Prediction Desk

Elections Prediction Market Odds & Probability (2026)

Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 465 open-status elections markets, with $202.1M in comparable USD-reported volume. This desk covers us and international election markets. Below is every open-at-snapshot elections market W.E.T. tracks from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each price remains venue-attributed; numerical comparison is withheld without exact identity. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to the USD figure. These are dated observations, not continuous quotes, tips, or forecasts.

465

Open snapshots

$202.1M

Comparable volume

362

Priced snapshots

Closest calls — near a coin flip

Open-at-snapshot Elections marketscorpus through September 5, 2026

Alaska Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · $1.2M vol

61%

Amapá Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Dr. Furlan · Polymarket · $6K vol

78%

Berlin State Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CDU · Polymarket · $3.5M vol

43%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner — Odds

Lula · Polymarket · $18.6K vol

90%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Lula · Polymarket · $24.1K vol

65%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $6.5M vol

89%

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor · Polymarket · $13.2K vol

86%

GA-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $42K vol

95%

MA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $63.2K vol

95%

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds

Democrat 3%+ · Polymarket · $23K vol

80%

Next Prime Minister of Romania? — Odds & Probability

Alexandru Nazare · Polymarket · $3.5M vol

40%

Next Prime Minister of Sweden — Odds & Probability

Magdalena Andersson · Polymarket · $4.7M vol

81%

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Raquel Lyra · Polymarket · $46.1K vol

54%

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds

Gadi Eizenkot · Polymarket · $35.3M vol

48%

RI-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $31.4K vol

96%

RI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $34.8K vol

95%

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner — Odds

Eduardo Paes · Polymarket · $453.1K vol

91%

São Paulo Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Tarcísio de Freitas · Polymarket · $303.9K vol

98%

TX-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $47.8K vol

93%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian

United Russia (ER) · Polymarket · $24.9M vol

69%

Which party will win the House in 2026? — Odds

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $10.1M vol

88%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Odds & Probability

Democrats Sweep · Polymarket · $11M vol

50%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of

Lula da Silva <5% · Polymarket · $385.5K vol

45%

Ceará Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Ciro Gomes · Polymarket · $210.4K vol

65%

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner — Odds

Ricardo Ferraço · Polymarket · $37.6K vol

58%

Maine Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Troy Jackson (D) · Polymarket · $1.2M vol

70%

MO-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.7K vol

90%

ND-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $59.1K vol

96%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds

Chris Pappas · Polymarket · $158.3K vol

96%

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner — Odds

Democrat · Polymarket · $93.3K vol

83%

NJ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.8K vol

82%

NY-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14.1K vol

93%

Ohio Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Amy Acton (D) · Polymarket · $181.5K vol

56%

Paraná Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Sergio Moro · Polymarket · $107.5K vol

85%

UT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.8K vol

95%

VA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.8K vol

82%

Vermont Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $65.9K vol

88%

Will Trump run for a third term? — Odds & Probability

Before Election Day · Kalshi · 144.2K contracts vol

22%

Žilina Region Governor Election Winner — Odds

Erika Jurinová · Polymarket · $6.7K vol

62%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election — Odds & Probability

Karen Bass · Polymarket · $13.5M vol

65%

Michigan Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Abdul El-Sayed (D) · Polymarket · $648.2K vol

65%

Nebraska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Pete Ricketts (R) · Polymarket · $219.4K vol

69%

Ohio Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Sherrod Brown (D) · Polymarket · $206.3K vol

56%

Texas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

James Talarico (D) · Polymarket · $994.6K vol

51%

Trnava Region Governor Election Winner — Odds

Jozef Viskupič · Polymarket · $5.2K vol

76%

Trump out as President before 2027? — Odds & Probability

Trump out as President before 2027? · Polymarket · $11.4M vol

6%

TX-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol

92%

TX-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $36.2K vol

92%

TX-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $44.8K vol

94%

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — Odds

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.1M vol

52%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

David Crowley (D) · Polymarket · $555.6K vol

83%

Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Otti Alex Chioma · Polymarket · $9.5K vol

90%

Acre Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Alan Rick · Polymarket · $35.1K vol

