W.E.T. Fed Path Index
v2.0The implied Fed path returned no usable meeting. The meeting calendar is never empty, so this is a failure to retrieve the Fed-meeting contracts, not a reading that no policy path is priced.
Last published reading: +64.8bps on 2026-09-21. It is not carried forward.
The constant-horizon policy-rate expectation implied by Fed-meeting contracts, in basis points.
basis points · WET Close 2026-09-21 · 24 days settled
Benchmark status, logic & track record →Published methodology v2.0 →Governance & restatement policy →Settlement history (JSON) →
indicative · not a settlement value · the WET Close is the official number
No intraday snapshot is published for this basket, so the level above is the last official close and is not refreshing. It is not re-marked between publications.
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- WET Close
- 64.8
- Basis
- constant maturity
- Since inception
- +39.7bps
- 1 day
- −2.0bps
- Constituents
- 0
- Marked
- —
- Settled
- 0
- Single venue
- 0
- Provisional
- 0
- Inception
- 2026-08-06
- Weighting
- none
- Marks
- Consolidated mid
- Days tracked
- 24
Expected policy-rate change in basis points, interpolated to a constant 182-day horizon across the meeting ladder. A constant-maturity construction has no basket and therefore no divisor and no inception base.
No basket and therefore no weights — the ladder is interpolated, not weighted.
WETFED has no constituent basket. It is a constant-maturity blend over the Fed meeting ladder — 11 meetings interpolated to a fixed 182-day horizon — so there are no contracts to hold, no weights to publish and nothing to link. The ladder itself is published in place of holdings.
Live level: WETFED has no constituent basket. It is a constant-maturity blend over the Fed meeting ladder — 11 meetings interpolated to a fixed 182-day horizon — so there are no contracts to hold, no weights to publish and nothing to link. The ladder itself is published in place of holdings.
A benchmark reading of prediction-market prices. The holdings below are the composition the published close was computed over, priced at the mid, before fees, spread and slippage. W.E.T. is not an exchange and never handles orders — every holding links to the venue that lists it. The index is not directly investable. Data, not advice.
Composition · 11 meetings
a constant-maturity blend — the meeting ladder is the compositionWETFED has no constituent basket. It is a constant-maturity blend over the Fed meeting ladder — 11 meetings interpolated to a fixed 182-day horizon — so there are no contracts to hold, no weights to publish and nothing to link. The ladder itself is published in place of holdings.
Meeting ladder · published in place of holdings
- Oct 202637d+12.3bps+37.3bps
- Dec 202679d+17.0bps+54.3bps
- Jan 2027128d+5.2bps+59.5bps
- Mar 2027177d+5.4bps+64.9bps
- Apr 2027219d−0.5bps+64.4bps
- Jun 2027261d+1.1bps+65.5bps
- Jul 2027310d+3.6bps+69.1bps
- Sep 2027359d+3.1bps+72.2bps
- Oct 2027401d+2.4bps+74.6bps
- Dec 2027443d−1.7bps+72.9bps
- Jan 2028492d+4.1bps+77.0bps
days to resolution · expected change at that meeting · cumulative
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