Dated Prediction-Market Snapshot
2026 Midterm Election Odds
The September 10, 2026 W.E.T. snapshot records the Democratic Party at 53% for Senate control and the Democratic Party at 87% for House control across 368 open midterm market pages from Polymarket, with $86.9M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to that USD figure.
The 2026 midterm market pages in W.E.T.’s corpus, with each observation attributed to its actual venue. The current capture covers Polymarket; race pages refresh as new snapshots land and convert to permanent “what the market predicted” archives once each race settles. Data, not advice; see the methodology.
Control of Congress
What the market has actually priced
Seats priced
22 of 35
63% of the Senate on the ballot
In play
2
favourite under 65%
Closest
51%
Texas
22 of 35 seats priced · shade is the favourite's confidence, gold outline is in play
James Talarico (D) · $1M
Sherrod Brown (D) · $263.4K
Ashley Hinson (R) · $234.4K
Abdul El-Sayed (D) · $678K
Mary Peltola · $478.5K
Pete Ricketts (R) · $238.9K
Troy Jackson (D) · $1.3M
APC · $5.2K
Democrat · $93.3K
Darline Graham Nordone (R) · $174.6K
Ashley Moody (R) · $105.9K
Peggy Flanagan (D) · $68.6K
Seats are shown as coverage and ranked by how close they are — they are never summed into a chamber forecast. Control is priced directly by the market above, which is the honest number: seats are correlated, so multiplying them would invent a precision that is not there.
Seats priced
197 of 435
45% of the House on the ballot
In play
8
favourite under 65%
Closest
34%
FL-07
Democratic Party · $21.3K
Republican Party · $27.5K
Democratic Party · $4.2K
Democratic Party · $8.3K
Republican Party · $36.7K
Bobby Pulido (D) · $20.5K
Democratic Party · $27.5K
Democratic Party · $40.9K
Seats are shown as coverage and ranked by how close they are — they are never summed into a chamber forecast. Control is priced directly by the market above, which is the honest number: seats are correlated, so multiplying them would invent a precision that is not there.
Senate races
22 marketsAlaska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $478.5K vol
Florida Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ashley Moody (R) · Polymarket · $105.9K vol
Georgia Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jon Ossoff (D) · Polymarket · $122.5K vol
Idaho Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $26.8K vol
Iowa Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ashley Hinson (R) · Polymarket · $234.4K vol
Kansas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kentucky Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Andy Barr (R) · Polymarket · $31.3K vol
Louisiana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $29.4K vol
Maine Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Troy Jackson (D) · Polymarket · $1.3M vol
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $41.4K vol
Michigan Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Abdul El-Sayed (D) · Polymarket · $678K vol
Minnesota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Peggy Flanagan (D) · Polymarket · $68.6K vol
Mississippi Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $44.6K vol
Montana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $117.8K vol
Nebraska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Pete Ricketts (R) · Polymarket · $238.9K vol
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $93.3K vol
North Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds
Roy Cooper (D) · Polymarket · $106.7K vol
Ohio Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sherrod Brown (D) · Polymarket · $263.4K vol
South Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds
Darline Graham Nordone (R) · Polymarket · $174.6K vol
South Dakota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $22.4K vol
Texas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
James Talarico (D) · Polymarket · $1M vol
Virginia Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $22.4K vol
Governor races
25 marketsAlabama Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $16.1K vol
Alaska Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · $1.3M vol
Arizona Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $64.9K vol
California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · $40.9M vol
Connecticut Governor Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $9.2K vol
Florida Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Byron Donalds (R) · Polymarket · $56.6K vol
Georgia Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · Polymarket · $74K vol
Hawaii Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $14.4K vol
Iowa Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rob Sand (D) · Polymarket · $78.5K vol
Kansas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $19.9K vol
Maine Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Maryland Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $19.8K vol
Minnesota Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $66.5K vol
Nevada Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Joe Lombardo (R) · Polymarket · $112.1K vol
New Mexico Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $31.8K vol
New York Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kathy Hochul (D) · Polymarket · $112.3K vol
Ohio Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Amy Acton (D) · Polymarket · $196.9K vol
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $25.4K vol
Oregon Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $40.6K vol
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $49.1K vol
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $66.4K vol
South Dakota Governor Election Winner — Odds
Republican · Polymarket · $17.8K vol
Texas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Greg Abbott (R) · Polymarket · $88.2K vol
Vermont Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $65.9K vol
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
David Crowley (D) · Polymarket · $577.2K vol
House districts
309 marketsDistrict markets list gradually through the cycle — coverage grows toward November.