51%

Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Ahmed Galadima · Polymarket · $16.5K vol

56%

Alaska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $465K vol

64%

Blue wave in 2026? — Odds & Probability

Blue wave in 2026? · Polymarket · $59.8K vol

77%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Lula · Polymarket · $20.8K vol

64%

Bulgaria Presidential Election — Odds & Probability

Iliana Iotova · Polymarket · $419.1K vol

68%

California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · $40.9M vol

96%

FL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $7.7K vol

70%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Yashar · Polymarket · $245.8K vol

55%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD · Polymarket · $635.9K vol

94%

Nevada Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Joe Lombardo (R) · Polymarket · $89.3K vol

57%

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held — Odds

PL · Polymarket · $50.3K vol

90%

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and

Željko Komšić · Polymarket · $108.1K vol

13%

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? — Odds

Sven Schulze · Polymarket · $66.5K vol

70%

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner — Odds & Probability

Maura Sullivan · Polymarket · $62.2K vol

69%

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner — Odds & Probability

Anthony DiLorenzo · Polymarket · $74.3K vol

75%

NY-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $20.5K vol

93%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm

≤47 · Polymarket · $2.9M vol

27%

Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds

Helena Foulkes · Polymarket · $47.7K vol

99%

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds

Elaine Pelino · Polymarket · $54.3K vol

93%

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place — Odds

Benedita da Silva · Polymarket · $43.7K vol

52%

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

Yes · Polymarket · $295.4K vol

65%

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Odds

Yes · Polymarket · $440.4K vol

90%

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?

5-7% · Polymarket · $54.1K vol

63%

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

38-41 · Polymarket · $55.1K vol

70%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Odds

Sweden Democrats (SD) · Polymarket · $55.5K vol

74%

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative

325–339 · Polymarket · $322.8K vol

37%

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in

Yes · Polymarket · $471K vol

13%

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Yes · Polymarket · $398.6K vol

97%

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10% · Polymarket · $129.7K vol

28%

Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Yakubu Adamu · Polymarket · $15.2K vol

31%

CA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol

96%

CA-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol

94%

CA-45 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.5K vol

92%

Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Otu Bassey Edet · Polymarket · $5K vol

77%

Iowa Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Ashley Hinson (R) · Polymarket · $223.2K vol

61%

Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Umaru Dikko Radda · Polymarket · $14.4K vol

80%

Maranhão Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Eduardo Braide · Polymarket · $72.4K vol

69%

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner — Odds

Democrat · Polymarket · $41.4K vol

95%

MD-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $56.5K vol

91%

MI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $50.7K vol

96%

Montana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $117.8K vol

92%

Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed · Polymarket · $14.2K vol

68%

Nigerian Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

APC · Polymarket · $5.2K vol

79%

NY-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.1K vol

95%

Oregon Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $40.6K vol

86%

PA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.9K vol

92%

Quebec General Election Winner — Odds & Probability

PQ · Polymarket · $868.6K vol

66%

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner — Odds

Luciano Zucco · Polymarket · $96.2K vol

55%

TN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.2K vol

89%

TN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $40.4K vol

90%

TX-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $13.4K vol

89%

TX-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol

91%

VA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.2K vol

93%

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? — Odds

Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $89.4K vol

99%

Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Eno Umo Bassey · Polymarket · $13.4K vol

74%

Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Alia Hyacinth Iormem · Polymarket · $13.3K vol

57%

Borno, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Mustapha Gubio · Polymarket · $4.6K vol

86%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $18.1K vol

92%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $17.5K vol

68%

CA-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $17.1K vol

95%

Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna · Polymarket · $4.9K vol

83%

Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Mbah Peter Ndubuisi · Polymarket · $8.2K vol

77%

How many seats will United Russia win in the next

325–339 · Polymarket · $290.1K vol

34%

Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Uba Sani · Polymarket · $19.9K vol

69%

Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Nasir Idris · Polymarket · $12.1K vol

86%

KS-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $28.3K vol

94%

Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Obafemi Hamzat · Polymarket · $8.3K vol

84%

NJ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.2K vol

96%

NJ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.4K vol

96%

PA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.9K vol

79%

WI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $35.2K vol

90%

Alabama Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $16.1K vol

90%

Bahia Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Jerônimo Rodrigues · Polymarket · $129.1K vol

