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The W.E.T. Weather Desk

The forecast, priced by the market.

Real money on the thermometer. Every city's projected high, climate records, severe-weather watch and rain outlooks — read from venue-attributed prediction-market snapshots.

⛅

W.E.T. is an information and data service, not a gambling operator — these are market-implied odds, not a weather forecast or advice. Prediction markets carry risk and may be restricted where you live. See our methodology.

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W.E.T. is an independent index, data, and media service. It is not an exchange, broker, FCM, or DCM, and does not accept orders, hold funds, or execute trades. Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, and all other venue names and logos are trademarks of their respective owners; W.E.T. is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by any venue. Some outbound venue links are affiliate links — W.E.T. may earn a commission at no cost to you, and this never affects index composition, board ordering, or editorial coverage.

World Event Trading is an unregistered brand operated by Jordan V Powell, a Virginia sole proprietor.

Corbin V King is Jordan V Powell's public and editorial name.

© 2026 Jordan V Powell, operating as World Event Trading. All rights reserved.

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NORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEUROPEAFRICA & MIDDLE EASTASIAOCEANIA
Tap a region to zoom in

Forecasts — pick a region above, or a city

📈

Climate records

global heat

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Leading: Hottest · 323.3K contracts vol

81%

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Leading: 1 · $3.4M vol

75%

This Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?

Leading: Hottest ever · 113.7K contracts vol

95%

Aug 2026 temperature increase?

Leading: 1.30001 or above · 34.4K contracts vol

93%

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Leading: Hottest · 23.2K contracts vol

80%

This Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?

Leading: Hottest ever · 4.8K contracts vol

62%

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

Leading: 1.30001 or above · 1.3K contracts vol

91%
🌀

Severe weather watch

storms · quakes

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?

Leading: 12 · $33K vol

30%

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

Leading: Fay · 535.8K contracts vol

33%

Hurricane Count Atlantic Basin — 3

Leading: Hurricane Count Atlantic Basin — 3 · 1K contracts vol

54%

Which cities face tornado risk on September 5?

Leading: New Orleans, LA · $3.3K vol

48%

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Leading: Before 2027 · 448.8K contracts vol

5%

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Leading: Above 0 · 96.7K contracts vol

46%

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Leading: Above 4 · 57.9K contracts vol

7%

Hurricane Dolly category?

Leading: Category 1 or above · 46K contracts vol

1%

8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Leading: Before 2030 · 43.8K contracts vol

38%

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

Leading: Before 2027 · 40.5K contracts vol

14%

Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Leading: Above 10 · 40.5K contracts vol

44%

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

Leading: Lowell · 31.7K contracts vol

99%
🌧️

Rain & precipitation

outlook

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

Leading: <75mm · $9.3K vol

40%

Where will it rain on Sep 5, 2026?

Leading: New Orleans · 518.6K contracts vol

99%

Where will it rain on September 4?

Leading: New York, NY · $8.9K vol

99%

Rain in Los Angeles in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch · 36.5K contracts vol

22%

Where will it rain on Sep 6, 2026?

Leading: Miami · 24.5K contracts vol

89%

Rain in San Francisco in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch · 21.6K contracts vol

18%

Rain in Houston in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 4 inches · 18.3K contracts vol

83%

Where will it rain this weekend (Sep 5 - Sep 6)?

Leading: New Orleans · 16.8K contracts vol

99%

Rain in NYC in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 2 inches · 13K contracts vol

94%

Rain in Miami in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 4 inches · 12.4K contracts vol

94%

Rain in Seattle in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch · 10.3K contracts vol

85%

Rain in Chicago in Sep 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch · 7.4K contracts vol

89%