Prediction Desk
Entertainment Prediction Market Odds & Probability (2026)
Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 74 open-status entertainment markets, with $59M in comparable USD-reported volume. This desk covers movies, tv, streaming, awards, box office. Below is every open-at-snapshot entertainment market W.E.T. tracks from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each price remains venue-attributed; numerical comparison is withheld without exact identity. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to the USD figure. These are dated observations, not continuous quotes, tips, or forecasts.
74
Open snapshots
$59M
Comparable volume
74
Priced snapshots
Closest calls — near a coin flip
Open-at-snapshot Entertainment marketscorpus through September 5, 2026
Billboard #1 Artist 2026 — Odds & Probability
Morgan Wallen · Polymarket · $224.2K vol
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
240-259 · Polymarket · $890.6K vol
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? — Odds
Yes · Polymarket · $309.6K vol
Next James Bond actor? — Odds & Probability
No Bond chosen · Polymarket · $630.6K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations — Odds & Probability
Matt Damon · Polymarket · $28.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner — Odds
Wildwood · Polymarket · $21.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner — Odds
American Doctor · Polymarket · $18K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner — Odds
Wild Horse Nine · Polymarket · $26.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner — Odds
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · $13.1K vol
Top Spotify Artist 2026 — Odds & Probability
Bad Bunny · Polymarket · $1.6M vol
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? — Odds
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Polymarket · $352.4K vol
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? — Odds
200-219 · Polymarket · $2.7M vol
Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Odds & Probability
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Polymarket · $17.3M vol
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball · Polymarket · $13K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner — Odds & Probability
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $136.5K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner — Odds
Anne Hathaway · Polymarket · $15.5K vol
Weed rescheduled by...? — Odds & Probability
December 31 · Polymarket · $802.3K vol
When will Beyonce release new album? — Odds
Before Jan 1, 2028 · Kalshi · 12K contracts vol
When will Elder Scrolls VI be released? — Odds
Before 2028 · Kalshi · 35.7K contracts vol
Taylor Swift pregnant by...? — Odds & Probability
December 31, 2026 · Polymarket · $2M vol
Which artists will release new albums in 2026? — Odds
Lana Del Rey · Polymarket · $221.4K vol
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds
Avengers: Doomsday · Polymarket · $2.1M vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by
940 - 950m · Polymarket · $90.1K vol
Big Brother Season 28 Winner — Odds & Probability
Yash Patel · Polymarket · $125.4K vol
Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place — Odds & Probability
Angela Murray · Polymarket · $43K vol
Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place — Odds & Probability
Angela Murray · Polymarket · $71.9K vol
Carly Rae Jepsen 'Day and Night' First Week Album Sales?
<30k · Polymarket · $40.5K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series — Odds
“Widow’s Bay” · Polymarket · $81.2K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series
Rob Reiner – “The Bear” · Polymarket · $42K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” · Polymarket · $72.5K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” · Polymarket · $67.4K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or
Oscar Isaac – “Beef” · Polymarket · $56.4K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or
Carey Mulligan – “Beef” · Polymarket · $49.6K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” · Polymarket · $39.4K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” · Polymarket · $55.9K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” · Polymarket · $41K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series — Odds
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” · Polymarket · $94.4K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live) — Odds
Yes · Polymarket · $60.3K vol
GTA VI released by...? — Odds & Probability
November 30 · Polymarket · $75.4K vol
How many Emmys will “Beef” win? — Odds & Probability
2-3 · Polymarket · $51.2K vol
How many Emmys will “Hacks” win? — Odds & Probability
2-3 · Polymarket · $108.4K vol
How many Emmys will “The Pitt” win? — Odds & Probability
2-3 · Polymarket · $46.9K vol
How many Emmys will “Widow's Bay” win? — Odds
4-5 · Polymarket · $42.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner — Odds & Probability
Matt Damon · Polymarket · $104.5K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner — Odds
Dune: Part Three · Polymarket · $18.8K vol
The Game Awards: Best Independent Game — Odds
Mina the Hollower · Polymarket · $40.4K vol
TIME Person of the Year 2026 — Odds & Probability
Zohran Mamdani · Polymarket · $41.4K vol
Top Spotify Album 2026 — Odds & Probability
Debí Tirar Más Fotos · Polymarket · $63.4K vol
Top Spotify Song 2026 — Odds & Probability
End of Beginning – Djo · Polymarket · $112.9K vol
Top US Spotify Artist 2026 — Odds & Probability
Drake · Polymarket · $119K vol
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Mariah Carey · Polymarket · $167.2K vol
Which streaming service will win the most Emmys? — Odds
HBO Max · Polymarket · $74.3K vol
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their
Yes · Polymarket · $53.1K vol
How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win? — Odds
0-1 · Polymarket · $133.4K vol
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · $23.7M vol
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner — Odds & Probability
Julianne Moore · Polymarket · $106.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner — Odds
The Black Ball · Polymarket · $19.2K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $21K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $20K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations — Odds
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $19.6K vol
The Last of Us S3: Release date — Odds & Probability
Before Jan 2028 · Kalshi · 36.5K contracts vol
When will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · 10.8K contracts vol
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool · Polymarket · $138.5K vol
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $127.9K vol
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner — Odds & Probability
Other (Season Cancelled) · Polymarket · $2.5M vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” · Polymarket · $31.1K vol
How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win? — Odds & Probability
2-3 · Polymarket · $30.2K vol
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? — Odds
Yes · Polymarket · $115.3K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series
Jean Smart – “Hacks” · Polymarket · $28.2K vol
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” · Polymarket · $34.7K vol
The Game Awards: Best Mobile Game — Odds & Probability
Arknights: Endfield · Polymarket · $31.1K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner — Odds & Probability
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $8.9K vol
# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft
30-49 · Polymarket · $394.7K vol
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner — Odds & Probability
Christopher Nolan · Polymarket · $6K vol
Recently settled
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the entertainment board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
Frequently asked questions
What does W.E.T.'s latest entertainment market snapshot record?
Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 74 entertainment markets with an open status from Kalshi and Polymarket, with $59M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded. Each snapshot shows implied probability — the captured market price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability". These are dated observations, not forecasts or continuously updated quotes.
Which entertainment market has the largest comparable USD-reported volume?
Among open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026, "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability" has the largest comparable USD-reported volume. Its captured read records a 8% implied probability for Yulia Navalnaya on Polymarket, on $23.7M in volume.
Are these entertainment odds a prediction of what will happen?
No. These are dated prediction-market prices shown as implied probability — captured observations, not current quotes, advice, or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify current prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.