WHIGH

W.E.T. Higher Tech Science Index 6mo

v1StandingExperimentalStanding
No reading published for 2026-11-14

The §2.6 ladder refused this print at rung 2. A refusal is publishable; a carried-forward level is not — so this index shows nothing today rather than yesterday’s number wearing today’s date.

Governed close level
—
no level published
Gauge
—
Divisor
—
what chains this level to the last
Closes
53
latest 2026-11-14
The opposing reading

higher-tech-science-inside-six-months-inverse reads — against this index’s —. Same markets, opposite side.

Coverage
0 of 0 admitted markets pricedκ 0.0000 · floor 0.95weights two-sided-depth · cap 15.0%
Withheld by the sentinel

7 input(s) were quarantined by sentinel/v1 before this close and are excluded from the reading above.

What would make this reading wrong
  • The "higher" axis stops appearing in tech-science titles: the selector then admits fewer than 6 markets and the index prints nothing rather than a level over a roster that no longer states the thesis.
  • Weight coverage falls below the declared floor of 95%, at which point the published state is insufficient_data and no value is printed — never a value carried forward from the last close that had one.
  • The threshold axis stops framing this board. An axis that frames nothing leaves every member on the venue's own YES framing, which reads the board's listing convention rather than the thesis, and a level computed that way is not a reading of this claim.
How this reading was constructed (7)
  • no constituent was admitted at all — an empty roster is a transport failure, not a finding
  • roster refused [empty-roster]: no canonical event on this tape satisfied the universe: 16530 considered, 0 admitted, rejected as keyword-miss 16471, category-not-admitted 21, horizon-outside-window 38. That is a statement about the BOARD on this date, not about the worldview: the close writes insufficient_data and no value rather than reaching for yesterday's number. Note that 38 event(s) passed every other selector and were removed by this index's own declared 60–200d window — an empty roster for a window nothing on the board resolves inside is the window working, not the close failing.
  • universe: resolved by universe/v1 over 16530 candidate canonical event(s) from the `tape-text` source (${m.title ?? ''} ${m.marketRef}), admitting 0. Rejections by reason: keyword-miss 16471, category-not-admitted 21, horizon-outside-window 38.
  • universe: the declared 60–200d horizon window (axis 8) was APPLIED and removed 38 event(s) that every other selector admitted. A member resolving outside the window this index publishes is not a member of this index's horizon, whatever else it is.
  • universe: 16471 event(s) missed the keyword screen on the `tape-text` source, which carries ${m.title ?? ''} ${m.marketRef} and NOT the venue subtitle, tag or series the nomination pool sees. That count is the UPPER BOUND on what the richer string could have added here; it is published rather than estimated, because the tape cannot supply the text that would settle it.
  • no complement is available: the base printed nothing (insufficient_data). The identity needs two numbers, and an absent one is never treated as a zero.
  • no published document file was found for this spec, so the byte comparison had nothing to compare against and only the recompile legs ran. The whitepaper is compiled per request by /methodology/<slug>, which is a publication lag rather than a ledger fault — but the ABSENCE is published here, because an unsupplied optional parameter is invisible on the row and that invisibility is what let this leg go unrun.
Why there are two levels on this page

The governed close level above is divisor-chained: it tracks how the desk’s reading of this perspective has moved since 2026-08-14, and it survives a roster change because the divisor absorbs it. It is not a basket total return.

The basket total return below is a position book: it holds a fixed set of contracts from its own inception and reports what that book did, marks and settlements included. A roster change starts a new book rather than being absorbed.

They share a base of 1,000 and nothing else. Expect them to differ, and read the one that answers your question — the chained level for “where does this perspective stand”, the book for “what would holding it have done”.

spec 8da600b104e465b5 · methodology ccd7d1037e3cfe2b · closed by standing/v1 · lifecycle experimental · class standing · no directional statement permitted from this print

No value publishedfor 2026-11-14§2.6 rung 2

no constituent was admitted at all — an empty roster is a transport failure, not a finding

Last published reading: 18.62 on 2026-11-01. It is not carried forward.

33 tech-science markets carrying the "higher" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition.

Basket level · official print34 held · close 2026-11-14
1005.70+0.57%since inception · base 1000

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage

Basket performance

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket total return
1005.70
Since inception
+0.57%
Cost to cross
—
Holdings marked
35.3% of 34
1 day
−2.18%
7 day
+8.19%
Markets held
34
Settled
1
Rebalanced out
0
Hit rate
—
Cash
50.4%
Inception
2026-08-18
Weighting
Equal notional
Marks
Two-sided mid
Days tracked
55

Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.

Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.

A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.

Holdings · 34 markets

held since 2026-08-18 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs
MarketNowReturn
  • Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 8c6 sessions stale6c−22.4%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 6c2c−61.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 5c6c+29.0%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 87c15 sessions stale87c+0.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 9c25c+194.1%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 8c3c−56.9%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 5c6 sessions stale7c+25.5%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 95c12 sessions stale88c−6.4%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 9c21c+128.9%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 16c6 sessions stale16c0.0%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 16c2 sessions stale20c+25.8%↗
  • Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 12c33 sessions stale3c−73.3%↗
  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 71c7c−90.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 27c6 sessions stale30c+11.3%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 9c6 sessions stale5c−36.5%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 73c15 sessions stale94c+29.5%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 55c2.0¢ spread · 554/7.9k within 5¢92c+68.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 6c6 sessions stale5c−16.4%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 35c48c+39.1%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 70c58c−16.5%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 38c6 sessions stale26c−32.0%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 6c6 sessions stale5c−10.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 44c6 sessions stale16c−63.6%↗
  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 88c9c−89.7%↗
  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 91c7c−91.9%↗
  • Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 6c33 sessions stale1c−81.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 14c6 sessions stale5c−65.2%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 11c6 sessions stale11c0.0%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 68c6 sessions stale73c+7.4%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 16c14c−6.5%↗
  • Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 3c35 sessions stale1c−61.5%↗
  • Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 95c35 sessions stale99c+4.8%↗
  • Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 80c36 sessions stale99c+23.7%↗
  • Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?polymarket · YES · entry 93c33 sessions stale99c+6.8%↗

Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →

WHIGH · at a glance

What it is
33 tech-science markets carrying the "higher" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition.
High vs low
Higher = the composition is pricing more support for this thesis. Lower = less. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Who cares
Anyone tracking how higher is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 6 markets resolving inside 200 days.

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“The W.E.T. Higher Tech Science Index 6mo (WHIGH) publishes a daily WET Index Score on a 0–100 scale, per World Event Trading.”

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Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.