EntertainmentDec 31

Oscar Winner: Best Director

In 2027

Evidence & research ↓

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

18 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets18Kalshi volume188.2K contractsEvent venuesKalshichecking coverage…

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Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Directing

17Kalshi

Christopher Nolan

Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·77.6K contracts vol

Denis Villeneuve

Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·20.3K contracts vol

Martin McDonagh

Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·18.9K contracts vol

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·16.1K contracts vol

David Fincher

Will David Fincher win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·11.3K contracts vol

Danny Boyle

Will Danny Boyle win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·9K contracts vol

Phil Lord & Christopher Miller

Will Phil Lord & Christopher Miller win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·7.7K contracts vol

Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi

Will Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·7.3K contracts vol

Olivia Wilde

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·6.2K contracts vol

Steven Spielberg

Will Steven Spielberg win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·5.5K contracts vol

Jesse Eisenberg

Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.9K contracts vol

Na Hong-jin

Will Na Hong-jin win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·989 contracts vol

Mike Leigh

Will Mike Leigh win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·944 contracts vol

Joel Coen

Will Joel Coen win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·779 contracts vol

Andrew Haigh

Will Andrew Haigh win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·315 contracts vol

Ben Affleck

Will Ben Affleck win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·293 contracts vol

Janus Metz Pedersen

Will Janus Metz Pedersen win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·140 contracts vol

Outcomes

1Kalshi

Tie

Will Tie win Best Director at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·3K contracts vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: 18 listing keys checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027Ceremonyoscarsevent identity
2027-12-31 15:00 UTCKalshi contracts closevenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXOSCARDIR-27 since 2026-09-22

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Christopher Nolan has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi
Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Denis Villeneuve has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

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