BenchmarkWETFRAG

W.E.T. Fragmentation Index

v2.0
1.33lvllast move 2026-09-22 · no direction is stated from a stale reading

How far apart the venues are on the same question — the 5c(c) problem, indexed.

index level · base 100 (moving to 1,000 — consultation closes 2026-08-27) · WET Close 2026-09-22 · 38 days settled · 53 of 53 constituents provisional

Benchmark status, logic & track record →Published methodology v2.0 →Governance & restatement policy →Settlement history (JSON) →

WET Close · official print0/40 marked · close 2026-09-22
1.33−0.38ptson the day · direct print

settled under published methodology · checksum-chained

Basket performance

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
WET Close
1.33
Basis
direct print
Since inception
−0.95pts
1 day
−0.38pts
Constituents
40
Settled
0
Single venue
0
Provisional
53
Inception
2026-08-07
Weighting
equal
Marks
Consolidated mid
Days tracked
38

The mean absolute cross-venue price gap, in probability points ×100, published directly — no divisor, no chaining, no inception base. A percent change of a dispersion statistic is not a return, so only the absolute move is published.

Equal-weighted. A fragmentation reading asks how far apart venues are on a typical question, so weighting by liquidity would let the deepest handful of markets speak for the whole category.

WETFRAG publishes 40 of the 53 constituents its 2026-09-22 level was computed over — the first 40 the settlement recorded, not a ranked selection, so these are not necessarily the largest. The remainder is real and priced but not written to the settlement row: a full daily roster at this width would be tens of megabytes a year. These holdings are a window on the index, not the index — figures computed from them alone would not reproduce the published level.

A benchmark reading of prediction-market prices. The holdings below are the composition the published close was computed over, priced at the mid, before fees, spread and slippage. W.E.T. is not an exchange and never handles orders — every holding links to the venue that lists it. The index is not directly investable. Data, not advice.

Holdings · 40 markets

the settled composition · live marks are in the level above
MarketNowΔ
  • BTC ≥ $80,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 98%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $82,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 93%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $84,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 80%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $86,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 54%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $88,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 26%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $90,000 on 2026-09-25kalshi + polymarket · close 11%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.4 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 95%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.5 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 77%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.6 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 40%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.7 on 2026-09-25kalshi + polymarket · close 16%not yet marked——↗
  • ETH ≥ $2,500 on 2026-09-25kalshi + polymarket · close 98%not yet marked——↗
  • ETH ≥ $2,600 on 2026-09-25gemini + polymarket · close 90%not yet marked——↗
  • ETH ≥ $2,700 on 2026-09-25kalshi + polymarket · close 67%not yet marked——↗
  • ETH ≥ $2,800 on 2026-09-25gemini + polymarket · close 32%not yet marked——↗
  • ETH ≥ $2,900 on 2026-09-25kalshi + polymarket · close 12%not yet marked——↗
  • SOL ≥ $110 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 89%not yet marked——↗
  • SOL ≥ $115 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 67%not yet marked——↗
  • SOL ≥ $120 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi + polymarket · close 37%not yet marked——↗
  • SOL ≥ $125 on 2026-09-25kalshi + polymarket · close 17%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $88,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 22%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $87,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 33%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $87,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 40%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $86,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 47%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $85,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 62%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $85,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 69%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $84,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 75%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $83,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 85%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $83,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 88%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $82,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 90%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $81,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 95%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $81,000 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 96%not yet marked——↗
  • BTC ≥ $80,500 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 97%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.64 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 26%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.58 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 47%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.56 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 55%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.54 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 63%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.52 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 70%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.48 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 82%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.44 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 91%not yet marked——↗
  • XRP ≥ $1.42 on 2026-09-25gemini + kalshi · close 94%not yet marked——↗

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A governed benchmark reading of prediction-market prices — free to quote with attribution and the “as of” date. Not a W.E.T. forecast, not advice, and never a performance claim. Any basket shown above is hypothetical, marked at mid, before fees, spread and slippage.