WLOS2

W.E.T. Inverse Los Angeles Football Index 6mo

v1StandingExperimentalStanding
Governed close level
1002.1786
base 1000 · chained · since 2026-08-14
Gauge
64.88
0–100 · rung 6
Divisor
6.4742e-4
what chains this level to the last
Closes
17
latest 2026-09-08
The opposing reading

los-angeles-football-inside-six-months reads 35.12 against this index’s 64.88. Same markets, opposite side.

Coverage
15 of 15 admitted markets pricedκ 1.0000 · floor 0.95weights two-sided-depth · cap 15.0%
Withheld by the sentinel

46 input(s) were quarantined by sentinel/v1 before this close and are excluded from the reading above.

What would make this reading wrong
  • The board stops listing markets that name Los Angeles's football clubs inside this window: the selector then admits fewer than 6 markets and the index prints nothing rather than a level over a roster that no longer states the thesis.
  • Weight coverage falls below the declared floor of 95%, at which point the published state is insufficient_data and no value is printed — never a value carried forward from the last close that had one.
  • A Los Angeles club in another sport starts sharing this one's published vocabulary, at which point the declared exclusions stop separating the two and the composition would silently become an all-sports index for this metro wearing a single-sport name.
How this reading was constructed (9)
  • universe: resolved by universe/v1 over 13681 candidate canonical event(s) from the `tape-text` source (${m.title ?? ''} ${m.marketRef}), admitting 73. Rejections by reason: excluded-keyword 874, keyword-miss 12535, category-not-admitted 4, horizon-outside-window 195.
  • universe: the declared 60–200d horizon window (axis 8) was APPLIED and removed 195 event(s) that every other selector admitted. A member resolving outside the window this index publishes is not a member of this index's horizon, whatever else it is.
  • universe: 12535 event(s) missed the keyword screen on the `tape-text` source, which carries ${m.title ?? ''} ${m.marketRef} and NOT the venue subtitle, tag or series the nomination pool sees. That count is the UPPER BOUND on what the richer string could have added here; it is published rather than estimated, because the tape cannot supply the text that would settle it.
  • 874 canonical event(s) matched an excludeKeywords term and were not admitted. An exclusion is an ADMISSION decision and never a side one (§3.1): nothing here flips a member, it only declines to hold it.
  • eligibility: 58 of 73 admitted event(s) left the roster on the spec's own declared eligibility (minVolume 250, maxSpread 0.1, price 0.02-0.98) — by reason: below-min-volume 54, spread-too-wide 4. An ineligible market is out of the universe; a member the close could not price stays in it and is counted against κ.
  • orientation: the declared `threshold` framing axis (§3.3) was re-read on this tape and took NO force [undetermined:coverage], framing 0 of 15 members and holding 0 of them NO. The declared threshold axis frames 0 of 15 members (0%), under the published 50% bar, so it takes no force today and no member is flipped by it. An axis that frames a corner of the board would state a direction for members it never read. This is the spec's own invalidation condition, measured rather than assumed. The axis is re-read at every close rather than frozen into a declared side table, so a roster whose contracts resolve and are replaced is oriented by the rule this spec published rather than by one evening's reading of it (cultivation-orientation/v3).
  • orientation: because the declared `threshold` axis took no force today, every member not named in `sideRules.declaredSides` and not matched by a keyword list is held on the venue's own YES framing. That reads the board's LISTING CONVENTION rather than this index's thesis, and it is the state the spec's own invalidation conditions name — published here rather than left to look like a decision the axis made.
  • no published document file was found for this spec, so the byte comparison had nothing to compare against and only the recompile legs ran. The whitepaper is compiled per request by /methodology/<slug>, which is a publication lag rather than a ledger fault — but the ABSENCE is published here, because an unsupplied optional parameter is invisible on the row and that invisibility is what let this leg go unrun.
  • the level was chained as a price relative over the PRIOR composition at today's prices: 14 prior member(s), of which 0 could not be priced today and left through the DIVISOR (0 at a venue-reported resolution, 0 at their last governed mark, 0 unpriced on both dates). Price relative 1.000701535 against a gauge basis of 0.648829528; the divisor moved to absorb the composition and weight change, so what the level published is the price move and nothing else.
Why there are two levels on this page

The governed close level above is divisor-chained: it tracks how the desk’s reading of this perspective has moved since 2026-08-14, and it survives a roster change because the divisor absorbs it. It is not a basket total return.

The basket total return below is a position book: it holds a fixed set of contracts from its own inception and reports what that book did, marks and settlements included. A roster change starts a new book rather than being absorbed.

They share a base of 1,000 and nothing else. Expect them to differ, and read the one that answers your question — the chained level for “where does this perspective stand”, the book for “what would holding it have done”.

spec 286ae9bd47624b83 · methodology 8b607bfabc122d5c · closed by standing/v1 · lifecycle experimental · class standing

64.88+2.70 (+4.34%)Elevated & cooling

As of Sep 8, 2026 · last moved Sep 8, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Low supportHigh support)

The same markets naming Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case.

