Readings may not describe today48 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
48 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
W.E.T. Crypto Greed & Fear Index
v4SlateMonthlyAs of Sep 22, 2026 · last moved Sep 22, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Fear → Greed)
How greedy vs fearful crypto positioning is, read from priced upside vs downside.
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Basket total return
- 1031.49
- Since inception
- +3.15%
- Cost to cross
- 3.15pts
- Holdings marked
- 86.7% of 29
- 1 day
- +2.26%
- 7 day
- −0.67%
- Markets held
- 29
- Settled
- 7
- Rebalanced out
- 0
- Hit rate
- 85.7% (6 of 7)
- Cash
- 65.8%
- Inception
- 2026-08-01
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 70
Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.
Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.
A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.
Holdings · 29 markets
held since 2026-08-01 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 3cpolymarketYES3c1c−67.7%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 32c3.0¢ spread · 1.6k/260 within 5¢polymarketYES32c37c+15.9%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.99kalshi · YES · entry 13ckalshiYES13c14c+16.0%6.0%Kalshi ↗
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?polymarket · YES · entry 4c25.1¢ spread · 6.1k/226 within 5¢polymarketYES4c3c−7.0%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 77c2.0¢ spread · 469/1.2k within 5¢polymarketYES77c73c−5.8%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM? — Above $3,500.00kalshi · YES · entry 14ckalshiYES14c10c−34.5%6.0%Kalshi ↗
- Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?polymarket · YES · entry 7c1.0¢ spread · 20.2k/5.5k within 5¢polymarketYES7c2c−68.5%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?polymarket · YES · entry 56c2.0¢ spread · 280/681 within 5¢polymarketYES56c77c+36.3%5.7%Polymarket ↗
- Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 6cpolymarketYES6c21c+272.7%3.9%Polymarket ↗
- Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 42c3.0¢ spread · 316/580 within 5¢polymarketYES42c3c−93.7%3.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?polymarket · YES · entry 53c4.0¢ spread · 49/40 within 5¢polymarketYES53c37c−30.5%3.3%Polymarket ↗
- Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?polymarket · YES · entry 76c0.1¢ spread · 362/1.3k within 5¢polymarketYES76c43c−43.0%2.9%Polymarket ↗
- Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 12cpolymarketYES12c6c−53.8%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 34cpolymarketYES34c13c−61.2%2.5%Polymarket ↗
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 8c2.0¢ spread · 17.5k/1.5k within 5¢polymarketYES8c3c−62.5%2.5%Polymarket ↗
- Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 13cpolymarketYES13c2c−85.0%2.4%Polymarket ↗
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?polymarket · YES · entry 12cpolymarketYES12c5c−62.5%1.6%Polymarket ↗
- Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 61c1.0¢ spread · 3.4k/1.8k within 5¢polymarketYES61c38c−37.2%1.2%Polymarket ↗
- Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 11c1.0¢ spread · 502/4.0k within 5¢polymarketYES11c6c−40.0%1.2%Polymarket ↗
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 10c11.0¢ spread · 939/53 within 5¢polymarketYES10c7c−25.1%1.2%Polymarket ↗
- Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?polymarket · YES · entry 17cpolymarketYES17c3c−80.9%1.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?polymarket · YES · entry 37c5 sessions stale61.0¢ spread · 95/578 within 5¢polymarketYES37c95c+159.6%0.8%Polymarket ↗
- Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 24cpolymarketYES24c7c−70.2%0.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 15c5 sessions stale6.0¢ spread · 159/541 within 5¢polymarketYES15c8c−46.7%0.7%Polymarket ↗
- Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?polymarket · YES · entry 11cpolymarketYES11c6c−39.5%0.5%Polymarket ↗
- Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?polymarket · YES · entry 39c42 sessions stalepolymarketYES39c27c−31.6%0.5%Polymarket ↗
- Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 7cpolymarketYES7c4c−41.4%0.4%Polymarket ↗
- Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?polymarket · YES · entry 10c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES10c10c0.0%0.3%Polymarket ↗
- Will LAB reach $20 before 2027?polymarket · YES · entry 11cpolymarketYES11c16c+54.3%0.3%Polymarket ↗
Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →
Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Low
- 49d Range
- 2065
- Percentile
- 69th
- 8d Change
- −0.3
- Volatility
- 8.8 pts/d
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 25
- Effective N
- 7.7
- Top Weight
- 23%
- Venues
- 25 P
- Method
- v4
- Basket
- 25/30
- Frozen
- 2026-09-01
- Chain
- ×0.8689
Daily close
49d published · interactive49 published close(s) — 0–100 (Fear → Greed). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 13 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 49d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 45 readings, slope +0.09/day, projection σ 8.9 pts/d widened for a 45-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — PremiumPremium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — PremiumPremium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
top 24 of 25 by weight · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different setShow the remaining 4 holdingsHide the remaining 4 holdings
Where these markets are covered
3 of 24 constituents have a W.E.T. pageThe odds pages covering the individual contracts this index reads. They are the evidence underneath the reading, not readings themselves.
The view this index measures
Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to these 3 questions in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.
Over the next year, will crypto become something people actually use?
No — it stays mostly a bet on pricesYes — more people pay and save with itWill Bitcoin set a new all-time high in the next 12 months?
No — it stays below its recordYes — a new record highOver the next 12 months, will smaller coins beat Bitcoin?
No — Bitcoin keeps leadingYes — smaller coins outrun it
Where do you stand? The Worldview builder asks from this same set of questions and matches your answers to the W.E.T. indexes that measure them.
Turn your perspective into a portfolio →WCGF · at a glance
- What it is
- The greed gauge for crypto — read from priced upside vs downside targets.
- High vs low
- Higher = greedy (upside targets richly priced). Lower = fearful. ~50 = neutral.
- Who cares
- Crypto traders and reporters who know the classic Fear & Greed index but want a prediction-market-native read.
Embed this score
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[](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/crypto-greed)<a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/crypto-greed"><img src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/indices/crypto-greed/badge" alt="WCGF — WET Index Score" /></a><iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/indices/crypto-greed" width="340" height="170" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="WCGF — WET Index Score" loading="lazy"></iframe>Quote this index
free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Sep 22, 2026, the W.E.T. Crypto Greed & Fear Index (WCGF) prints a WET Index Score of 38.8/100 (Low), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.