Prediction Desk
Elections Prediction Market Odds & Probability (2026)
Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 465 open-status elections markets, with $202.1M in comparable USD-reported volume. This desk covers us and international election markets. Below is every open-at-snapshot elections market W.E.T. tracks from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each price remains venue-attributed; numerical comparison is withheld without exact identity. Contract counts and mixed-unit totals are not added to the USD figure. These are dated observations, not continuous quotes, tips, or forecasts.
465
Open snapshots
$202.1M
Comparable volume
362
Priced snapshots
Closest calls — near a coin flip
Open-at-snapshot Elections marketscorpus through September 5, 2026
Alaska Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Amapá Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Dr. Furlan · Polymarket · $6K vol
Berlin State Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CDU · Polymarket · $3.5M vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner — Odds
Lula · Polymarket · $18.6K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Lula · Polymarket · $24.1K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $6.5M vol
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor · Polymarket · $13.2K vol
GA-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42K vol
MA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $63.2K vol
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds
Democrat 3%+ · Polymarket · $23K vol
Next Prime Minister of Romania? — Odds & Probability
Alexandru Nazare · Polymarket · $3.5M vol
Next Prime Minister of Sweden — Odds & Probability
Magdalena Andersson · Polymarket · $4.7M vol
Pernambuco Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Raquel Lyra · Polymarket · $46.1K vol
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds
Gadi Eizenkot · Polymarket · $35.3M vol
RI-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $31.4K vol
RI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $34.8K vol
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner — Odds
Eduardo Paes · Polymarket · $453.1K vol
São Paulo Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Tarcísio de Freitas · Polymarket · $303.9K vol
TX-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $47.8K vol
Which party will gain most seats in Russian
United Russia (ER) · Polymarket · $24.9M vol
Which party will win the House in 2026? — Odds
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $10.1M vol
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Odds & Probability
Democrats Sweep · Polymarket · $11M vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of
Lula da Silva <5% · Polymarket · $385.5K vol
Ceará Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ciro Gomes · Polymarket · $210.4K vol
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner — Odds
Ricardo Ferraço · Polymarket · $37.6K vol
Maine Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Troy Jackson (D) · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
MO-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $18.7K vol
ND-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $59.1K vol
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Chris Pappas · Polymarket · $158.3K vol
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $93.3K vol
NJ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.8K vol
NY-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14.1K vol
Ohio Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Amy Acton (D) · Polymarket · $181.5K vol
Paraná Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sergio Moro · Polymarket · $107.5K vol
UT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.8K vol
VA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.8K vol
Vermont Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $65.9K vol
Will Trump run for a third term? — Odds & Probability
Before Election Day · Kalshi · 144.2K contracts vol
Žilina Region Governor Election Winner — Odds
Erika Jurinová · Polymarket · $6.7K vol
Los Angeles Mayoral Election — Odds & Probability
Karen Bass · Polymarket · $13.5M vol
Michigan Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Abdul El-Sayed (D) · Polymarket · $648.2K vol
Nebraska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Pete Ricketts (R) · Polymarket · $219.4K vol
Ohio Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Sherrod Brown (D) · Polymarket · $206.3K vol
Texas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
James Talarico (D) · Polymarket · $994.6K vol
Trnava Region Governor Election Winner — Odds
Jozef Viskupič · Polymarket · $5.2K vol
Trump out as President before 2027? — Odds & Probability
Trump out as President before 2027? · Polymarket · $11.4M vol
TX-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
TX-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $36.2K vol
TX-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $44.8K vol
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — Odds
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.1M vol
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
David Crowley (D) · Polymarket · $555.6K vol
Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Otti Alex Chioma · Polymarket · $9.5K vol
Acre Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Alan Rick · Polymarket · $35.1K vol
Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Ahmed Galadima · Polymarket · $16.5K vol
Alaska Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $465K vol
Blue wave in 2026? — Odds & Probability
Blue wave in 2026? · Polymarket · $59.8K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Lula · Polymarket · $20.8K vol
Bulgaria Presidential Election — Odds & Probability
Iliana Iotova · Polymarket · $419.1K vol
California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · $40.9M vol
FL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $7.7K vol
Israeli Legislative Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Yashar · Polymarket · $245.8K vol
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD · Polymarket · $635.9K vol
Nevada Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Joe Lombardo (R) · Polymarket · $89.3K vol
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held — Odds
PL · Polymarket · $50.3K vol
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and
Željko Komšić · Polymarket · $108.1K vol
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? — Odds
Sven Schulze · Polymarket · $66.5K vol
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner — Odds & Probability
Maura Sullivan · Polymarket · $62.2K vol
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner — Odds & Probability
Anthony DiLorenzo · Polymarket · $74.3K vol
NY-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $20.5K vol
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm
≤47 · Polymarket · $2.9M vol
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner — Odds
Helena Foulkes · Polymarket · $47.7K vol
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Elaine Pelino · Polymarket · $54.3K vol
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place — Odds
Benedita da Silva · Polymarket · $43.7K vol
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Yes · Polymarket · $295.4K vol
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Odds
Yes · Polymarket · $440.4K vol
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
5-7% · Polymarket · $54.1K vol
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
38-41 · Polymarket · $55.1K vol
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Odds
Sweden Democrats (SD) · Polymarket · $55.5K vol
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative
325–339 · Polymarket · $322.8K vol
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in
Yes · Polymarket · $471K vol
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · Polymarket · $398.6K vol
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 8-10% · Polymarket · $129.7K vol
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Yakubu Adamu · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
CA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol
CA-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol
CA-45 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.5K vol
Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Otu Bassey Edet · Polymarket · $5K vol
Iowa Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ashley Hinson (R) · Polymarket · $223.2K vol
Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Umaru Dikko Radda · Polymarket · $14.4K vol