56%

CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds

Scott Wiener · Polymarket · $13K vol

60%

FL-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $57.3K vol

95%

TX-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $33K vol

94%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Lula · Polymarket · $10.4K vol

65%

Goiás Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Daniel Vilela · Polymarket · $34.9K vol

96%

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win

3 · Polymarket · $75.4K vol

93%

Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner — Odds

Wellington Fagundes · Polymarket · $20.4K vol

61%

Next Premier of Quebec — Odds & Probability

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon · Polymarket · $262.7K vol

69%

Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Abimbola Adekanmbi · Polymarket · $8.1K vol

50%

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Chinda Kingsley Ogundu · Polymarket · $13.4K vol

83%

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee — Odds

Raphael Glucksmann · Polymarket · $41.1K vol

73%

Texas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Greg Abbott (R) · Polymarket · $88.2K vol

83%

Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats? — Odds

35+ · Polymarket · $33.4K vol

26%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Lula · Polymarket · $16.2K vol

93%

CT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.4K vol

95%

FL-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol

93%

Georgia Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Jon Ossoff (D) · Polymarket · $122.5K vol

94%

Gombe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna · Polymarket · $10.3K vol

70%

Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Salihu Danladi · Polymarket · $5.8K vol

71%

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner — Odds

AS · Polymarket · $210.3K vol

66%

MI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol

92%

MI-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.6K vol

95%

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner — Odds

Cleitinho Azevedo · Polymarket · $369.4K vol

78%

Mississippi Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $44.6K vol

94%

MN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.6K vol

93%

MN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.9K vol

95%

NM-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22K vol

93%

NY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.6K vol

95%

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola · Polymarket · $6K vol

81%

OR-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol

96%

PA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol

96%

PA-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.7K vol

95%

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner — Odds

Democrat · Polymarket · $49.1K vol

96%

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place — Odds

Benedita da Silva · Polymarket · $36.1K vol

20%

SC-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.7K vol

96%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds

Republican · Polymarket · $158.9K vol

85%

TX-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol

95%

TX-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $23K vol

95%

TX-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.3K vol

95%

UT-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $41.2K vol

95%

UT-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $12.3K vol

95%

VA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.8K vol

95%

WA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $49.3K vol

76%

WA-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $30.6K vol

95%

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner — Odds

Tim O'Hare · Polymarket · $28.5K vol

65%

Amazonas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Omar Aziz · Polymarket · $12.1K vol

59%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $14.2K vol

78%

Florida Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Ashley Moody (R) · Polymarket · $105.9K vol

92%

IN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.1K vol

95%

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place — Odds & Probability

Fufuca · Polymarket · $27.9K vol

27%

Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner — Odds

PAM · Polymarket · $36.8K vol

42%

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and

Zukan Helez · Polymarket · $69.3K vol

25%

OH-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $65.4K vol

95%

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place — Odds & Probability

Dr. Fernando Máximo · Polymarket · $29.3K vol

51%

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place — Odds

Guilherme Derrite · Polymarket · $30.2K vol

51%

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place — Odds

Marina Silva · Polymarket · $37.1K vol

28%

Sergipe Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Fábio · Polymarket · $15.6K vol

78%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Odds

Moderate Party (M) · Polymarket · $52.5K vol

67%

VA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $65.4K vol

95%

WI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.9K vol

88%

Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Baba Wali · Polymarket · $6.3K vol

87%

Florida Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Byron Donalds (R) · Polymarket · $56.6K vol

79%

France United Left Primary Winner — Odds & Probability

Canceled · Polymarket · $210.5K vol

94%

IN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol

95%

Jigawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds

Namadi Umar Alhaji · Polymarket · $4.1K vol

89%

Tocantins Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Professora Dorinha · Polymarket · $14.8K vol

