Prediction Desk
Elections Prediction Market Odds & Probability (2026)
Across dated snapshots through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 387 open-status elections markets, with $367.3M in comparable USD-reported volume. This desk covers us and international election markets. Below is every open-at-snapshot elections market W.E.T. tracks from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each price remains venue-attributed; numerical comparison is withheld without exact identity. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to the USD figure. These are dated observations, not continuous quotes, tips, or forecasts.
387
Open snapshots
$367.3M
Comparable volume
386
Priced snapshots
Closest calls — near a coin flip
Open-at-snapshot Elections marketscorpus through November 5, 2026
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 12-14% · Polymarket · $356.7K vol
AK-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $107.5K vol
Alaska Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · $1.9M vol
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mary Peltola (D) · Polymarket · $6M vol
AR-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
French Hill (R) · Polymarket · $182.2K vol
AZ-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Eli Crane (R) · Polymarket · $245.5K vol
AZ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mark Lamb (R) · Polymarket · $88.8K vol
AZ-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Abraham Hamadeh (R) · Polymarket · $34.4K vol
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California
Yes · Polymarket · $5M vol
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) — Odds
Eric Jones · Polymarket · $42.4K vol
CA-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jay Obernolte (R) · Polymarket · $151.7K vol
Closest Senate Race? — Odds & Probability
Mississippi · Polymarket · $111.9K vol
CO-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jeff Hurd (R) · Polymarket · $206.6K vol
CO-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Eileen Laubacher (D) · Polymarket · $135.6K vol
FL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Anna Paulina Luna (R) · Polymarket · $170K vol
FL-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) · Polymarket · $167K vol
FL-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
María Elvira Salazar (R) · Polymarket · $154.3K vol
Kansas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Cindy Holscher (D) · Polymarket · $843.6K vol
ME-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Paul LePage (R) · Polymarket · $203K vol
Mississippi Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Scott Colom (D) · Polymarket · $5.1M vol
MN-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jake Johnson (D) · Polymarket · $128.6K vol
NC-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Raymond Smith Jr. (D) · Polymarket · $1M vol
NC-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chuck Hubbard (D) · Polymarket · $109.1K vol
NC-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Cyril Jefferson (D) · Polymarket · $105.1K vol
NC-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Richard Ojeda (D) · Polymarket · $503.5K vol
Next Prime Minister of Spain? — Odds & Probability
Alberto Núñez Feijóo · Polymarket · $2.7M vol
NJ-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Zack Mullock (D) · Polymarket · $380.1K vol
NY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Nick LaLota (R) · Polymarket · $173.1K vol
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 · Polymarket · $712.7K vol
Taipei Mayor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chiang Wan-an · Polymarket · $3.4M vol
TN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Victoria Broderick (D) · Polymarket · $166.7K vol
VA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Shannon Taylor (D) · Polymarket · $231K vol
VA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
John McGuire (R) · Polymarket · $484.1K vol
WA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Michael Baumgartner (R) · Polymarket · $158.5K vol
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? — Odds
Rahm Emanuel · Polymarket · $1.3M vol
AL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Shomari Figures (D) · Polymarket · $280.4K vol
Alabama Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tommy Tuberville (R) · Polymarket · $69.6K vol
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Odds & Probability
Democrats Sweep · Polymarket · $61.7M vol
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) — Odds
Doris Matsui · Polymarket · $63.8K vol
FL-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Dan Green (R) · Polymarket · $110.2K vol
FL-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Pia Dandiya (D) · Polymarket · $135.8K vol
FL-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jared Moskowitz (D) · Polymarket · $153.5K vol
Florida Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Byron Donalds (R) · Polymarket · $1.8M vol
Florida Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ashley Moody (R) · Polymarket · $902.8K vol
GA-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rick Allen (R) · Polymarket · $85K vol
Georgia Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · Polymarket · $498.6K vol
Iowa Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rob Sand (D) · Polymarket · $443.8K vol
Iowa Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Josh Turek (D) · Polymarket · $2.2M vol
Kansas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Adam Hamilton (D) · Polymarket · $2.4M vol
KS-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Derek Schmidt (R) · Polymarket · $63.3K vol
KY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Zach Dembo (D) · Polymarket · $143.5K vol
Louisiana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Julia Letlow (R) · Polymarket · $174.1K vol
Maine Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Troy Jackson (D) · Polymarket · $3.7M vol
Michigan Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Abdul El-Sayed (D) · Polymarket · $8.7M vol
Minnesota Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Amy Klobuchar (D) · Polymarket · $157.9K vol
Minnesota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Peggy Flanagan (D) · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
