Everything you need to know about W.E.T. and prediction markets.
W.E.T. (World Event Trading) is a newsroom built specifically for prediction market traders. We provide market-native coverage of world events, connecting every story to the prediction markets that trade on its outcome.
Prediction markets are platforms where people can trade on the outcomes of future events. Participants buy and sell contracts based on their beliefs about what will happen, with prices reflecting the crowd's collective probability estimate.
We currently cover Kalshi (a CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (a crypto-based prediction market). We compare odds across both platforms to help traders identify divergences and opportunities.
When something is "priced in," it means the market has already incorporated that information or expectation into the current odds. If a piece of news doesn't move the market, it was likely already priced in.
A divergence occurs when the same event has different odds on different platforms (e.g., Kalshi shows 40% while Polymarket shows 35%). This could indicate an arbitrage opportunity or reflect platform-specific information or liquidity differences.
To trade on Kalshi, you need to create an account and verify your identity (US residents only). Polymarket uses cryptocurrency and is accessible to users in many jurisdictions. We recommend doing your own research on each platform's requirements and risks.
No. W.E.T. provides information and analysis for educational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, and nothing on this site should be construed as financial advice. Prediction market trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
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