W.E.T. Inverse Los Angeles Football Index 6mo
v1StandingExperimentalStandinglos-angeles-football-inside-six-months reads 17.47 against this index’s 82.53. Same markets, opposite side.
7 input(s) were quarantined by sentinel/v1 before this close and are excluded from the reading above.
- The board stops listing markets that name Los Angeles's football clubs inside this window: the selector then admits fewer than 6 markets and the index prints nothing rather than a level over a roster that no longer states the thesis.
- Weight coverage falls below the declared floor of 95%, at which point the published state is insufficient_data and no value is printed — never a value carried forward from the last close that had one.
- A Los Angeles club in another sport starts sharing this one's published vocabulary, at which point the declared exclusions stop separating the two and the composition would silently become an all-sports index for this metro wearing a single-sport name.
How this reading was constructed (8)
- universe: resolved by universe/v1 over 16530 candidate canonical event(s) from the `tape-text` source (
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}), admitting 21. Rejections by reason: excluded-keyword 4318, keyword-miss 12051, category-not-admitted 1, horizon-outside-window 139. - universe: the declared 60–200d horizon window (axis 8) was APPLIED and removed 139 event(s) that every other selector admitted. A member resolving outside the window this index publishes is not a member of this index's horizon, whatever else it is.
- universe: 12051 event(s) missed the keyword screen on the `tape-text` source, which carries
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}and NOT the venue subtitle, tag or series the nomination pool sees. That count is the UPPER BOUND on what the richer string could have added here; it is published rather than estimated, because the tape cannot supply the text that would settle it. - 4318 canonical event(s) matched an excludeKeywords term and were not admitted. An exclusion is an ADMISSION decision and never a side one (§3.1): nothing here flips a member, it only declines to hold it.
- eligibility: 13 of 21 admitted event(s) left the roster on the spec's own declared eligibility (minVolume 250, maxSpread 0.1, price 0.02-0.98) — by reason: price-below-floor 7, below-min-volume 5, spread-too-wide 1. An ineligible market is out of the universe; a member the close could not price stays in it and is counted against κ.
- orientation: the declared `threshold` framing axis (§3.3) was re-read on this tape and took force on the `up` case by rule `member-majority`, framing 4 of 8 members and holding 0 of them NO. 4 of 4 framed members carry the `up` case on the declared threshold axis, so this composition measures up; a member the axis frames the other way moves against that and is held NO. The axis is re-read at every close rather than frozen into a declared side table, so a roster whose contracts resolve and are replaced is oriented by the rule this spec published rather than by one evening's reading of it (cultivation-orientation/v3).
- no published document file was found for this spec, so the byte comparison had nothing to compare against and only the recompile legs ran. The whitepaper is compiled per request by /methodology/<slug>, which is a publication lag rather than a ledger fault — but the ABSENCE is published here, because an unsupplied optional parameter is invisible on the row and that invisibility is what let this leg go unrun.
- the level was chained as a price relative over the PRIOR composition at today's prices: 9 prior member(s), of which 1 could not be priced today and left through the DIVISOR (0 at a venue-reported resolution, 1 at their last governed mark, 0 unpriced on both dates). Price relative 0.997053811 against a gauge basis of 0.825316503; the divisor moved to absorb the composition and weight change, so what the level published is the price move and nothing else.
The governed close level above is divisor-chained: it tracks how the desk’s reading of this perspective has moved since 2026-08-14, and it survives a roster change because the divisor absorbs it. It is not a basket total return.
The basket total return below is a position book: it holds a fixed set of contracts from its own inception and reports what that book did, marks and settlements included. A roster change starts a new book rather than being absorbed.
They share a base of 1,000 and nothing else. Expect them to differ, and read the one that answers your question — the chained level for “where does this perspective stand”, the book for “what would holding it have done”.
spec 286ae9bd47624b83 · methodology ac9144ffe1c35ac7 · closed by standing/v1 · lifecycle experimental · class standing
As of Nov 14, 2026 · last moved Nov 14, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Low support → High support)
The same markets naming Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case.
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Basket total return
- 1242.48
- Since inception
- +24.25%
- Cost to cross
- —
- Holdings marked
- 29.4% of 17
- 1 day
- −0.09%
- 7 day
- +0.48%
- Markets held
- 17
- Settled
- 0
- Rebalanced out
- 0
- Hit rate
- —
- Cash
- 40.2%
- Inception
- 2026-08-18
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 55
Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.
Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.
A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.
Holdings · 17 markets
held since 2026-08-18 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs- Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?polymarket · NO · entry 77cpolymarketNO77c92c+19.6%15.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?polymarket · NO · entry 65cpolymarketNO65c99c+53.5%15.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?polymarket · NO · entry 52cpolymarketNO52c92c+77.7%15.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?polymarket · NO · entry 36cpolymarketNO36c99c+177.5%12.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?polymarket · NO · entry 90cpolymarketNO90c99c+10.6%9.4%Polymarket ↗
- Will the season series between the Rams and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 54c15 sessions stalepolymarketNO54c55c+1.9%8.8%Polymarket ↗
- NFC Championship Winner — Los Angeles Rgemini · NO · entry 77c15 sessions stalegeminiNO77c82c+6.5%5.9%Gemini Predictions ↗
- 2027 Pro Football Champion — Los Angeles Rgemini · NO · entry 86c15 sessions stalegeminiNO86c88c+2.3%5.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- 2027 Pro Football Champion — Los Angeles Cgemini · NO · entry 96c15 sessions stalegeminiNO96c99c+3.1%3.2%Gemini Predictions ↗
- National League Champion — Los Angeles Dgemini · NO · entry 55c44 sessions stalegeminiNO55c60c+9.1%2.6%Gemini Predictions ↗
- AFC Championship Winner — Los Angeles Cgemini · NO · entry 90c26 sessions stalegeminiNO90c97c+7.8%2.2%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 49c2 sessions stalepolymarketNO49c60c+23.7%2.2%Polymarket ↗
- Will the season series between the Raiders and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 55c49 sessions stalepolymarketNO55c57c+4.6%0.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will the Rams win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 27c15 sessions stalepolymarketNO27c53c+100.0%0.7%Polymarket ↗
- Will the season series between the Cardinals and Rams end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 79c15 sessions stalepolymarketNO79c82c+3.8%0.6%Polymarket ↗
- Will the 49ers win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 86c15 sessions stalepolymarketNO86c55c−36.7%0.4%Polymarket ↗
- Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · NO · entry 96c15 sessions stalepolymarketNO96c62c−35.7%0.4%Polymarket ↗
Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →
The opposing claim
the same roster, read the other way — one close, two seriesThis index is one side of a pair. The same canonical roster, consolidated once, is read against the opposite case and published as its own governed series — so the counter-argument is a number on the board, not a caveat in the prose.
Read the opposite side →Holding both sides of this argument should cost nothing — the outcomes are exhaustive. It does not. The two levels sum to 1748.80 against a combined base of 2,000, and that gap is path, spread and friction rather than a view about the world. Gauges complement exactly; levels do not, because a level remembers the route it took.
Friction gauge Φ 1.71 · complement residual 0 — the gauge identity is checked at every close and published whether or not it holds.
Key statistics
- Previous
- 83.99
- Band
- Very high
- 23d Range
- 6184
- Percentile
- 96th
- 9d Change
- +3.6
- Volatility
- 3.1 pts/d
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 8
- Effective N
- 7.0
- Top Weight
- 15%
- Venues
- 8 P
- Method
- v1
Indicative tape · 6 sessions
97 hourly readings since 2026-11-04 · not the governed closeINDICATIVEHourly readings that reprice the roster and frozen weights of the last governed close — only prices moved. Each one was computed and recorded at the timestamp it carries; nothing here is reconstructed from venue history. They carry no sentinel screen, enter no ledger and join no checksum chain, and a refused hour breaks the line rather than being drawn through. The daily WET Close is the official value.
Daily close
23d published · interactive23 published close(s) — 0–100 (Low support → High support). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 70 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 23d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 23 readings, slope +0.16/day, projection σ 3.8 pts/d widened for a 23-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — InsidersInsiders
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — InsidersInsiders
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 8 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-11-14) · the basket below holds a different setWLOS2 · at a glance
- What it is
- The same markets naming Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case.
- High vs low
- Higher = the composition is pricing more support for this thesis. Lower = less. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
- Who cares
- Anyone tracking how los-angeles-football is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 6 markets resolving inside 200 days.
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Nov 14, 2026, the W.E.T. Inverse Los Angeles Football Index 6mo (WLOS2) prints a WET Index Score of 82.5/100 (Very high), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.