Topic
Israel Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Israel snapshot: "Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? — Odds" — a captured 7% implied probability for December 31, 2026 on Polymarket; corpus through September 5, 2026.
Markets on ceasefires, withdrawals, and diplomacy across the region’s conflicts.
37
Open snapshots
$125.5M
Comparable USD vol.
8
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Israel snapshotscorpus through September 5, 2026
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? — Odds
December 31, 2026 · Polymarket · $2.1M vol
Israel closes its airspace by...? — Odds & Probability
September 30 · Polymarket · $28.5M vol
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? — Odds
December 31 · Polymarket · $8.4M vol
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds
Gadi Eizenkot · Polymarket · $35.3M vol
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $28.5M vol
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4 · Polymarket · $7.4M vol
Israel military action against Beirut by...? — Odds
October 31 · Polymarket · $352.1K vol
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $273.1K vol
Israeli Legislative Election Winner — Odds & Probability
Yashar · Polymarket · $245.8K vol
Israel military action against Beirut by...? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $326.6K vol
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $454.6K vol
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $102.9K vol
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...? — Odds
September 30 · Polymarket · $146.9K vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
December 31 · Polymarket · $1M vol
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...? — Odds
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Israel board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Israel markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Final read: December 31 · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $26.4M vol
Bank of Israel Decision in September 2026? — Odds
Final read: No Change · Polymarket · $73.9K vol
Houthi military action against Israel by...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $167.7K vol
Israel military action against Yemen by...? — Odds
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $189.5K vol
Israel military action against Beirut by...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $312.5K vol
Bank of Israel decision in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: No Change · Polymarket · $119.5K vol
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $340K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Israel market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? — Odds", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 7% implied probability for December 31, 2026. Across the corpus through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 37 open-status Israel market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Israel snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.