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Topic
The most-traded Israel market right now: "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River" — a 35% implied probability of December 31 on Polymarket, as of July 22, 2026.
Markets on ceasefires, withdrawals, and diplomacy across the region’s conflicts.
6
Live markets
$5.3M
Tracked volume
0
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
December 31 · Polymarket · $921K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $912.9K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $891.8K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $874.2K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $866.9K vol
December 31 · Polymarket · $865.9K vol
FAQ
The most-traded live Israel market is "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River", where the market implies a 35% chance of December 31 on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 6 live Israel markets in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.