Prediction Desk
Entertainment Prediction Market Odds & Probability (2026)
Across dated snapshots through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 79 open-status entertainment markets, with $47M in comparable USD-reported volume. This desk covers movies, tv, streaming, awards, box office. Below is every open-at-snapshot entertainment market W.E.T. tracks from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each price remains venue-attributed; numerical comparison is withheld without exact identity. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to the USD figure. These are dated observations, not continuous quotes, tips, or forecasts.
79
Open snapshots
$47M
Comparable volume
79
Priced snapshots
Closest calls — near a coin flip
Open-at-snapshot Entertainment marketscorpus through November 5, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?
240-259 · Polymarket · $392.1K vol
Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? — Odds
280-299 · Polymarket · $2M vol
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner — Odds
Yes · Polymarket · $127.7K vol
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner — Odds
Ella Langley · Polymarket · $43.6K vol
Grammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner — Odds
WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! - RAYE · Polymarket · $25.4K vol
GTA VI released by...? — Odds & Probability
November 30 · Polymarket · $296.2K vol
Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Odds & Probability
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Polymarket · $18M vol
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...? — Odds
December 31, 2027 · Polymarket · $797K vol
Next James Bond actor? — Odds & Probability
Callum Turner · Polymarket · $2M vol
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations — Odds & Probability
John Malkovich · Polymarket · $221.5K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner — Odds & Probability
John Malkovich · Polymarket · $291.3K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner — Odds & Probability
Julianne Moore · Polymarket · $166.7K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner — Odds
Wildwood · Polymarket · $90.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations — Odds
Paper Trail · Polymarket · $79.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
NAZA · Polymarket · $99.7K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner — Odds & Probability
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $743.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $82.9K vol
Taylor Swift pregnant by...? — Odds & Probability
December 31, 2026 · Polymarket · $2.1M vol
The Last of Us S3: Release date — Odds & Probability
Before Jan 2028 · Kalshi · 35.1K contracts vol
Top Spotify Artist 2026 — Odds & Probability
Bad Bunny · Polymarket · $1.8M vol
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1 · Polymarket · $3.9M vol
Which artists will release new albums in 2026? — Odds
Lil Uzi Vert · Polymarket · $290.3K vol
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Polymarket · $249.3K vol
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? — Odds
Avengers: Doomsday · Polymarket · $353.6K vol
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds
Avengers: Doomsday · Polymarket · $2.7M vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations — Odds
La Nieve - The Black Ball · Polymarket · $90.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations — Odds
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · $86.7K vol
Top Spotify Song 2026 — Odds & Probability
End of Beginning – Djo · Polymarket · $304K vol
Weed rescheduled by...? — Odds & Probability
December 31 · Polymarket · $832.8K vol
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $272.7K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations — Odds
The Debut · Polymarket · $99K vol
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Mariah Carey · Polymarket · $201.3K vol
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner — Odds & Probability
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky · Polymarket · $57.8K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $65.6K vol
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner — Odds & Probability
Other (Season Cancelled) · Polymarket · $2.5M vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $87K vol
When will Elder Scrolls VI be released? — Odds
Before 2028 · Kalshi · 41.8K contracts vol
When will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond
Before Dec 1, 2027 · Kalshi · 12.2K contracts vol
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner — Odds & Probability
Christopher Nolan · Polymarket · $56.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner — Odds
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · $64.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations — Odds
Anne Hathaway · Polymarket · $113.1K vol
Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner — Odds
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo · Polymarket · $34.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner — Odds
You Can See Everything · Polymarket · $45.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball · Polymarket · $53.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner — Odds
Wild Horse Nine · Polymarket · $44.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner — Odds
Anne Hathaway · Polymarket · $49.3K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner — Odds
The Black Ball · Polymarket · $44.3K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $33.9K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $30.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner — Odds & Probability
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $25.3K vol
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
Yes · Polymarket · $451.4K vol
Which artists will release a new song in 2026? — Odds
Nicki Minaj · Polymarket · $140.6K vol
Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026? — Odds
NewJeans · Polymarket · $125.5K vol
Big Brother Season 28 Winner — Odds & Probability
Rick Devens · Polymarket · $220.8K vol
Billboard #1 Artist 2026 — Odds & Probability
Morgan Wallen · Polymarket · $238.8K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner — Odds
The Black Ball · Polymarket · $25.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner — Odds
Wildwood · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner — Odds
Once Upon a Time in Harlem · Polymarket · $24.3K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner — Odds
The Debut · Polymarket · $37.5K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner — Odds
Dune: Part Three · Polymarket · $19.7K vol
Which artists will release new albums in 2026? — Odds
Lana Del Rey · Polymarket · $233.3K vol
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Polymarket · $2.2M vol
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? — Odds
Avengers: Doomsday · Polymarket · $172K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $26.8K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $32.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner — Odds
Dune: Part Three · Polymarket · $19.7K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $25.9K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner — Odds
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · $26.4K vol
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? — Odds
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Polymarket · $435.4K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner — Odds
Anne Hathaway · Polymarket · $16.1K vol
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $181K vol
When will Beyonce release new album? — Odds
Before Jan 1, 2028 · Kalshi · 12.7K contracts vol
The Game Awards: Best Independent Game — Odds
Mina the Hollower · Polymarket · $40.4K vol
TIME Person of the Year 2026 — Odds & Probability
Zohran Mamdani · Polymarket · $41.4K vol
Top Spotify Album 2026 — Odds & Probability
Debí Tirar Más Fotos · Polymarket · $63.4K vol
Top US Spotify Artist 2026 — Odds & Probability
Drake · Polymarket · $119K vol
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their
Yes · Polymarket · $53.1K vol
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool · Polymarket · $138.5K vol
The Game Awards: Best Mobile Game — Odds & Probability
Arknights: Endfield · Polymarket · $31.1K vol
Recently settled
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the entertainment board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
Frequently asked questions
What does W.E.T.'s latest entertainment market snapshot record?
Across dated snapshots through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 79 entertainment markets with an open status from Kalshi and Polymarket, with $47M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded. Each snapshot shows implied probability — the captured market price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Odds & Probability". These are dated observations, not forecasts or continuously updated quotes.
Which entertainment market has the largest comparable USD-reported volume?
Among open-status snapshots through November 5, 2026, "Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Odds & Probability" has the largest comparable USD-reported volume. Its captured read records a 94% implied probability for Spider-Man: Brand New Day on Polymarket, on $18M in volume.
Are these entertainment odds a prediction of what will happen?
No. These are dated prediction-market prices shown as implied probability — captured observations, not current quotes, advice, or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify current prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.