Readings may not describe today48 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
48 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
W.E.T. Gridiron Futures Index
v1SlateMonthlyAs of Sep 22, 2026 · last moved Sep 22, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Consensus favorite → Wide open)
How wide-open the NFL futures board is on a season-long clock.
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Basket total return
- 898.99
- Since inception
- −10.10%
- Cost to cross
- —
- Holdings marked
- 36.0% of 25
- 1 day
- −0.29%
- 7 day
- +0.75%
- Markets held
- 25
- Settled
- 11
- Rebalanced out
- 0
- Hit rate
- 54.5% (6 of 11)
- Cash
- 66.6%
- Inception
- 2026-08-01
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 70
Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.
Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.
A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.
Holdings · 25 markets
held since 2026-08-01 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?polymarket · YES · entry 16c1.0¢ spread · 34.0k/4.9k within 5¢polymarketYES16c7c−58.1%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner? — Floyd Mayweather Jr.kalshi · YES · entry 66c66 sessions stalekalshiYES66c69c+4.6%6.0%Kalshi ↗
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?polymarket · YES · entry 62cpolymarketYES62c28c−53.7%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli Winner? — Canelo Alvarezkalshi · YES · entry 74c66 sessions stalekalshiYES74c73c−1.9%6.0%Kalshi ↗
- Harry Kane — Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?gemini · YES · entry 56c66 sessions stalegeminiYES56c55c−3.0%6.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?polymarket · YES · entry 3c40 sessions stalepolymarketYES3c1c−65.0%6.0%Polymarket ↗
- San Antonio — 2027 Pro Basketball Champion?gemini · YES · entry 22c66 sessions stalegeminiYES22c22c0.0%6.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Buffalo — AFC Championship Winnergemini · YES · entry 15c13 sessions stalegeminiYES15c19c+24.3%5.9%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Los Angeles D — Pro Baseball Championgemini · YES · entry 39c17 sessions stalegeminiYES39c30c−24.2%5.7%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?polymarket · YES · entry 16cpolymarketYES16c2c−88.7%4.6%Polymarket ↗
- Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 11c1.3¢ spread · 6.4k/376 within 5¢polymarketYES11c13c+19.8%4.5%Polymarket ↗
- Los Angeles R — 2027 Pro Football Championgemini · YES · entry 16c13 sessions stalegeminiYES16c13c−19.4%4.4%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?polymarket · YES · entry 24c1.0¢ spread · 2.8k/5.0k within 5¢polymarketYES24c12c−51.1%3.6%Polymarket ↗
- Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?polymarket · YES · entry 81c46 sessions stalepolymarketYES81c95c+17.2%3.4%Polymarket ↗
- Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn Winner? — Ryan Garciakalshi · YES · entry 71c66 sessions stalekalshiYES71c73c+2.4%3.1%Kalshi ↗
- Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · YES · entry 64cpolymarketYES64c82c+28.0%2.9%Polymarket ↗
- CJ Carr — College Football Heisman Trophy Winnergemini · YES · entry 13c30 sessions stalegeminiYES13c14c+8.0%2.9%Gemini Predictions ↗
- New York Y — American League Championgemini · YES · entry 25c42 sessions stalegeminiYES25c23c−10.4%2.8%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Shohei Ohtani — NL MVP Winnergemini · YES · entry 63c66 sessions stalegeminiYES63c62c−1.4%2.2%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Arsenal — English Premier League Championgemini · YES · entry 36c66 sessions stalegeminiYES36c36c0.0%2.1%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?polymarket · YES · entry 45c2.0¢ spread · 9.3k/1.1k within 5¢polymarketYES45c71c+58.4%2.1%Polymarket ↗
- Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?polymarket · YES · entry 20c1.0¢ spread · 1.2k/4.9k within 5¢polymarketYES20c29c+48.7%2.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns?polymarket · YES · entry 13c2.0¢ spread · 14.9k/8.0k within 5¢polymarketYES13c57c+330.8%2.0%Polymarket ↗
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli — Formula 1: 2026 Drivers' Championgemini · YES · entry 76c66 sessions stalegeminiYES76c75c−1.3%2.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?polymarket · YES · entry 37c13 sessions stalepolymarketYES37c7c−82.4%1.9%Polymarket ↗
Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →
Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Elevated
- 40d Range
- 5065
- Percentile
- 100th
- 8d Change
- +2.6
- Volatility
- 1.7 pts/d
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 23
- Effective N
- 9.7
- Top Weight
- 20%
- Venues
- 23 P
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 23/36
- Frozen
- 2026-09-01
- Chain
- ×1.6968
Daily close
40d published · interactive40 published close(s) — 0–100 (Consensus favorite → Wide open). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 13 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 40d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 40 readings, slope +0.22/day, projection σ 2.0 pts/d widened for a 40-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — PremiumPremium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — PremiumPremium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 23 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different setShow the remaining 3 holdingsHide the remaining 3 holdings
Where these markets are covered
1 of 23 constituents has a W.E.T. pageThe odds pages covering the individual contracts this index reads. They are the evidence underneath the reading, not readings themselves.
WNFL · at a glance
- What it is
- The season-long football gauge — how open the NFL futures board is.
- High vs low
- Higher = the futures board is wide open. Lower = a consensus favorite has formed.
- Who cares
- NFL desks reading whether the season has a consensus favorite yet.
Embed this score
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[](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/gridiron-futures)<a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/gridiron-futures"><img src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/indices/gridiron-futures/badge" alt="WNFL — WET Index Score" /></a><iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/indices/gridiron-futures" width="340" height="170" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="WNFL — WET Index Score" loading="lazy"></iframe>Quote this index
free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Sep 22, 2026, the W.E.T. Gridiron Futures Index (WNFL) prints a WET Index Score of 64.5/100 (Elevated), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.