Maranhão Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Eduardo Braide · Polymarket · $72.4K vol
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $41.4K vol
MD-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $56.5K vol
MI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $50.7K vol
Montana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $117.8K vol
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed · Polymarket · $14.2K vol
Nigerian Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
APC · Polymarket · $5.2K vol
NY-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.1K vol
Oregon Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $40.6K vol
PA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.9K vol
Quebec General Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PQ · Polymarket · $868.6K vol
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner — Odds
Luciano Zucco · Polymarket · $96.2K vol
TN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.2K vol
TN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $40.4K vol
TX-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
TX-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $27.5K vol
VA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.2K vol
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? — Odds
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · $89.4K vol
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Eno Umo Bassey · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Alia Hyacinth Iormem · Polymarket · $13.3K vol
Borno, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Mustapha Gubio · Polymarket · $4.6K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $18.1K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $17.5K vol
CA-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $17.1K vol
Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna · Polymarket · $4.9K vol
Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Mbah Peter Ndubuisi · Polymarket · $8.2K vol
How many seats will United Russia win in the next
325–339 · Polymarket · $290.1K vol
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Uba Sani · Polymarket · $19.9K vol
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Nasir Idris · Polymarket · $12.1K vol
KS-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $28.3K vol
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Obafemi Hamzat · Polymarket · $8.3K vol
NJ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.2K vol
NJ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.4K vol
PA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.9K vol
WI-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $35.2K vol
Alabama Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $16.1K vol
Bahia Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jerônimo Rodrigues · Polymarket · $129.1K vol
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Scott Wiener · Polymarket · $13K vol
FL-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $57.3K vol
TX-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Lula · Polymarket · $10.4K vol
Goiás Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Daniel Vilela · Polymarket · $34.9K vol
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win
3 · Polymarket · $75.4K vol
Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner — Odds
Wellington Fagundes · Polymarket · $20.4K vol
Next Premier of Quebec — Odds & Probability
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon · Polymarket · $262.7K vol
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Abimbola Adekanmbi · Polymarket · $8.1K vol
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu · Polymarket · $13.4K vol
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee — Odds
Raphael Glucksmann · Polymarket · $41.1K vol
Texas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Greg Abbott (R) · Polymarket · $88.2K vol
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats? — Odds
35+ · Polymarket · $33.4K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Lula · Polymarket · $16.2K vol
CT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.4K vol
FL-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol
Georgia Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Jon Ossoff (D) · Polymarket · $122.5K vol
Gombe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna · Polymarket · $10.3K vol
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Salihu Danladi · Polymarket · $5.8K vol
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner — Odds
AS · Polymarket · $210.3K vol
MI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
MI-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.6K vol
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner — Odds
Cleitinho Azevedo · Polymarket · $369.4K vol
Mississippi Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $44.6K vol
MN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.6K vol
MN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.9K vol
NM-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22K vol
NY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.6K vol
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola · Polymarket · $6K vol
OR-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20K vol
PA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol
PA-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.7K vol
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $49.1K vol
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place — Odds
Benedita da Silva · Polymarket · $36.1K vol
SC-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.7K vol
South Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds
Republican · Polymarket · $158.9K vol
TX-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol
TX-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23K vol
TX-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $19.3K vol
UT-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $41.2K vol
UT-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $12.3K vol
VA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.8K vol
WA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $49.3K vol
WA-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $30.6K vol
2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner — Odds
Tim O'Hare · Polymarket · $28.5K vol
Amazonas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Omar Aziz · Polymarket · $12.1K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $14.2K vol
Florida Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ashley Moody (R) · Polymarket · $105.9K vol
IN-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24.1K vol
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place — Odds & Probability
Fufuca · Polymarket · $27.9K vol
Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner — Odds
PAM · Polymarket · $36.8K vol
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and
Zukan Helez · Polymarket · $69.3K vol
OH-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $65.4K vol
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place — Odds & Probability
Dr. Fernando Máximo · Polymarket · $29.3K vol
São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place — Odds
Guilherme Derrite · Polymarket · $30.2K vol
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place — Odds
Marina Silva · Polymarket · $37.1K vol
Sergipe Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Fábio · Polymarket · $15.6K vol
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Odds
Moderate Party (M) · Polymarket · $52.5K vol
VA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $65.4K vol
WI-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.9K vol
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Baba Wali · Polymarket · $6.3K vol
Florida Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Byron Donalds (R) · Polymarket · $56.6K vol
France United Left Primary Winner — Odds & Probability
Canceled · Polymarket · $210.5K vol
IN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
Jigawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — Odds
Namadi Umar Alhaji · Polymarket · $4.1K vol
Tocantins Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Professora Dorinha · Polymarket · $14.8K vol
VA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $60.6K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $44.8K vol
CA-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $11.5K vol
IN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $24K vol
IN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