MO-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ann Wagner (R) · Polymarket · $225.6K vol
Montana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kurt Alme (R) · Polymarket · $540.1K vol
MT-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sam Forstag (D) · Polymarket · $179.9K vol
NC-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brad Knott (R) · Polymarket · $701.1K vol
Nebraska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Pete Ricketts (R) · Polymarket · $2.6M vol
Nevada Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Aaron Ford (D) · Polymarket · $1.5M vol
New York Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kathy Hochul (D) · Polymarket · $629.4K vol
NY-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Cait Conley (D) · Polymarket · $193.9K vol
NY-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Anthony Constantino (R) · Polymarket · $131.8K vol
OH-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Turner (R) · Polymarket · $89.5K vol
Ohio Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Amy Acton (D) · Polymarket · $2M vol
Ohio Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sherrod Brown (D) · Polymarket · $2.9M vol
OK-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Stephanie Bice (R) · Polymarket · $82.8K vol
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Mazzei (R) · Polymarket · $166.6K vol
PA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Bob Harvie (D) · Polymarket · $148.6K vol
SC-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) · Polymarket · $172.9K vol
SC-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Joe Wilson (R) · Polymarket · $80.6K vol
Texas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Greg Abbott (R) · Polymarket · $2.9M vol
Texas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
James Talarico (D) · Polymarket · $13.3M vol
TN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brent Taylor (R) · Polymarket · $89K vol
Trump out as President before 2027? — Odds & Probability
Trump out as President before 2027? · Polymarket · $14.2M vol
TX-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Alex Mealer (R) · Polymarket · $81.1K vol
TX-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Bobby Pulido (D) · Polymarket · $163.8K vol
TX-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brandon Herrera (R) · Polymarket · $244.6K vol
TX-35 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Johnny Garcia (D) · Polymarket · $127.5K vol
Vermont Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Phil Scott (R) · Polymarket · $392.7K vol
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — Odds
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.5M vol
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate · Polymarket · $1.3M vol
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
David Crowley (D) · Polymarket · $1M vol
Arizona Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Katie Hobbs (D) · Polymarket · $770K vol
AZ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Amish Shah (D) · Polymarket · $306.6K vol
Michigan Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jocelyn Benson (D) · Polymarket · $702.1K vol
NC-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Don Davis (D) · Polymarket · $83.1K vol
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner — Odds
Kelly Ayotte (R) · Polymarket · $98.7K vol
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner — Odds
Chris Pappas (D) · Polymarket · $711.1K vol
Oregon Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tina Kotek (D) · Polymarket · $279.3K vol
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm
190+ · Polymarket · $17.8K vol
South Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds
Darline Graham Nordone (R) · Polymarket · $2.1M vol
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the
No Hormuz Agreement · Polymarket · $1.8M vol
CA-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Randy Villegas (D) · Polymarket · $63.2K vol
CO-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jeff Crank (R) · Polymarket · $62.9K vol
Idaho Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jim Risch (R) · Polymarket · $473K vol
NV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
David Flippo (R) · Polymarket · $87.2K vol
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $23K vol
South Dakota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Rounds (R) · Polymarket · $122.3K vol
VA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ben Cline (R) · Polymarket · $140.6K vol
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? — Odds
Before 2030 · Kalshi · 24.3K contracts vol
California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · $44.3M vol
FL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ryan Elijah (R) · Polymarket · $103.8K vol
FL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kathy Castor (D) · Polymarket · $152K vol
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner — Odds
Maura Healey (D) · Polymarket · $305.2K vol
MI-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sean McCann (D) · Polymarket · $52.5K vol
MI-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Christina Hines (D) · Polymarket · $30.5K vol
Nebraska Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jim Pillen (R) · Polymarket · $84.6K vol
NH-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Maggie Goodlander (D) · Polymarket · $69.1K vol
NJ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chris Smith (R) · Polymarket · $31.7K vol
Which party will win the House in 2026? — Odds
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.1M vol
NC-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jamie Ager (D) · Polymarket · $310.3K vol
New Mexico Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Deb Haaland (D) · Polymarket · $132.5K vol
OH-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brian Poindexter (D) · Polymarket · $146.2K vol
South Carolina Governor Election Winner — Odds
Alan Wilson (R) · Polymarket · $69.6K vol
TX-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Michael Cloud (R) · Polymarket · $72K vol
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate · Polymarket · $896.2K vol
FL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kat Cammack (R) · Polymarket · $65.8K vol
