · 38 of 38 constituents provisional

Benchmark status, logic & track record →Published methodology v2.0Governance & restatement policy →Settlement history (JSON) →

WET Close · official print0/38 marked · close 2026-09-09
1.49+0.46ptson the day · direct print

settled under published methodology · checksum-chained

Basket performance

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
WET Close
1.49
Basis
direct print
Since inception
−0.79pts
1 day
+0.46pts
Constituents
38
Settled
0
Single venue
0
Provisional
38
Inception
2026-08-07
Weighting
equal
Marks
Consolidated mid
Days tracked
27

The mean absolute cross-venue price gap, in probability points ×100, published directly — no divisor, no chaining, no inception base. A percent change of a dispersion statistic is not a return, so only the absolute move is published.

Equal-weighted. A fragmentation reading asks how far apart venues are on a typical question, so weighting by liquidity would let the deepest handful of markets speak for the whole category.

A benchmark reading of prediction-market prices. The holdings below are the composition the published close was computed over, priced at the mid, before fees, spread and slippage. W.E.T. is not an exchange and never handles orders — every holding links to the venue that lists it. The index is not directly investable. Data, not advice.

Holdings · 38 markets

the settled composition · live marks are in the level above
MarketNowΔ
  • BTC ≥ $74,000 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 96%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $76,000 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 84%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $78,000 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 56%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $80,000 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 23%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $82,000 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 8%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $84,000 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 3%not yet marked
  • ETH ≥ $2,300 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 97%not yet marked
  • ETH ≥ $2,400 on 2026-09-11gemini + polymarket · close 82%not yet marked
  • ETH ≥ $2,500 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 36%not yet marked
  • ETH ≥ $2,600 on 2026-09-11gemini + polymarket · close 8%not yet marked
  • ETH ≥ $2,700 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 3%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $95 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 95%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $105 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 25%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $110 on 2026-09-11kalshi + polymarket · close 6%not yet marked
  • XRP ≥ $1.5 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 6%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $82,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 6%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $81,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 10%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $81,000 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 14%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $80,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 17%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $79,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 30%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $79,000 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 38%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $78,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 47%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $77,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 63%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $77,000 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 71%not yet marked
  • BTC ≥ $76,500 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 78%not yet marked
  • XRP ≥ $1.48 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 8%not yet marked
  • XRP ≥ $1.42 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 35%not yet marked
  • XRP ≥ $1.34 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 88%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $99 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 84%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $98 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 87%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $109 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 5%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $108 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 6%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $107 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 11%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $106 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 19%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $104 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 34%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $103 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 44%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $102 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 54%not yet marked
  • SOL ≥ $101 on 2026-09-11gemini + kalshi · close 64%not yet marked

A governed benchmark reading of prediction-market prices — free to quote with attribution and the “as of” date. Not a W.E.T. forecast, not advice, and never a performance claim. Any basket shown above is hypothetical, marked at mid, before fees, spread and slippage.