Topic
Israel Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Israel snapshot: "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? — Odds" — a captured 34% implied probability for December 31, 2027 on Polymarket; corpus through November 5, 2026.
Markets on ceasefires, withdrawals, and diplomacy across the region’s conflicts.
31
Open snapshots
$123.8M
Comparable USD vol.
20
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Israel snapshotscorpus through November 5, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? — Odds
December 31, 2027 · Polymarket · $8.6M vol
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
November 3 · Polymarket · $45.6M vol
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela · Polymarket · $968.7K vol
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4 · Polymarket · $7.8M vol
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? — Odds
December 31 · Polymarket · $2.9M vol
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? — Odds
December 31 · Polymarket · $4.1M vol
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds
Gadi Eizenkot · Polymarket · $38.5M vol
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? — Odds
December 31, 2026 · Polymarket · $2.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Israel board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Israel markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Israel military action against Beirut by...? — Odds
Final read: October 31 · Polymarket · $352.1K vol
Israel Election: Likud # of seats? — Odds & Probability
Final read: 25-29 · Polymarket · $7.4M vol
Israeli Legislative Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Final read: Likud · Polymarket · $15.3M vol
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds
Final read: Benjamin Netanyahu · Polymarket · $79.1M vol
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds
Final read: Gadi Eizenkot · Polymarket · $39.8M vol
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...? — Odds
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $146.9K vol
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...? — Odds
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $102.9K vol
Israel closes its airspace by...? — Odds & Probability
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $31M vol
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...? — Odds
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $273.1K vol
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...? — Odds
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $454.6K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Israel market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? — Odds", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 34% implied probability for December 31, 2027. Across the corpus through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 31 open-status Israel market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Israel snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through November 5, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.