W.E.T. Artist Culture Index 6mo
v1StandingExperimentalStanding7 input(s) were quarantined by sentinel/v1 before this close and are excluded from the reading above.
- The "artist" axis stops appearing in culture titles: the selector then admits fewer than 6 markets and the index prints nothing rather than a level over a roster that no longer states the thesis.
- Weight coverage falls below the declared floor of 95%, at which point the published state is insufficient_data and no value is printed — never a value carried forward from the last close that had one.
- A published axis starts framing this board. No axis frames a majority of it today (polarity frames 0 of 6, severity frames 0 of 6, threshold frames 0 of 6), and that measurement is what put this worldview on a side-symmetric lens; a composition whose sides become readable is a different index and belongs to a successor spec rather than to an edit of this one.
How this reading was constructed (7)
- universe: resolved by universe/v1 over 16530 candidate canonical event(s) from the `tape-text` source (
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}), admitting 67. Rejections by reason: keyword-miss 16445, horizon-outside-window 18. - universe: the declared 60–200d horizon window (axis 8) was APPLIED and removed 18 event(s) that every other selector admitted. A member resolving outside the window this index publishes is not a member of this index's horizon, whatever else it is.
- universe: 16445 event(s) missed the keyword screen on the `tape-text` source, which carries
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}and NOT the venue subtitle, tag or series the nomination pool sees. That count is the UPPER BOUND on what the richer string could have added here; it is published rather than estimated, because the tape cannot supply the text that would settle it. - eligibility: 56 of 67 admitted event(s) left the roster on the spec's own declared eligibility (minVolume 250, maxSpread 0.1, price 0.02-0.98) — by reason: price-below-floor 56. An ineligible market is out of the universe; a member the close could not price stays in it and is counted against κ.
- orientation: the declared `polarity` framing axis (§3.3) was re-read on this tape and took NO force [undetermined:coverage], framing 0 of 11 members and holding 0 of them NO. The declared polarity axis frames 0 of 11 members (0%), under the published 50% bar, so it takes no force today and no member is flipped by it. An axis that frames a corner of the board would state a direction for members it never read. This is the spec's own invalidation condition, measured rather than assumed. The axis is re-read at every close rather than frozen into a declared side table, so a roster whose contracts resolve and are replaced is oriented by the rule this spec published rather than by one evening's reading of it (cultivation-orientation/v3).
- orientation: because the declared `polarity` axis took no force today, every member not named in `sideRules.declaredSides` and not matched by a keyword list is held on the venue's own YES framing. That reads the board's LISTING CONVENTION rather than this index's thesis, and it is the state the spec's own invalidation conditions name — published here rather than left to look like a decision the axis made.
- no published document file was found for this spec, so the byte comparison had nothing to compare against and only the recompile legs ran. The whitepaper is compiled per request by /methodology/<slug>, which is a publication lag rather than a ledger fault — but the ABSENCE is published here, because an unsupplied optional parameter is invisible on the row and that invisibility is what let this leg go unrun.
The governed close level above is divisor-chained: it tracks how the desk’s reading of this perspective has moved since 2026-08-14, and it survives a roster change because the divisor absorbs it. It is not a basket total return.
The basket total return below is a position book: it holds a fixed set of contracts from its own inception and reports what that book did, marks and settlements included. A roster change starts a new book rather than being absorbed.
They share a base of 1,000 and nothing else. Expect them to differ, and read the one that answers your question — the chained level for “where does this perspective stand”, the book for “what would holding it have done”.
spec fcdeee25ed1297a5 · methodology 38bce44a46ef40a4 · closed by standing/v1 · lifecycle experimental · class standing
As of Nov 14, 2026 · last moved Nov 14, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Low support → High support)
11 culture markets carrying the "artist" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition.
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Basket total return
- 956.13
- Since inception
- −4.39%
- Cost to cross
- —
- Holdings marked
- 3.4% of 563
- 1 day
- +0.15%
- 7 day
- −2.17%
- Markets held
- 563
- Settled
- 0
- Rebalanced out
- 0
- Hit rate
- —
- Cash
- 52.3%
- Inception
- 2026-08-18
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 55
Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.
Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.
A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.
