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Prediction Desk
Prediction markets are pricing 21 live entertainment markets right now, with $52.6M in combined volume as of July 22, 2026. This desk covers movies, tv, streaming, awards, box office. Below is every entertainment market W.E.T. tracks on Kalshi and Polymarket — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue read where both venues list it. These are live market prices shown as probability, not tips or forecasts.
21
Live markets
$52.6M
Combined volume
21
Priced outcomes
New Rihanna Album · Polymarket · $23.4M vol
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · $22.9M vol
160-179 · Polymarket · $2.6M vol
180-199 · Polymarket · $1.8M vol
720-759 · Polymarket · $873.4K vol
July 22 · Polymarket · $377.1K vol
260-280m · Polymarket · $159.7K vol
The Hawk: Season 1 · Polymarket · $137.5K vol
Jerome Powell · Polymarket · $66.6K vol
510m · Polymarket · $54.7K vol
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 · Polymarket · $48.8K vol
Save America Act · Polymarket · $45K vol
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 · Polymarket · $44.4K vol
Weijia Jiang · Polymarket · $38.6K vol
Oscar Isaac – “Beef” · Polymarket · $35.8K vol
Dee Valladares · Polymarket · $33.8K vol
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” · Polymarket · $32.1K vol
↑ 140m · Polymarket · $27.3K vol
Before Jan 2028 · Kalshi · $26.6K vol
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” · Polymarket · $25.4K vol
Before Dec 1, 2027 · Kalshi · $10.6K vol
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
As of July 22, 2026, W.E.T. is tracking 21 live entertainment markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, with $52.6M in combined volume. Each shows implied probability — the market's price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "What will happen before GTA VI? — Odds & Probability". These are live trading prices, not forecasts.
As of July 22, 2026, the most-traded entertainment market is "What will happen before GTA VI? — Odds & Probability", where the market implies a 51% chance of New Rihanna Album on Polymarket, on $23.4M in volume.
No. These are live prices from prediction markets, shown as implied probability — a reflection of what traders are collectively paying, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify live prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.