AL-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $47.5K vol
AL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol
AL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AL-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.3K vol
AL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.7K vol
AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 25-30% · Polymarket · $6.5K vol
AL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $69.5K vol
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 40-45% · Polymarket · $8.6K vol
AZ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AZ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $50K vol
AZ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.2K vol
AZ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.8K vol
AZ-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AZ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.8K vol
AZ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.6K vol
CA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol
CA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $48.5K vol
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) — Odds & Probability
CA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol
CA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Scott Wiener · Polymarket · $13K vol
CA-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Aisha Wahab · Polymarket · $19.1K vol
CA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $105.1K vol
CA-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.6K vol
CA-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $11.5K vol
CA-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $59K vol
CA-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.8K vol
CA-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $17.1K vol
CA-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $135.9K vol
CA-30 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol
CA-32 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.7K vol
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Angela Gonzales-Torres · Polymarket · $12.1K vol
CA-34 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.3K vol
CA-36 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.4K vol
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Sydney Kamlager-Dove · Polymarket · $29K vol
CA-39 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-42 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.6K vol
CA-44 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.3K vol
CA-45 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.5K vol
CA-46 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22.5K vol
CA-48 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.8K vol
CA-49 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-50 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CO-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol
CO-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.1K vol
CO-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CO-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.4K vol
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 30-35% · Polymarket · $7.3K vol
CT-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 20-25% · Polymarket · $5.5K vol
FL-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol
FL-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $26.1K vol
FL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $16.8K vol
FL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol
FL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $55.7K vol
FL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $7.7K vol
FL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.9K vol
FL-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17K vol
FL-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
FL-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-20 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.7K vol
FL-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $14.2K vol
FL-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $36.7K vol
FL-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol
FL-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $62.2K vol
FL-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.5K vol
FL-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $57.3K vol
GA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $20.3K vol
GA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $52.4K vol
GA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
GA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $29.6K vol
GA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
GA-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42K vol
GA-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Democrat 40-45% · Polymarket · $8K vol
HI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol
IA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
ID-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.2K vol
IL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 65-70% · Polymarket · $4.8K vol
IL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol
IL-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.4K vol
IL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14K vol
IL-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $31.2K vol
IN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24K vol
IN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
IN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $45.7K vol
IN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.1K vol
KS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KS-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $28.3K vol
KS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $63.9K vol
KY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
KY-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $69.1K vol
MA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $51.8K vol
MA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $63.2K vol
MA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 40-45% · Polymarket · $10.6K vol
MA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol
MD-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $56.5K vol
MD-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
MD-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MD-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MD-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 60-65% · Polymarket · $7.4K vol
ME-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MI-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.9K vol
MI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
MI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $50.7K vol
MI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
MI-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.6K vol
MI-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $76.3K vol
MI-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $38.7K vol
MN-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brad Finstad (R) · Polymarket · $42.1K vol
MN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.6K vol
MN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.9K vol
MN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $4.8K vol
MO-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.2K vol
MO-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3%+ · Polymarket · $23K vol
MO-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol
MO-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
MS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $114.9K vol
MS-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MS-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $61.9K vol
MS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol
MT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NC-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.7K vol
NC-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.4K vol
NC-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NC-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $22.5K vol
NC-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.5K vol
NC-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 55-60% · Polymarket · $4.5K vol
NC-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $64.2K vol
NC-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NE-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NE-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NE-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15K vol
NH-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.1K vol
NJ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.2K vol
NJ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.4K vol
NJ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.3K vol
NJ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol
NM-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22K vol
NV-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
NY-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 5-10% · Polymarket · $4.4K vol
NY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
NY-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $62.2K vol
NY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.6K vol
NY-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $56K vol
NY-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol
NY-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.2K vol
NY-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.2K vol
NY-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $56.3K vol
NY-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.8K vol
NY-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $20.5K vol
NY-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.1K vol
OH-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.4K vol
OH-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $57.8K vol
OH-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.8K vol
OH-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $65.4K vol
OH-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.5K vol
OH-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
OH-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.7K vol
OK-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OK-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $100.4K vol
OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 30-35% · Polymarket · $6.8K vol
OK-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OR-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 15-20% · Polymarket · $7.9K vol
OR-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OR-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.9K vol
