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Prediction Desk
Prediction markets are pricing 4 live politics markets right now, with $971.7K in combined volume as of July 22, 2026. This desk covers us and global political markets, elections, policy outcomes. Below is every politics market W.E.T. tracks on Kalshi and Polymarket — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue read where both venues list it. These are live market prices shown as probability, not tips or forecasts.
4
Live markets
$971.7K
Combined volume
4
Priced outcomes
July 31 · Polymarket · $863.6K vol
Before Jan 1, 2027 · Kalshi · $54.6K vol
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · $27.5K vol
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · $26K vol
As of July 22, 2026, W.E.T. is tracking 4 live politics markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, with $971.7K in combined volume. Each shows implied probability — the market's price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...? — Odds & Probability". These are live trading prices, not forecasts.
As of July 22, 2026, the most-traded politics market is "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...? — Odds & Probability", where the market implies a 99% chance of July 31 on Polymarket, on $863.6K in volume.
No. These are live prices from prediction markets, shown as implied probability — a reflection of what traders are collectively paying, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify live prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.