PA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Paige Cognetti (D) · Polymarket · $50.1K vol
RI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Seth Magaziner (D) · Polymarket · $62.5K vol
Tennessee Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Marsha Blackburn (R) · Polymarket · $123.5K vol
TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $17.5K vol
GA-14 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Republican 25-30% · Polymarket · $14.6K vol
MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 35-40% · Polymarket · $15.7K vol
MI-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
William Lawrence (D) · Polymarket · $65.3K vol
Will Trump run for a third term? — Odds & Probability
Before Election Day · Kalshi · 159.6K contracts vol
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 30-35% · Polymarket · $29.4K vol
GA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brian Jack (R) · Polymarket · $31.2K vol
NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-20% · Polymarket · $22.3K vol
NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 0-3% · Polymarket · $14K vol
PA-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Janelle Stelson (D) · Polymarket · $14.6K vol
TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 40-45% · Polymarket · $22.6K vol
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 9-12% · Polymarket · $43.3K vol
When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential
Before Jul 1, 2027 · Kalshi · 60.1K contracts vol
IA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Christina Bohannan (D) · Polymarket · $61.4K vol
IA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Lindsay James (D) · Polymarket · $61.3K vol
OH-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Bob Latta (R) · Polymarket · $66.4K vol
TX-34 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Vicente Gonzalez (D) · Polymarket · $28.8K vol
Arkansas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tom Cotton (R) · Polymarket · $101.6K vol
AZ-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
JoAnna Mendoza (D) · Polymarket · $37.8K vol
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement · Polymarket · $2.4M vol
NY-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Laura Gillen (D) · Polymarket · $23K vol
OH-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Carey (R) · Polymarket · $50.2K vol
TX-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Beth Van Duyne (R) · Polymarket · $84.3K vol
TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 55-60% · Polymarket · $26.1K vol
FL-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Gus Bilirakis (R) · Polymarket · $89.3K vol
FL-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brian Mast (R) · Polymarket · $38.7K vol
IN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Victoria Spartz (R) · Polymarket · $56.4K vol
Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)
James Comer · Polymarket · $4.9K vol
NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $32.3K vol
OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 35-40% · Polymarket · $25.4K vol
RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 15-20% · Polymarket · $20.8K vol
TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 35-40% · Polymarket · $19.3K vol
MI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tim Walberg (R) · Polymarket · $41.8K vol
TX-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Randy Weber (R) · Polymarket · $37.7K vol
TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 60-65% · Polymarket · $14.2K vol
TX-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Roger Williams (R) · Polymarket · $58.4K vol
IA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chris McGowan (R) · Polymarket · $65.7K vol
IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 25-30% · Polymarket · $18.6K vol
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-20% · Polymarket · $27.3K vol
TX-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jake Ellzey (R) · Polymarket · $119.8K vol
CA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $90K vol
GA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Andrew Clyde (R) · Polymarket · $60.1K vol
VA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Elaine Luria (D) · Polymarket · $54.8K vol
CA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike McGuire (D) · Polymarket · $45.5K vol
CA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tom McClintock (R) · Polymarket · $32.4K vol
FL-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Joe Strada (R) · Polymarket · $32.3K vol
FL-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Scott Franklin (R) · Polymarket · $74.2K vol
OH-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Greg Landsman (D) · Polymarket · $52.2K vol
WA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) · Polymarket · $55.1K vol
WI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Scott Fitzgerald (R) · Polymarket · $108.1K vol
WI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Glenn Grothman (R) · Polymarket · $45.6K vol
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Aisha Wahab · Polymarket · $30.5K vol
FL-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Carlos Giménez (R) · Polymarket · $65.1K vol
MD-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Andy Harris (R) · Polymarket · $88K vol
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
MN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Matt Little (D) · Polymarket · $63.3K vol
NC-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mark Harris (R) · Polymarket · $57.5K vol
NE-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Denise Powell (D) · Polymarket · $65.3K vol
NY-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Nick Langworthy (R) · Polymarket · $88.1K vol
PA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Kelly (R) · Polymarket · $87.7K vol
UT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Blake Moore (R) · Polymarket · $31K vol
CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
GA-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Houston Gaines (R) · Polymarket · $67.4K vol
KS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ron Estes (R) · Polymarket · $156.6K vol
MN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ilhan Omar (D) · Polymarket · $70.2K vol
OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 0-3% · Polymarket · $25.7K vol
