WSTW

Storm Watch — the basket

SlateDaily

The real markets behind this index, across every venue that lists them, tracked as one spread. Instead of reading a single contract, you read the theme — which is what a multi-week position is actually exposed to. Each holding links straight to its venue; W.E.T. never handles orders, you trade at the exchange.

No level published for this basket

No level published — the replayed series does not reconcile with this book. The replay ends -77.2% from base while the book's own closed and open positions give -23.0% — a 54-point disagreement. This book's units were resized by a rebalance without a new open date, so its day-one sizing is not recoverable from anything on disk and the history cannot be replayed honestly. A refusal is publishable; a wrong level is not.

Basket level · official print0 held · close 2026-09-16
No level publishedbase 1000

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage

Basket performance

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket total return
Since inception
Cost to cross
Holdings marked
0.0% of 0
1 day
7 day
Markets held
0
Settled
36
Rebalanced out
0
Hit rate
Cash
Inception
2026-08-01
Weighting
Equal notional
Marks
Two-sided mid
Days tracked
0

Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.

Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.

A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.

Holdings

held since 2026-08-01 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs

No open holdings. The basket is entirely in cash until the next scheduled review.

Settled · 36

graded outcomes — the basket's realized record
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?yes+82.6%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 86-87° on Aug 1, 2026? — 86° to 87°yes+4.7%
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?yes+17.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?yes+23.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?yes+124.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 2?yes+98.0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2?yes+88.7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2?yes+73.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 2?yes+127.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?yes+77.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2?yes+29.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 3?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 2?yes+185.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?yes+166.7%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?yes+31.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?yes+115.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 2?yes+143.9%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 2?no100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2?yes+94.2%

Combo · unavailable

no readable combination exists on this board

Even this index's two most likely holdings do not combine into a probability worth pricing — every market here is individually a long shot, so any product of them is a lottery ticket rather than a position. Publishing one anyway would put a six-figure payout on the page and imply a trade nobody should take. The basket above is the instrument for this theme.

How to read this

The basket holds equal notional in each market from its inception mark, so every holding counts equally in return terms rather than the biggest contract dominating. The level is that combined position, re-marked daily at the two-sided mid and rebased to 1000. Settled markets convert to cash at their payoff and wait for the next monthly review.

This is a published benchmark, not an account and not a product: the index is not directly investable. Marks are mid quotes before fees, spread and slippage, and no capacity limit is assumed — a real position would differ. W.E.T. is not an exchange and never handles orders. Data, not advice. Full methodology.