Topic
European Central Bank Prediction Markets
The most recent European Central Bank market settled at 88% for No change.
ECB rate-decision markets track euro-area policy meeting by meeting — the European counterpart to the Fed funds market.
0
Open snapshots
$0
Comparable USD vol.
3
Settled archives
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the European Central Bank board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled European Central Bank markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026 — Odds & Probability
Final read: No change · Polymarket · $51.3K vol
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 — Odds & Probability
Final read: 25 bps increase · Polymarket · $314.2K vol
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026 — Odds & Probability
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest European Central Bank market snapshot record?
The most recent settled archive is "ECB Interest Rates: October 2026 — Odds & Probability", where one attributed Polymarket listing closed at a 88% implied probability for No change. Across the corpus through October 31, 2026, W.E.T. records 0 open-status European Central Bank market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s European Central Bank snapshots?
The settled archive snapshots through October 31, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.