Global Easing — the basket
The real markets behind this index, across every venue that lists them, tracked as one spread. Instead of reading a single contract, you read the theme — which is what a multi-week position is actually exposed to. Each holding links straight to its venue; W.E.T. never handles orders, you trade at the exchange.
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Level
- 1000.00
- Since inception
- 0.00%
- 1 day
- —
- 7 day
- —
- Markets held
- 16
- Settled
- 0
- Hit rate
- —
- Cash
- 0%
- Inception
- 2026-08-01
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 1
Holdings · 16 markets
every position links to the venue that lists it — trade there, not here| Market | Venue | Side | Entry | Now | Return | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | polymarket | YES | 89c | 89c | 0.0% | 28.1% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | polymarket | YES | 6c | 6c | 0.0% | 24.3% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | polymarket | YES | 6c | 6c | 0.0% | 17.4% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | kalshi | YES | 10c | 10c | 0.0% | 6.4% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | polymarket | YES | 10c | 10c | 0.0% | 6.1% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their June 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps | kalshi | YES | 8c | 8c | 0.0% | 4.1% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | polymarket | YES | 77c | 77c | 0.0% | 3.9% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps | kalshi | YES | 5c | 5c | 0.0% | 2.2% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | polymarket | YES | 20c | 20c | 0.0% | 1.9% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | kalshi | YES | 6c | 6c | 0.0% | 1.8% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | polymarket | YES | 9c | 9c | 0.0% | 1.4% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | kalshi | YES | 18c | 18c | 0.0% | 1.1% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | polymarket | YES | 8c | 8c | 0.0% | 0.7% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | kalshi | YES | 14c | 14c | 0.0% | 0.4% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | kalshi | YES | 13c | 13c | 0.0% | 0.3% | Trade on Kalshi ↗ |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | polymarket | YES | 4c | 4c | 0.0% | 0.0% | Trade on Polymarket ↗ |
Combo · 5 legs
all legs must hit — the opposite risk profile to the basket aboveThe same markets priced multiplicatively: what one position that needs every leg to resolve YES is worth. Combo is the venues' own term — Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini all ship it under that name, and Kalshi's API defines it exactly this way: the market resolves YES only if every associated market resolves YES. The basket above is the opposite instrument — a mean, where one loss doesn't zero you.
Multiplying legs assumes they are independent — which is precisely wrong for markets grouped by a shared theme, since correlation is why they are in one index. The range is therefore the honest answer: the true joint probability sits inside it under any correlation structure, with no covariance estimate required. W.E.T. does not offer, accept or route orders for this or any instrument — it is a price display, and each leg links to its venue above. Data, not advice.
Where this can actually be placed: Kalshi lists combos as multivariate event collections, but a combo market is only created on demand by an authenticated request, so no public price exists to quote. Polymarket runs combos through a request-for-quote auction — the eligible legs are public, the executable combo price is not. Gemini's combo endpoint is public and would expose a real orderbook price, but has no live inventory yet. So the figures above are computed by W.E.T. from single-leg quotes, and are not a quote from any venue.
How to read this
The basket holds equal notional in each market from its inception mark, so every holding counts equally in return terms rather than the biggest contract dominating. The level is that combined position, re-marked daily at the two-sided mid and rebased to 1000. Settled markets convert to cash at their payoff and wait for the next monthly review.
This is a published benchmark, not an account and not a product: the index is not directly investable. Marks are mid quotes before fees, spread and slippage, and no capacity limit is assumed — a real position would differ. W.E.T. is not an exchange and never handles orders. Data, not advice. Full methodology.