Topic
Federal Reserve Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Federal Reserve snapshot: "Fed Decision in October 2026? — Odds & Probability" — a captured 68% implied probability for No change on Polymarket; corpus through September 5, 2026.
Dated observations on Fed decisions connect captured rate-path prices with CPI releases, jobs reports, and FOMC statements. Each listing keeps its own venue and resolution terms.
8
Open snapshots
$165.2M
Comparable USD vol.
2
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Federal Reserve snapshotscorpus through September 5, 2026
Fed Decision in October 2026? — Odds & Probability
No change · Polymarket · $1.3M vol
Fed Decision in September 2026? — Odds & Probability
25 bps increase · Polymarket · $97.7M vol
Fed rate hike by...? — Odds & Probability
October Meeting · Polymarket · $2.8M vol
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — Odds & Probability
0 (0 bps) · Polymarket · $51.3M vol
Fed rate hike in 2026? — Odds & Probability
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Polymarket · $8.7M vol
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? — Odds & Probability
↑ 4.25% · Polymarket · $1.8M vol
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct) — Odds & Probability
Other · Polymarket · $733.7K vol
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) — Odds & Probability
Other · Polymarket · $823K vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Federal Reserve board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Federal Reserve markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Federal Reserve market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Fed Decision in October 2026? — Odds & Probability", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 68% implied probability for No change. Across the corpus through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 8 open-status Federal Reserve market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Federal Reserve snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.