WAWD
W.E.T. Awards Race Index
v155.80— Moderate
As of Aug 1, 2026 · last moved Aug 1, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Front-runner → Wide open)
How wide-open the awards races are on a season-long clock.
View the basket — the real markets + combined performance →Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Moderate
- 1d Range
- building
- Percentile
- —
- 7d Change
- —
- Volatility
- —
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 36
- Effective N
- 9.4
- Top Weight
- 20%
- Volume
- $5.1M
- Venues
- 35 P · 1 G
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 36/36
- Frozen
- 2026-08-01
History & 14-day projection
projection builds with historyProjection begins once 7 daily readings are in (1/7 so far).
Desk read
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The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
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What moved today
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
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Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueculture100% · 36
Constituents by weight
colored by category · every input auditable on its venueWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?54% · 20.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?88% · 17.3%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?75% · 12.9%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?10% · 9.9%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?62% · 5.7%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?64% · 4.4%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?59% · 3.1%
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) — Nobel Peace Prize Winner 202626% · 3.1%
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?63% · 1.8%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?70% · 1.7%
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?5% · 1.6%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?41% · 1.6%
WAWD · at a glance
- What it is
- The awards-season toss-up gauge — how open the trophy races are.
- High vs low
- Higher = no clear front-runner. Lower = the race is settled.
- Who cares
- Entertainment desks tracking whether awards season has a front-runner or a fight.
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Aug 1, 2026, the W.E.T. Awards Race Index (WAWD) prints a WET Index Score of 55.8/100 (Moderate), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.