TX-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Pat Fallon (R) · Polymarket · $92.6K vol
FL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Haridopolos (R) · Polymarket · $59.9K vol
NM-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Gabe Vasquez (D) · Polymarket · $73.7K vol
TN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Charlie Hatcher (R) · Polymarket · $71.7K vol
TN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
David Kustoff (R) · Polymarket · $48.3K vol
TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 10-15% · Polymarket · $12.8K vol
CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 6-9% · Polymarket · $17.8K vol
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 5-10% · Polymarket · $19.6K vol
FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $16.6K vol
IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-20% · Polymarket · $16.5K vol
IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 30-35% · Polymarket · $19.2K vol
MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 35-40% · Polymarket · $16.9K vol
MN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tom Emmer (R) · Polymarket · $94.2K vol
MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 6-9% · Polymarket · $12.7K vol
NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 6-9% · Polymarket · $14.7K vol
NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-18% · Polymarket · $20.2K vol
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 40-45% · Polymarket · $13.7K vol
OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 9-12% · Polymarket · $11.4K vol
OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 60-65% · Polymarket · $9.7K vol
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3-6% · Polymarket · $14.7K vol
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 30-35% · Polymarket · $22K vol
CO-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $15.6K vol
GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Republican 30-35% · Polymarket · $13.9K vol
IL-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Darin LaHood (R) · Polymarket · $68.7K vol
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 20-25% · Polymarket · $20.8K vol
MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 15-20% · Polymarket · $16.6K vol
MI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) · Polymarket · $25.1K vol
MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 3-6% · Polymarket · $15.3K vol
MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 30-35% · Polymarket · $13.5K vol
PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 30-35% · Polymarket · $19.6K vol
Tennessee Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Bill Hagerty (R) · Polymarket · $92.9K vol
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 10-15% · Polymarket · $16.2K vol
TX-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Craig Goldman (R) · Polymarket · $68.3K vol
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 0-3% · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
TX-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Trever Nehls (R) · Polymarket · $41.8K vol
CA-48 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Marni von Wilpert (D) · Polymarket · $42.7K vol
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Abba Kabir Yusuf · Polymarket · $8.7K vol
KS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tracey Mann (R) · Polymarket · $34.6K vol
KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 25-30% · Polymarket · $20.9K vol
MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 0-3% · Polymarket · $12.9K vol
MT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Troy Downing (R) · Polymarket · $68.6K vol
NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3-6% · Polymarket · $13.3K vol
OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 10-15% · Polymarket · $9.5K vol
OR-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Janelle Bynum (D) · Polymarket · $34.2K vol
TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-20% · Polymarket · $10.9K vol
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-20% · Polymarket · $16.6K vol
FL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Randy Fine (R) · Polymarket · $36.2K vol
IN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Marlin Stutzman (R) · Polymarket · $37.4K vol
MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 25-30% · Polymarket · $19.5K vol
PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $11.9K vol
TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 10-15% · Polymarket · $12.1K vol
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Angela Gonzales-Torres · Polymarket · $25.6K vol
KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 9-12% · Polymarket · $11.7K vol
NJ-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rob Menendez (D) · Polymarket · $49.3K vol
OH-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Michael Rulli (R) · Polymarket · $82.7K vol
OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 20-25% · Polymarket · $25.7K vol
TX-36 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Brian Babin (R) · Polymarket · $66.8K vol
FL-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Greg Steube (R) · Polymarket · $31.7K vol
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 50-55% · Polymarket · $18.8K vol
IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 20-25% · Polymarket · $10.7K vol
MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 15-20% · Polymarket · $11.9K vol
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 50-55% · Polymarket · $18K vol
FL-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jim Schwartzel (R) · Polymarket · $37K vol
MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 60-65% · Polymarket · $15.3K vol
TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 0-3% · Polymarket · $9.5K vol
NH-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Stefany Shaheen (D) · Polymarket · $67K vol
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3%+ · Polymarket · $62.9K vol
OR-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Val Hoyle (D) · Polymarket · $32.4K vol
TX-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
John Carter (R) · Polymarket · $60.3K vol
CA-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jim Costa (D) · Polymarket · $34.7K vol