Basket level · official print17 held · close 2026-09-08
1010.76+1.08%since inception · base 1000

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage

Basket performance

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket total return
1010.76
Since inception
+1.08%
Cost to cross
Holdings marked
64.7% of 17
1 day
+0.14%
7 day
+1.01%
Markets held
17
Settled
0
Rebalanced out
0
Hit rate
Cash
49.5%
Inception
2026-08-18
Weighting
Equal notional
Marks
Two-sided mid
Days tracked
18

Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.

Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.

A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.

Holdings · 17 markets

held since 2026-08-18 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs
MarketNowReturn
  • Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?polymarket · NO · entry 77c1.0¢ spread · 66.1k/10.3k within 5¢76c−1.3%
  • Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?polymarket · NO · entry 65c70c+8.5%
  • Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?polymarket · NO · entry 52c2.0¢ spread · 4.1k/4.0k within 5¢51c−1.0%
  • Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?polymarket · NO · entry 36c39c+8.5%
  • Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?polymarket · NO · entry 90c91c+1.1%
  • Will the season series between the Rams and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 54c54c0.0%
  • NFC Championship Winner — Los Angeles Rgemini · NO · entry 77c2 sessions stale76c−1.3%
  • 2027 Pro Football Champion — Los Angeles Rgemini · NO · entry 86c2 sessions stale84c−2.3%
  • 2027 Pro Football Champion — Los Angeles Cgemini · NO · entry 96c2 sessions stale95c−1.0%
  • National League Champion — Los Angeles Dgemini · NO · entry 55c7 sessions stale60c+9.1%
  • AFC Championship Winner — Los Angeles Cgemini · NO · entry 90c2 sessions stale90c0.0%
  • Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 49c51c+4.1%
  • Will the season series between the Raiders and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 55c12 sessions stale57c+4.6%
  • Will the Rams win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 27c21c−20.8%
  • Will the season series between the Cardinals and Rams end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 79c83c+5.1%
  • Will the 49ers win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 86c88c+1.7%
  • Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 96c96c−0.0%

Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →

The opposing claim

the same roster, read the other way — one close, two series

This index is one side of a pair. The same canonical roster, consolidated once, is read against the opposite case and published as its own governed series — so the counter-argument is a number on the board, not a caveat in the prose.

Read the opposite side →
Pair drift
-0.46index points, both sides combined

Holding both sides of this argument should cost nothing — the outcomes are exhaustive. It does not. The two levels sum to 1999.54 against a combined base of 2,000, and that gap is path, spread and friction rather than a view about the world. Gauges complement exactly; levels do not, because a level remembers the route it took.

Friction gauge Φ 1.87 · complement residual 0 — the gauge identity is checked at every close and published whether or not it holds.

Key statistics

Previous
62.17
Band
Elevated
13d Range
6271
Percentile
39th
9d Change
+0.5
Volatility
2.2 pts/d
Streak
Markets
15
Effective N
8.2
Top Weight
15%
Venues
15 P
Method
v1

Indicative tape · 7 sessions

124 hourly readings since 2026-09-03 · not the governed close
62.063.064.065.066.067.009-03 16:0009-06 08:0009-09 00:00
Latest
64.62
Since 2026-09-03
+0.49
Range
62.067.4
Readings
121+3 refused

INDICATIVEHourly readings that reprice the roster and frozen weights of the last governed close — only prices moved. Each one was computed and recorded at the timestamp it carries; nothing here is reconstructed from venue history. They carry no sentinel screen, enter no ledger and join no checksum chain, and a refused hour breaks the line rather than being drawn through. The daily WET Close is the official value.

Daily close

13d published · interactive

13 published close(s) — 0–100 (Low support → High support). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 13 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.

History & 14-day projection

solid = 13d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% band
4550556065707580now64
Projected 14d
64.00
Change
0.90
80% band
4979
Confidence
low

Model extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 13 readings, slope -0.13/day, projection σ 3.1 pts/d widened for a 13-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.

Desk read

W.E.T. analysis — Premium
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Premium

The desk's read on today's move

Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.

Checking access…

What moved today

attribution — Premium
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Premium

Which markets moved the index, and by how much

Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.

Checking access…

Contribution by category

weight share of today's value
sports100% · 15

Constituents by weight

all 15 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-08) · the basket below holds a different set

WLOS2 · at a glance

What it is
The same markets naming Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case.
High vs low
Higher = the composition is pricing more support for this thesis. Lower = less. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Who cares
Anyone tracking how los-angeles-football is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 6 markets resolving inside 200 days.

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Quote this index

free to cite with attribution + the as-of date
“As of Sep 8, 2026, the W.E.T. Inverse Los Angeles Football Index 6mo (WLOS2) prints a WET Index Score of 64.9/100 (Elevated), per World Event Trading.”

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Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.