MD-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
NC-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.4K vol
NC-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $64.2K vol
NY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.2K vol
NY-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $62.2K vol
South Dakota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $22.4K vol
WA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol
AZ-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $33.8K vol
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California
Yes · Polymarket · $3.7M vol
CA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol
CA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $48.5K vol
Federal District Governor Election Winner — Odds
Celina Leão · Polymarket · $6K vol
Kentucky Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Andy Barr (R) · Polymarket · $31.3K vol
MS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $114.9K vol
New Mexico Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $31.8K vol
New York Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $103.5K vol
NY-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $56K vol
NY-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.2K vol
OH-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.7K vol
PA-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $13.6K vol
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $66.4K vol
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner — Odds
Allyson · Polymarket · $14.1K vol
TX-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15.2K vol
TX-30 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.1K vol
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Aisha Wahab · Polymarket · $19.1K vol
CA-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $105.1K vol
IN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $31.2K vol
KY-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
MI-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $38.7K vol
NE-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $15K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Lula · Polymarket · $12.5K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Flavio Bolsonaro · Polymarket · $21.4K vol
CA-36 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $33.4K vol
FL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol
FL-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $26.1K vol
FL-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $55.7K vol
FL-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17K vol
FL-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $14.2K vol
FL-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $62.2K vol
Iowa Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Rob Sand (D) · Polymarket · $67.2K vol
VA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.3K vol
AK-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.7K vol
Georgia Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · Polymarket · $67.1K vol
MA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $51.8K vol
Minnesota Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Peggy Flanagan (D) · Polymarket · $53.8K vol
MN-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $29K vol
UT-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $40K vol
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner — Odds
Kuomintang (KMT) · Polymarket · $158.6K vol
AL-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $47.5K vol
AZ-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.8K vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in
Lula · Polymarket · $10.6K vol
CA-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.8K vol
CA-34 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.3K vol
GA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $52.4K vol
IL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $25.2K vol
IL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $14K vol
OH-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.2K vol
TX-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.3K vol
WA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.4K vol
WA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.8K vol
WI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $54.7K vol
WI-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
AZ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.6K vol
CA-46 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $22.5K vol
FL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.3K vol
Louisiana Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $29.4K vol
MI-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $76.3K vol
MS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol
TX-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $32.3K vol
TX-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $22.7K vol
AL-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $69.5K vol
AZ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $50K vol
MA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol
NC-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.7K vol
OH-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.8K vol
Pará Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Hana Ghassan · Polymarket · $31K vol
TX-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $45.7K vol
TX-29 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.5K vol
WA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $50.3K vol
AZ-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.2K vol
KS-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $63.9K vol
NY-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $56.3K vol
OH-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $16.4K vol
Okinawa Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Denny Tamaki · Polymarket · $4.5K vol
TX-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.8K vol
Kansas Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $19.9K vol
MO-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $21.1K vol
NY-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $25.5K vol
NY-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $21.8K vol
OK-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $100.4K vol
TX-33 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.9K vol
WV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $92K vol
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner — Odds
PL · Polymarket · $76.2K vol
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Sydney Kamlager-Dove · Polymarket · $29K vol
MI-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.9K vol
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand
Labour + Green · Polymarket · $41.6K vol
CA-31 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $15.7K vol
CA-32 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.7K vol
CA-44 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $46.3K vol
Minnesota Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $66.5K vol
MS-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $61.9K vol
NC-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $22.5K vol
NJ-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol
PA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $4.2K vol
TX-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $9.1K vol
VA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $62K vol
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Ken Sim · Polymarket · $173.1K vol
WA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.9K vol
CA-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $47.6K vol
WI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $99.8K vol
AL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual) — Odds
Angela Gonzales-Torres · Polymarket · $12.1K vol
CO-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.5K vol
DE-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $43.2K vol
FL-22 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $36.7K vol
FL-27 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.5K vol
MO-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
NJ-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $23.1K vol
Connecticut Governor Election Winner — Odds
Democrat · Polymarket · $9.2K vol
Hawaii Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $14.4K vol
Maryland Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $19.8K vol
OH-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $44.5K vol
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $25.4K vol
Paraíba Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Lucas Ribeiro · Polymarket · $46.2K vol
