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Prediction Desk
Prediction markets are pricing 27 live world markets right now, with $164.9M in combined volume as of July 22, 2026. This desk covers international relations, conflicts, global events. Below is every world market W.E.T. tracks on Kalshi and Polymarket — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue read where both venues list it. These are live market prices shown as probability, not tips or forecasts.
27
Live markets
$164.9M
Combined volume
27
Priced outcomes
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · $114.4M vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $10.8M vol
August 15 · Polymarket · $7.8M vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $7.1M vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $5.3M vol
No Meeting by September 30 · Polymarket · $3M vol
July 21 · Polymarket · $2.1M vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $2M vol
Bilibili Gaming · Polymarket · $1.7M vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $921K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $912.9K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $891.8K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $874.2K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $866.9K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $865.9K vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $708.9K vol
Yes · Polymarket · $679.3K vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $660.6K vol
Renan Santos · Polymarket · $445.2K vol
September 30 · Polymarket · $377.2K vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $298.1K vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $246K vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $243.2K vol
Giorgia Meloni · Polymarket · $232.9K vol
25°C · Polymarket · $183.3K vol
Yes · Polymarket · $158.7K vol
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
As of July 22, 2026, W.E.T. is tracking 27 live world markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, with $164.9M in combined volume. Each shows implied probability — the market's price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Brazil Presidential Election — Odds & Probability". These are live trading prices, not forecasts.
As of July 22, 2026, the most-traded world market is "Brazil Presidential Election — Odds & Probability", where the market implies a 61% chance of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on Polymarket, on $114.4M in volume.
No. These are live prices from prediction markets, shown as implied probability — a reflection of what traders are collectively paying, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify live prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.