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Prediction Desk
Prediction markets are pricing 11 live economy markets right now, with $88.6M in combined volume as of July 22, 2026. This desk covers fed decisions, inflation, employment, gdp forecasts. Below is every economy market W.E.T. tracks on Kalshi and Polymarket — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue read where both venues list it. These are live market prices shown as probability, not tips or forecasts.
11
Live markets
$88.6M
Combined volume
11
Priced outcomes
No change · Polymarket · $82M vol
25 bps increase · Polymarket · $4M vol
Pause–Pause–Pause · Polymarket · $803.7K vol
No change · Polymarket · $474.3K vol
Other · Polymarket · $454.2K vol
Other · Polymarket · $355.7K vol
Decrease · Polymarket · $337.6K vol
25 bps decrease · Polymarket · $155.2K vol
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · $28.4K vol
Before Oct 1, 2027 · Kalshi · $23.1K vol
Before Jun 1, 2027 · Kalshi · $9.3K vol
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
As of July 22, 2026, W.E.T. is tracking 11 live economy markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, with $88.6M in combined volume. Each shows implied probability — the market's price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Fed Decision in July 2026? — Odds & Probability". These are live trading prices, not forecasts.
As of July 22, 2026, the most-traded economy market is "Fed Decision in July 2026? — Odds & Probability", where the market implies a 86% chance of No change on Polymarket, on $82M in volume.
No. These are live prices from prediction markets, shown as implied probability — a reflection of what traders are collectively paying, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify live prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.