Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

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The Market Read

22 listings in the selected Polymarket event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Polymarket markets22Polymarket volume$252.5KEvent venuesPolymarketchecking coverage…

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

The Odyssey

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$143K vol

Dune: Part Three

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$24.1K vol

Digger

Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$12.9K vol

La Bola Negra

Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$12.8K vol

Wild Horse Nine

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$8.9K vol

The Debut

Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$6.4K vol

Fjord

Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$5K vol

Behemoth!

Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$4.8K vol

Project Hail Mary

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$4.8K vol

The Invite

Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$4.7K vol

All of a Sudden

Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$4.5K vol

Tony

Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$3.6K vol

The Social Reckoning

Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$2.3K vol

Saturn Return

Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$2K vol

Josephine

Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$1.7K vol

The Drama

Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$1.6K vol

Avengers: Doomsday

Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$1.6K vol

Michael

Will Michael win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$1.6K vol

Disclosure Day

Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$1.5K vol

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC·$1.5K vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Marketexact basis

As of 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC · fresh

WET IndexAwards Race

Published WET record · not an observation row

Anchor research

Research

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The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027Ceremonyoscarsevent identity
2027-03-14 23:59 UTCPolymarket contracts closevenue close
2027-07-01 03:59 UTC

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 05:01 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for polymarket:oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857 since 2026-09-22

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a…
Full text
tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)

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