Holdings · 563 markets
held since 2026-08-18 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 85c0.1¢ spread · 13.8k/211.7k within 5¢polymarketYES85c95c+12.1%3.5%Polymarket ↗
- Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 8cpolymarketYES8c2c−77.8%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 80c1.0¢ spread · 13.5k/12.9k within 5¢polymarketYES80c93c+15.6%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 8cpolymarketYES8c1c−86.8%2.1%Polymarket ↗
- Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 72c0.1¢ spread · 1.5k/6.6k within 5¢polymarketYES72c86c+20.7%1.9%Polymarket ↗
- Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 5cpolymarketYES5c1c−72.2%1.5%Polymarket ↗
- Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 2cpolymarketYES2c1c−58.3%1.0%Polymarket ↗
- Will Beyoncé have 5200000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 98c28 sessions stalekalshiYES98c99c+0.5%0.8%Kalshi ↗
- Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 5cpolymarketYES5c1c−80.4%0.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 3cpolymarketYES3c1c−61.5%0.7%Polymarket ↗
- Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 10cpolymarketYES10c1c−90.0%0.5%Polymarket ↗
- Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 17cpolymarketYES17c7c−56.4%0.4%Polymarket ↗
- Will Taylor Swift have 26500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 87c4 sessions stalekalshiYES87c97c+11.5%0.3%Kalshi ↗
- Will Rihanna have 12250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 94c4 sessions stalekalshiYES94c98c+4.3%0.3%Kalshi ↗
- Will The Beatles have 4800000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 98c28 sessions stalekalshiYES98c98c0.0%0.3%Kalshi ↗
- Will Eminem have 10000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 75c4 sessions stalekalshiYES75c89c+18.7%0.3%Kalshi ↗
- Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 6cpolymarketYES6c5c−21.0%0.3%Polymarket ↗
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 5cpolymarketYES5c6c+28.7%0.2%Polymarket ↗
- Will Olivia Dean have 8000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 96c28 sessions stalekalshiYES96c80c−16.7%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 73cpolymarketYES73c92c+27.4%0.2%Polymarket ↗
- Will Frank Ocean have 3500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 98c28 sessions stalekalshiYES98c80c−17.9%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Odd Mob have 115000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 87c4 sessions stalekalshiYES87c51c−41.4%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Chris Stussy have 190000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 96c4 sessions stalekalshiYES96c85c−11.5%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will SZA be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?polymarket · YES · entry 2cpolymarketYES2c1c−52.4%0.2%Polymarket ↗
- Will Mau P have 235000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 95c4 sessions stalekalshiYES95c84c−11.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Don Toliver have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 6c4 sessions stalekalshiYES6c50c+725.0%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will The Beatles have 4900000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 96c28 sessions stalekalshiYES96c80c−17.2%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Bad Bunny have 32500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 71c4 sessions stalekalshiYES71c52c−26.2%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will 2Pac have 3500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 93c6 sessions stalekalshiYES93c94c+1.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will 2Pac have 3400000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 95c8 sessions stalekalshiYES95c98c+3.7%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Tyler, The Creator have 4000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 95c4 sessions stalekalshiYES95c96c+1.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Lady Gaga have 10500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 93c4 sessions stalekalshiYES93c96c+3.8%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Lady Gaga have 10250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 95c5 sessions stalekalshiYES95c97c+2.1%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Lady Gaga have 10750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 91c4 sessions stalekalshiYES91c93c+2.2%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Frank Ocean have 3700000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 97c28 sessions stalekalshiYES97c80c−17.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Tyler, The Creator have 4300000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 94c4 sessions stalekalshiYES94c78c−17.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Hamdi have 45000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 14c4 sessions stalekalshiYES14c27c+86.2%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Post Malone have 6750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 97c4 sessions stalekalshiYES97c98c+1.0%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will nimino have 260000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 94c4 sessions stalekalshiYES94c96c+1.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Hamdi have 47500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 12c4 sessions stalekalshiYES12c36c+208.7%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will it's murph have 170000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 50c4 sessions stalekalshiYES50c14c−71.0%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will it's murph have 140000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 96c4 sessions stalekalshiYES96c99c+2.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Michael Bibi have 32500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 38c4 sessions stalekalshiYES38c97c+158.7%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Hamdi have 35000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 64c6 sessions stalekalshiYES64c52c−18.9%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Daniel Allan have 45000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 50c4 sessions stalekalshiYES50c17c−67.0%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Daniel Allan have 50000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 31c4 sessions stalekalshiYES31c19c−39.3%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will it's murph have 175000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 40c4 sessions stalekalshiYES40c14c−64.6%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Odd Mob have 130000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 73c4 sessions stalekalshiYES73c27c−63.4%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will Harry Styles have 8750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 12c4 sessions stalekalshiYES12c38c+212.5%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Will SZA have 6750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?kalshi · YES · entry 91c4 sessions stalekalshiYES91c80c−12.1%0.2%Kalshi ↗
Showing the 50 heaviest of 563 constituents by weight. See the full book →
Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →
Key statistics
- Previous
- 36.66
- Band
- Low
- 53d Range
- 3062
- Percentile
- 2th
- 9d Change
- −16.4
- Volatility
- 5.7 pts/d
- Streak
- 2d down
- Markets
- 11
- Effective N
- 8.7
- Top Weight
- 15%
- Venues
- 11 P
- Method
- v1
Indicative tape · 7 sessions
97 hourly readings since 2026-10-22 · not the governed closeINDICATIVEHourly readings that reprice the roster and frozen weights of the last governed close — only prices moved. Each one was computed and recorded at the timestamp it carries; nothing here is reconstructed from venue history. They carry no sentinel screen, enter no ledger and join no checksum chain, and a refused hour breaks the line rather than being drawn through. The daily WET Close is the official value.
Daily close
53d published · interactive53 published close(s) — 0–100 (Low support → High support). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 40 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 53d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 45 readings, slope -0.26/day, projection σ 6.8 pts/d widened for a 45-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — InsidersInsiders
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — InsidersInsiders
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 11 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-11-14) · the basket below holds a different setWhere these markets are covered
3 of 11 constituents have a W.E.T. pageThe odds pages covering the individual contracts this index reads. They are the evidence underneath the reading, not readings themselves.
WARTI · at a glance
- What it is
- 11 culture markets carrying the "artist" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition.
- High vs low
- Higher = the markets are more torn — prices across the composition sit closer to a coin flip. Lower = more decided, in EITHER direction: a basket priced at 5% and one priced at 95% both read low. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
- Who cares
- Anyone tracking how artist is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 6 markets resolving inside 200 days.
Embed this score
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[](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/artist-culture-inside-six-months)<a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/artist-culture-inside-six-months"><img src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/indices/artist-culture-inside-six-months/badge" alt="WARTI — WET Index Score" /></a><iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/indices/artist-culture-inside-six-months" width="340" height="170" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="WARTI — WET Index Score" loading="lazy"></iframe>Quote this index
free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Nov 14, 2026, the W.E.T. Artist Culture Index 6mo (WARTI) prints a WET Index Score of 30.3/100 (Low), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.