Prediction Desk
Tech Prediction Market Odds & Probability (2026)
Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 20 open-status tech markets, with $12.5M in comparable USD-reported volume. This desk covers technology companies, ai, regulation, innovation. Below is every open-at-snapshot tech market W.E.T. tracks from Polymarket. Each price remains venue-attributed; numerical comparison is withheld without exact identity. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to the USD figure. These are dated observations, not continuous quotes, tips, or forecasts.
20
Open snapshots
$12.5M
Comparable volume
19
Priced snapshots
Closest calls — near a coin flip
Open-at-snapshot Tech marketscorpus through September 5, 2026
New pandemic in 2026? — Odds & Probability
New pandemic in 2026? · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1 · Polymarket · $3.4M vol
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Odds
Anthropic · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Which company has the best AI model end of September
Anthropic · Polymarket · $2M vol
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026? — Odds
Dolly Parton · Polymarket · $71.3K vol
Best Chinese AI Company end of September 2026? — Odds
Alibaba · Polymarket · $193K vol
Gemini 4.0 released by...? — Odds & Probability
November 30 · Polymarket · $367.6K vol
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September
Alibaba · Polymarket · $40.4K vol
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September
Anthropic · Polymarket · $124.9K vol
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model
Anthropic · Polymarket · $68.1K vol
GTA 6 launch postponed again? — Odds & Probability
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Polymarket · $766K vol
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…? — Odds
October 31 · Polymarket · $693.4K vol
OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — Odds & Probability
October 31 · Polymarket · $417.2K vol
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? — Odds
October 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Which company has the best AI model end of September
Anthropic · Polymarket · $609.8K vol
Best Chinese AI Company end of September 2026? — Odds
Alibaba · Polymarket · $128.2K vol
Which company has the best AI model end of October 2026?
Anthropic · Polymarket · $50.2K vol
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — Odds & Probability
October 31 · Polymarket · $126.9K vol
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $163.9K vol
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 — Odds & Probability
Recently settled
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the tech board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
Frequently asked questions
What does W.E.T.'s latest tech market snapshot record?
Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 20 tech markets with an open status from Polymarket, with $12.5M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded. Each snapshot shows implied probability — the captured market price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?". These are dated observations, not forecasts or continuously updated quotes.
Which tech market has the largest comparable USD-reported volume?
Among open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026, "Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?" has the largest comparable USD-reported volume. Its captured read records a 77% implied probability for 1 on Polymarket, on $3.4M in volume.
Are these tech odds a prediction of what will happen?
No. These are dated prediction-market prices shown as implied probability — captured observations, not current quotes, advice, or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
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