PA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $35.6K vol
PA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol
PA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.9K vol
PA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.2K vol
PA-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol
PA-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.7K vol
PA-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.9K vol
PA-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $13.6K vol
RI-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $31.4K vol
RI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.4K vol
SC-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
SC-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $43.2K vol
SC-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
SC-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $9.3K vol
SC-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.7K vol
TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 50-55% · Polymarket · $6.7K vol
TN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.9K vol
TN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $48K vol
TN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.2K vol
TN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $40.4K vol
TX-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.3K vol
TX-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
TX-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $32.3K vol
TX-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol
TX-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol
TX-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $52.7K vol
TX-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
TX-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33K vol
TX-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23K vol
TX-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Bobby Pulido (D) · Polymarket · $20.5K vol
TX-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.3K vol
TX-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.7K vol
TX-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.5K vol
TX-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $22.7K vol
TX-20 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.6K vol
TX-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.8K vol
TX-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $56K vol
TX-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
TX-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol
TX-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $36.2K vol
TX-29 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.5K vol
TX-30 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.1K vol
TX-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $44.8K vol
TX-33 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.9K vol
TX-35 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.3K vol
TX-38 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
UT-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $41.2K vol
UT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.8K vol
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 30-35% · Polymarket · $5.2K vol
UT-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $12.3K vol
UT-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $40K vol
VA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol
VA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.8K vol
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 30-35% · Polymarket · $6.4K vol
VA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $60.6K vol
VA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.8K vol
VA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $62K vol
VA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $110.2K vol
VA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.2K vol
VA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.3K vol
VA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $65.4K vol
WA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol
WA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rick Larsen (D) · Polymarket · $30.7K vol
WA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.8K vol
WA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $50.3K vol
WA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $49.3K vol
WA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.9K vol
WA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
WA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol
WA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $49.5K vol
WA-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $30.6K vol
WI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $99.8K vol
WI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $54.7K vol
WI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $35.2K vol
WI-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
WI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.9K vol
WV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $92K vol
Primaries & nominations
42 marketsMaine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27? — Odds
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County
Final read: Haley Stevens · Polymarket · $58.2K vol
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County
Final read: Haley Stevens · Polymarket · $86.3K vol
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Cindy Holscher · Polymarket · $114.7K vol
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County
Final read: Haley Stevens · Polymarket · $77.4K vol
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Adam Hamilton · Polymarket · $176K vol
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Ty Masterson · Polymarket · $135.7K vol
Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: John James · Polymarket · $235.2K vol
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Final read: El-Sayed <5% · Polymarket · $202.5K vol
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Abdul El-Sayed · Polymarket · $4.3M vol
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Macomb County Winner
Final read: Haley Stevens · Polymarket · $63.8K vol
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Kent County (Grand
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County
Final read: Abdul El-Sayed · Polymarket · $13.6K vol
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Marsha Blackburn · Polymarket · $82.3K vol
Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds
Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Marquita Bradshaw · Polymarket · $38.4K vol
Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Amanda Janoo · Polymarket · $123.6K vol
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Peggy Flanagan · Polymarket · $450.9K vol
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Lisa Demuth · Polymarket · $849.6K vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $1.5M vol
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: David Crowley · Polymarket · $3.4M vol
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Final read: Crowley wins · Polymarket · $196.9K vol
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First
Final read: Ralph Norman · Polymarket · $92.5K vol
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Final read: Flanagan 20%+ · Polymarket · $45.7K vol
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $611.3K vol
Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Final read: Bernadette Wilson · Polymarket · $269K vol
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Angie Nixon · Polymarket · $262.3K vol
Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Joseph Kibler · Polymarket · $419.5K vol
Alaska Senate Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
Final read: Peltola 6–9% · Polymarket · $19.8K vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $3.1M vol
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Troy Green · Polymarket · $133.8K vol
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Gentner Drummond · Polymarket · $999.2K vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $21.8K vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $33.8K vol
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Ed Markey · Polymarket · $161.2K vol
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of
Final read: Markey 25–30% · Polymarket · $11.8K vol
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Elaine Pelino · Polymarket · $87.2K vol
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Helena Foulkes · Polymarket · $47.7K vol
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Chris Pappas · Polymarket · $199.4K vol
Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic Primary
Sabina Matos · Polymarket · $5.1K vol
Delaware Republican Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Michael Katz · Polymarket · $47.1K vol
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? — Odds
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $89.4K vol
More midterm markets
6 marketsHow many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm
22–23 · Polymarket · $686K vol
2026 Midterms: House Turnout — Odds & Probability
115-120m · Polymarket · $19.6K vol
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 8-10% · Polymarket · $129.7K vol
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm
≤47 · Polymarket · $2.9M vol
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · Polymarket · $398.6K vol
Answers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win the Senate in 2026?
The September 10, 2026 capture gives Democratic Party a 53% implied probability of Senate control on Polymarket, with $4.2M in venue-reported volume. That is a dated market observation, not a forecast or current executable quote.
Who will win the House in 2026?
The September 10, 2026 capture implies a 87% chance for Democratic Party on Polymarket, with $10.4M in venue-reported volume.
When are the 2026 midterm elections?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. All 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships are on the ballot.
How accurate are prediction markets for elections?
Prediction markets can respond quickly to new public information, but they can be wrong, especially on thin volume. W.E.T. retains dated and final venue observations when available, so the record can later be compared with what happened.
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W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Implied probabilities are dated venue observations, not current executable quotes, forecasts, or advice. Prediction markets may be restricted in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+.