CA-45 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Derek Tran (D) · Polymarket · $42.7K vol
IL-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Eric Sorensen (D) · Polymarket · $28.8K vol
IN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jim Baird (R) · Polymarket · $35.9K vol
MO-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chris Stigall (R) · Polymarket · $53.9K vol
NY-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Josh Riley (D) · Polymarket · $32.4K vol
OH-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Emilia Sykes (D) · Polymarket · $38.8K vol
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
Yes · Polymarket · $6.8K vol
CA-47 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Dave Min (D) · Polymarket · $28.5K vol
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 9-12% · Polymarket · $10.5K vol
NJ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Herb Conaway (D) · Polymarket · $39.9K vol
SC-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sheri Biggs (R) · Polymarket · $53.8K vol
UT-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ben McAdams (D) · Polymarket · $49K vol
AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3-6% · Polymarket · $11.9K vol
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 6-9% · Polymarket · $9K vol
CA-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Adam Gray (D) · Polymarket · $35K vol
CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 50-55% · Polymarket · $10K vol
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Republican 20-25% · Polymarket · $18.5K vol
PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $10.1K vol
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 30-35% · Polymarket · $18.6K vol
Los Angeles Mayoral Election — Odds & Probability
Nithya Raman · Polymarket · $14.6M vol
NJ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rebecca Bennett (D) · Polymarket · $42.4K vol
PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 25-30% · Polymarket · $12.9K vol
AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3-6% · Polymarket · $7.2K vol
CO-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Manny Rutinel (D) · Polymarket · $23.5K vol
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 9-12% · Polymarket · $8.5K vol
FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 5-10% · Polymarket · $12.6K vol
MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 30%+ · Polymarket · $12K vol
NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 20-25% · Polymarket · $9.8K vol
PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 0-3% · Polymarket · $6.7K vol
TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 5-10% · Polymarket · $13.3K vol
AZ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Paul Gosar (R) · Polymarket · $35.6K vol
CA-46 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Lou Correa (D) · Polymarket · $50.9K vol
CA-50 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Scott Peters (D) · Polymarket · $68.9K vol
GA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Austin Scott (R) · Polymarket · $47.8K vol
IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 0-3% · Polymarket · $11.3K vol
ID-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mike Simpson (R) · Polymarket · $39.1K vol
LA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.1K vol
MN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Michelle Fischbach (R) · Polymarket · $32.3K vol
MO-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Emanuel Cleaver (D) · Polymarket · $77.9K vol
NJ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Donald Norcross (D) · Polymarket · $53.7K vol
NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3-6% · Polymarket · $13.7K vol
NY-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Nicole Malliotakis (R) · Polymarket · $32.1K vol
OR-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Cliff Bentz (R) · Polymarket · $11.9K vol
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 10-15% · Polymarket · $12K vol
TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 9-12% · Polymarket · $5.6K vol
TX-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Keith Self (R) · Polymarket · $56.3K vol
TX-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Lance Gooden (R) · Polymarket · $63.1K vol
TX-29 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sylvia Garcia (D) · Polymarket · $18.5K vol
AL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Dale Strong (R) · Polymarket · $67.3K vol
IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 25-30% · Polymarket · $13.5K vol
IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 12-15% · Polymarket · $8.6K vol
KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 6-9% · Polymarket · $6.8K vol
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 80-85% · Polymarket · $16.7K vol
MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 60-65% · Polymarket · $11.5K vol
OH-10 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 6-9% · Polymarket · $5.3K vol
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 12-15% · Polymarket · $7.1K vol
OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 21%+ · Polymarket · $7.2K vol
Which party will win the House in 2026? — Odds
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.6M vol
CA-42 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Robert Garcia (D) · Polymarket · $41K vol
CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 35-40% · Polymarket · $8.2K vol
GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Republican 6-9% · Polymarket · $10.1K vol
GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Democrat 20-25% · Polymarket · $6.7K vol
IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 35-40% · Polymarket · $11.3K vol
NM-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Teresa Leger Fernández (D) · Polymarket · $50.4K vol
NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 60-65% · Polymarket · $7K vol
NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 10-15% · Polymarket · $6.1K vol
NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $8.7K vol
NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $9.2K vol
SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Republican 15-20% · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 45-50% · Polymarket · $23.6K vol