52%

VA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $60.6K vol

95%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $44.8K vol

62%

CA-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $11.5K vol

88%

IN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $24K vol

96%

IN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol

95%

MD-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol

95%

NC-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.4K vol

91%

NC-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $64.2K vol

95%

NY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol

93%

NY-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $62.2K vol

97%

South Dakota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $22.4K vol

96%

WA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol

96%

AZ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.8K vol

91%

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California

Yes · Polymarket · $3.7M vol

30%

CA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol

95%

CA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $48.5K vol

95%

Federal District Governor Election Winner — Odds

Celina Leão · Polymarket · $6K vol

77%

Kentucky Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Andy Barr (R) · Polymarket · $31.3K vol

95%

MS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $114.9K vol

95%

New Mexico Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $31.8K vol

92%

New York Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $103.5K vol

95%

NY-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $56K vol

95%

NY-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.2K vol

91%

OH-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.7K vol

94%

PA-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $13.6K vol

90%

Rhode Island Governor Election Winner — Odds

Democrat · Polymarket · $66.4K vol

95%

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner — Odds

Allyson · Polymarket · $14.1K vol

75%

TX-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol

86%

TX-30 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.1K vol

96%

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds

Aisha Wahab · Polymarket · $19.1K vol

88%

CA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $105.1K vol

97%

IN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $31.2K vol

95%

KY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol

95%

MI-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $38.7K vol

98%

NE-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $15K vol

95%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Lula · Polymarket · $12.5K vol

95%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $21.4K vol

78%

CA-36 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.4K vol

95%

FL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol

93%

FL-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $26.1K vol

88%

FL-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $55.7K vol

89%

FL-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $17K vol

92%

FL-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $14.2K vol

91%

FL-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $62.2K vol

90%

Iowa Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Rob Sand (D) · Polymarket · $67.2K vol

74%

VA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.3K vol

96%

AK-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.7K vol

82%

Georgia Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · Polymarket · $67.1K vol

60%

MA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $51.8K vol

96%

Minnesota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Peggy Flanagan (D) · Polymarket · $53.8K vol

90%

MN-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $29K vol

62%

UT-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $40K vol

95%

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner — Odds

Kuomintang (KMT) · Polymarket · $158.6K vol

92%

AL-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $47.5K vol

95%

AZ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.8K vol

96%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in

Lula · Polymarket · $10.6K vol

88%

CA-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.8K vol

95%

CA-34 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.3K vol

97%

GA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $52.4K vol

97%

IL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.2K vol

96%

IL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14K vol

95%

OH-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol

98%

TX-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.3K vol

95%

WA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol

95%

WA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.8K vol

85%

WI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $54.7K vol

93%

WI-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol

91%

AZ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.6K vol

95%

CA-46 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22.5K vol

96%

FL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol

34%

Louisiana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $29.4K vol

94%

MI-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $76.3K vol

96%

MS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol

97%

TX-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $32.3K vol

93%

TX-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $22.7K vol

96%

AL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $69.5K vol

95%

AZ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $50K vol

98%

MA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol

94%

NC-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.7K vol

95%

OH-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.8K vol

94%

Pará Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Hana Ghassan · Polymarket · $31K vol

58%

TX-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.7K vol

94%

TX-29 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.5K vol

95%

WA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $50.3K vol

90%

AZ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.2K vol

93%

KS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $63.9K vol

93%

NY-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $56.3K vol

73%

OH-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.4K vol

92%

Okinawa Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Denny Tamaki · Polymarket · $4.5K vol

67%

TX-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.8K vol

91%

Kansas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $19.9K vol

69%

MO-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $21.1K vol

91%

NY-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol

93%

NY-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.8K vol

92%

OK-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $100.4K vol

94%

TX-33 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.9K vol

95%

WV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $92K vol

96%

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner — Odds

PL · Polymarket · $76.2K vol

73%

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds

Sydney Kamlager-Dove · Polymarket · $29K vol

93%

MI-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.9K vol

91%

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand

Labour + Green · Polymarket · $41.6K vol

35%

CA-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol

95%

CA-32 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.7K vol

94%

CA-44 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.3K vol

97%

Minnesota Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $66.5K vol

93%

MS-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $61.9K vol

96%

NC-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $22.5K vol

92%

NJ-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol

95%

PA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.2K vol

55%

TX-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.1K vol

57%

VA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $62K vol

85%

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Ken Sim · Polymarket · $173.1K vol

