Topic
S&P 500 Prediction Markets
The most recent S&P 500 market settled at 70% for ↑ $770.
Equity index markets price where the S&P 500 (SPY) closes — a prediction-market read on risk appetite that trades alongside the index itself.
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Open snapshots
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Comparable USD vol.
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Settled archives
ARCHIVE
Settled S&P 500 markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026? — Odds
Final read: ↑ $770 · Polymarket · $41.5K vol
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: ↑ $780 · Polymarket · $167.1K vol
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026? — Odds
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest S&P 500 market snapshot record?
The most recent settled archive is "What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026? — Odds", where one attributed Polymarket listing closed at a 70% implied probability for ↑ $770. Across the corpus through October 3, 2026, W.E.T. records 0 open-status S&P 500 market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s S&P 500 snapshots?
The settled archive snapshots through October 3, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.