South Dakota Governor Election Winner — Odds
Republican · Polymarket · $17.8K vol
NC-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $18.5K vol
PA-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $14.3K vol
SC-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $9.3K vol
TN-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $34.9K vol
TX-35 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $8.3K vol
Arizona Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democrat · Polymarket · $64.9K vol
CA-28 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $135.9K vol
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm
22–23 · Polymarket · $686K vol
NY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $39.2K vol
TN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $48K vol
GA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $29.6K vol
LA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $64.9K vol
WA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $49.5K vol
CA-48 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $27.8K vol
FL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $16.8K vol
AL-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $37.3K vol
AL-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $42.7K vol
MI-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
TX-18 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $12.5K vol
VA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $110.2K vol
VT-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $39.6K vol
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in
Yes · Polymarket · $170K vol
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Olivia Chow · Polymarket · $122.9K vol
2026 Midterms: House Turnout — Odds & Probability
115-120m · Polymarket · $19.6K vol
GA-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $23.4K vol
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner — Odds
Jorginho Mello · Polymarket · $106.5K vol
FL-20 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $32.7K vol
North Carolina Senate Election Winner — Odds
Roy Cooper (D) · Polymarket · $87.7K vol
SC-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $43.2K vol
CA-23 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $59K vol
CA-25 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
GA-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MD-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NC-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NC-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
SC-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-24 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $56K vol
CA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-14 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Idaho Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican · Polymarket · $26.8K vol
ME-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AZ-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-21 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KY-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-12 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-49 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-50 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CO-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $37.4K vol
LA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MD-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NJ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
SC-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
SD-AL House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Kansas Senate Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican Party · Polymarket · $28.9K vol
IL-16 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MD-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NE-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won — Odds
NY-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $57.8K vol
OH-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OK-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OR-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-10 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
WA-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CT-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
GA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-17 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NC-11 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AZ-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KY-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NV-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
CA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-26 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NE-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $35.6K vol
MA-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NY-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-30 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-42 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.6K vol
CO-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-08 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $20.7K vol
NJ-09 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-38 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
WA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NH-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OR-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AL-03 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) — Odds & Probability
HI-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KY-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-07 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MT-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
PA-15 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CA-39 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
FL-19 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
ID-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
IL-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
KS-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
LA-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MO-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OH-13 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
OK-04 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TN-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
AL-06 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
CO-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $40.1K vol
Maine Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MN-05 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
MS-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
NV-02 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
TX-20 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Democratic Party · Polymarket · $24.6K vol
Recently settled
Final pre-close reads, frozen as archives — browse the full settled markets archive.
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the elections board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
Frequently asked questions
What does W.E.T.'s latest elections market snapshot record?
Across dated snapshots through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 465 elections markets with an open status from Kalshi and Polymarket, with $202.1M in comparable USD-reported volume. Contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded. Each snapshot shows implied probability — the captured market price read as a percentage — for real events, such as "California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability". These are dated observations, not forecasts or continuously updated quotes.
Which elections market has the largest comparable USD-reported volume?
Among open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026, "California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability" has the largest comparable USD-reported volume. Its captured read records a 96% implied probability for Xavier Becerra on Polymarket, on $40.9M in volume.
Are these elections odds a prediction of what will happen?
No. These are dated prediction-market prices shown as implied probability — captured observations, not current quotes, advice, or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
W.E.T. content is informational and educational only — nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, and none of it is a prediction of the outcome. Verify current prices, rules, and availability directly on the relevant platform. See our full disclaimer.