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — Odds
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $5M vol
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 65-70% · Polymarket · $8.4K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner — Odds
Lula · Polymarket · $186.5K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of
Lula da Silva <5% · Polymarket · $563.8K vol
MI-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Hillary Scholten (D) · Polymarket · $26.5K vol
PA-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chris Deluzio (D) · Polymarket · $20.6K vol
RI-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Gabe Amo (D) · Polymarket · $40.9K vol
TX-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Steve Toth (R) · Polymarket · $29.6K vol
TX-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Chris Gober (R) · Polymarket · $35.1K vol
WI-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Michael Alfonso (R) · Polymarket · $77.7K vol
Next Prime Minister of Romania? — Odds & Probability
Sorin Grindeanu · Polymarket · $3.9M vol
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds
Gadi Eizenkot · Polymarket · $38.5M vol
TX-32 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jace Yarbrough (R) · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
NV-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Dina Titus (D) · Polymarket · $25.8K vol
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · Polymarket · $409.8K vol
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Salihu Danladi · Polymarket · $10.5K vol
Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh · Polymarket · $10.3K vol
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor · Polymarket · $13.2K vol
Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Otti Alex Chioma · Polymarket · $9.5K vol
Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Ahmed Galadima · Polymarket · $16.5K vol
Blue wave in 2026? — Odds & Probability
Blue wave in 2026? · Polymarket · $59.8K vol
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and
Željko Komšić · Polymarket · $108.1K vol
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Yakubu Adamu · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Otu Bassey Edet · Polymarket · $5K vol
Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Umaru Dikko Radda · Polymarket · $14.4K vol
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed · Polymarket · $14.2K vol
Nigerian Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
APC · Polymarket · $5.2K vol
VA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.2K vol
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Eno Umo Bassey · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Alia Hyacinth Iormem · Polymarket · $13.3K vol
Borno, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Mustapha Gubio · Polymarket · $4.6K vol
CA-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $17.1K vol
Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna · Polymarket · $4.9K vol
Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Mbah Peter Ndubuisi · Polymarket · $8.2K vol
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Uba Sani · Polymarket · $19.9K vol
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Nasir Idris · Polymarket · $12.1K vol
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Obafemi Hamzat · Polymarket · $8.3K vol
NJ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.4K vol
PA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.9K vol
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win
3 · Polymarket · $75.4K vol
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Abimbola Adekanmbi · Polymarket · $8.1K vol
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
FL-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol
Gombe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna · Polymarket · $10.3K vol
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola · Polymarket · $6K vol
UT-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $12.3K vol
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and
Zukan Helez · Polymarket · $69.3K vol
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Baba Wali · Polymarket · $6.3K vol
Jigawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Namadi Umar Alhaji · Polymarket · $4.1K vol
NY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
WA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol
NY-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.2K vol
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner — Odds
Kuomintang (KMT) · Polymarket · $158.6K vol
NY-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.8K vol
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand
Labour + Green · Polymarket · $41.6K vol
TX-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.5K vol
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner — Odds
Jorginho Mello · Polymarket · $106.5K vol
NJ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
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Priced into these indexes
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Frequently asked questions
What does W.E.T.'s latest elections market snapshot record?
Across dated snapshots through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 387 elections markets with an open status from Kalshi and Polymarket, with $367.3M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded. Each snapshot shows implied probability — the captured market price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Odds & Probability". These are dated observations, not forecasts or continuously updated quotes.
Which elections market has the largest comparable USD-reported volume?
Among open-status snapshots through November 5, 2026, "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Odds & Probability" has the largest comparable USD-reported volume. Its captured read records a 76% implied probability for Democrats Sweep on Polymarket, on $61.7M in volume.
Are these elections odds a prediction of what will happen?
No. These are dated prediction-market prices shown as implied probability — captured observations, not current quotes, advice, or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify current prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.