Live Prediction Markets
As of today, prediction markets price the Republican Party at 56% for Senate control and the Democratic Party at 86% for House control — across $76.4M in traded volume on 195 tracked midterm markets.
Every 2026 midterm market W.E.T. tracks across Kalshi and Polymarket — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue read. Race pages update daily and convert to permanent “what the market predicted” archives once each race settles. Data, not advice; see the methodology.
Republican · Polymarket · $56.3K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $70.9K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $143.8K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $18.6K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $1M vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $124.3K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $87.8K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $167.9K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $34.5K vol
Roy Cooper (D) · Polymarket · $80.3K vol
Jon Husted (R) · Polymarket · $103.7K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $97.8K vol
Ken Paxton (R) · Polymarket · $611.4K vol
Tom Begich · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $47.8K vol
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · $40.4M vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $7.5K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $57.2K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $25.3K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $38.3K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $86.9K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $22.8K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $19.2K vol
Republican · Polymarket · $32.8K vol
Democrat · Polymarket · $78.1K vol
District markets list gradually through the cycle — coverage grows toward November.
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.5K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $30.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $23.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $5.7K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $31.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.9K vol
Mai Vang · Polymarket · $6.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.7K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $83.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $5.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $5.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $31.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $109.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $29.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $45.8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $116.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $6.5K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $10.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $22K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $10.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $16.7K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $63.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $21.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $32.3K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $10K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $32.5K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $46.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $58.5K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $7K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.1K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.1K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.7K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.9K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $16.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $35.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $34.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $49K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $31.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $41.3K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.1K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $31K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $10.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $11.8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $30.1K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $29.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14.1K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.6K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $14.1K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $26.8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $46.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $10.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22.8K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.9K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $11.3K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $29.7K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $11.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $30.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.3K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $44.9K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $20.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $12.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.1K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.5K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $38.9K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $12K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $10.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $29.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $20K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $21.4K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $6.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.6K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $49.5K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $43.7K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.6K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.8K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $26.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.1K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $5.9K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.7K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.3K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $97.4K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $57.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.9K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.5K vol
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $97.2K vol
Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.4K vol
Troy Jackson · Polymarket · $807.1K vol
Haley Stevens · Polymarket · $6.1K vol
Adam Hamilton · Polymarket · $158.2K vol
Ty Masterson · Polymarket · $75.1K vol
John James · Polymarket · $81.9K vol
El-Sayed 5–10% · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
Abdul El-Sayed · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Jerri Green · Polymarket · $87K vol
Marquita Bradshaw · Polymarket · $20.1K vol
Peggy Flanagan · Polymarket · $75.6K vol
Lisa Demuth · Polymarket · $451.3K vol
Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $288.8K vol
Francesca Hong · Polymarket · $202.7K vol
Megan Degenfelder · Polymarket · $90.2K vol
Mike Mazzei · Polymarket · $431.3K vol
Ed Markey · Polymarket · $46K vol
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $15.3K vol
Answers
Prediction markets currently give Republican Party a 56% implied probability of Senate control on Polymarket, on $3.3M in volume. That is a live money-weighted price, not a forecast.
The market implies a 86% chance for Democratic Party on Polymarket ($8.7M traded).
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. All 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships are on the ballot.
Prediction markets price outcomes with real money, which historically makes them fast, well-calibrated aggregators of public information — though they can be wrong, especially on thin volume. W.E.T. archives every market’s final pre-close read, so after November 3 this page becomes a permanent record of what the markets expected versus what happened.
Explore W.E.T.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. Prediction markets may be restricted in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+.