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Home/Weather

The W.E.T. Weather Desk

The forecast, priced by the market.

Real money on the thermometer. Every city's projected high, climate records, severe-weather watch and rain outlooks — read straight off live Kalshi & Polymarket odds, settled in cents.

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W.E.T. is an information and data service, not a gambling operator — these are market-implied odds, not a weather forecast or advice. Prediction markets carry risk and may be restricted where you live. See our methodology.

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Every market, both venues, repricing in real time.

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Every Senate, House, and governor race — priced daily.

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Editorial: accuracy research, strategy, venue deep-dives.

The W.E.T. Weather Desk

Every city's high, priced by the market — a long-tail desk.

Tap a region to zoom in

Busiest forecasts — pick a region above, or a city

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Climate records

global heat

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Leading: 2 · $3.2M vol

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

1 outcomes

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

1 outcomes

Jul 2026 temperature increase?

Leading: 1.10 to 1.16

This Jul 2026 is the hottest July ever?

1 outcomes

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Severe weather watch

storms · quakes

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

1 outcomes

8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

1 outcomes

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

1 outcomes

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

1 outcomes

Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Leading: Above 10

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Leading: Above 0

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Leading: Above 4

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Leading: Above 16

How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Leading: Above 4

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?

Leading: Genevieve

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

Leading: Lala

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?

Leading: Nana

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Rain & precipitation

outlook

Rain in San Francisco in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch

Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch

Rain in Miami in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 3 inches

Rain in Los Angeles in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 2 inches

Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 4 inches

Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 1 inch

Rain in Dallas in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 2 inches

Rain in Chicago in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 4 inches

Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 3 inches

Rain in St. Petersburg, FL in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 7 inches

Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?

Leading: Above 4 inches

Where will it rain on Jul 23, 2026?

Leading: Denver