39%

WA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.9K vol

95%

CA-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.6K vol

95%

WI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $99.8K vol

95%

AL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol

75%

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds

Angela Gonzales-Torres · Polymarket · $12.1K vol

56%

CO-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol

96%

DE-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.2K vol

95%

FL-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $36.7K vol

59%

FL-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.5K vol

78%

MO-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol

95%

NJ-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.1K vol

82%

Connecticut Governor Election Winner — Odds

Democrat · Polymarket · $9.2K vol

98%

Hawaii Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $14.4K vol

95%

Maryland Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $19.8K vol

95%

OH-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.5K vol

83%

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $25.4K vol

94%

Paraíba Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Lucas Ribeiro · Polymarket · $46.2K vol

74%

South Dakota Governor Election Winner — Odds

Republican · Polymarket · $17.8K vol

95%

NC-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.5K vol

82%

PA-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $14.3K vol

90%

SC-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $9.3K vol

91%

TN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.9K vol

94%

TX-35 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.3K vol

57%

Arizona Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democrat · Polymarket · $64.9K vol

84%

CA-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $135.9K vol

97%

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm

22–23 · Polymarket · $686K vol

30%

NY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol

70%

TN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $48K vol

93%

GA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $29.6K vol

90%

LA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $64.9K vol

94%

WA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $49.5K vol

95%

CA-48 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.8K vol

88%

FL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $16.8K vol

93%

AL-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.3K vol

96%

AL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.7K vol

94%

MI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.7K vol

94%

TX-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.5K vol

96%

VA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $110.2K vol

90%

VT-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol

95%

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in

Yes · Polymarket · $170K vol

5%

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Olivia Chow · Polymarket · $122.9K vol

83%

2026 Midterms: House Turnout — Odds & Probability

115-120m · Polymarket · $19.6K vol

27%

GA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol

95%

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner — Odds

Jorginho Mello · Polymarket · $106.5K vol

89%

FL-20 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.7K vol

95%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds

Roy Cooper (D) · Polymarket · $87.7K vol

89%

SC-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $43.2K vol

94%

CA-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $59K vol

93%

CA-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

GA-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MD-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NC-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NC-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NJ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

SC-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TX-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TX-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $56K vol

84%

CA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

FL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

FL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

FL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Idaho Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican · Polymarket · $26.8K vol

93%

ME-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

AZ-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

KY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MO-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NJ-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OH-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OH-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-49 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-50 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CO-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IL-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.4K vol

95%

LA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MD-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NJ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

SC-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

SD-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Kansas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TX-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol

92%

IL-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MD-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NE-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won — Odds

NY-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OH-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $57.8K vol

95%

OH-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OK-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OR-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

PA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TX-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

WA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CT-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

GA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IL-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NC-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

AZ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

FL-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

KY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NV-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NY-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

CA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NE-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NY-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

PA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $35.6K vol

95%

MA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MO-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NY-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-30 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-42 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.6K vol

94%

CO-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

FL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol

94%

NJ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TX-38 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

WA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NH-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OR-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

AL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) — Odds & Probability

HI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IL-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

KY-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

PA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

PA-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CA-39 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

FL-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

ID-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

IL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

KS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

LA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

LA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

LA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

LA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MO-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OH-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

OK-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

AL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

CO-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.1K vol

95%

Maine Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

MS-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

NV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

TX-20 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.6K vol

94%

Recently settled

Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.

Priced into these indexes

W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the elections board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.

Frequently asked questions

What does W.E.T.'s latest elections market snapshot record?

Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 465 elections markets with an open status from Kalshi and Polymarket, with $202.1M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded. Each snapshot shows implied probability — the captured market price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability". These are dated observations, not forecasts or continuously updated quotes.

Which elections market has the largest comparable USD-reported volume?

Among open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026, "California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability" has the largest comparable USD-reported volume. Its captured read records a 96% implied probability for Xavier Becerra on Polymarket, on $40.9M in volume.

Are these elections odds a prediction of what will happen?

No. These are dated prediction-market prices shown as implied probability — captured observations, not current quotes, advice, or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.

W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify current prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.