EntertainmentJan 22

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film

In 2027

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10 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

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Kalshi markets10Kalshi volume14.6K contractsEvent venuesKalshiPolymarketKalshichecking coverage…

Driving Coverage

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The 98th Academy Awards | 2026

Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences · 198d ago

2027 Oscar Predictions: All Below the Line and Feature Categories (September)

Awards Watch · 4d ago

Why Best Documentary Feature could make or break your Oscar ballot: ‘Perfect Neighbor’ vs. ‘Mr. Nobody Against Putin’

Gold Derby · 200d ago

Oscars 2027 International Feature Film Submissions By Country: Denmark, Italy & Spain Among Latest To Declare

Deadline · 7d ago

In the Documentary Oscar Nominees, Acts of Defiance Big and Small

nytimes.com · 249d ago

Oscars best international feature 2027: Italy submits ‘The Spiral’, Poland enters ‘Fatherland’

Screen Daily · 6d ago

A Guide to the 2026 Oscar Nominated Documentaries

The Cornell Daily Sun · 222d ago

The 2026 Oscar-nominated documentaries are sensitive and transformative

NPR · 209d ago

Scanning the wire…

More market categories are available below.

Markets on this event

One outcome · all venue odds · open listing details

Aligned outcomes share one row. Each quote retains its venue and observation time. NO marks the opposite contract side; measurement, cutoff, settlement rules and fees can differ.

Actor

29Kalshi · Polymarket

Adam Driver

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.2%01:41 UTC

Andrew Scott

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi21.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket24%01:41 UTC

Brad Pitt

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.6%01:41 UTC

Jeremy Strong

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.7%01:41 UTC

John Malkovich

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi31.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket36.1%01:41 UTC

Josh O'Connor

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.2%01:41 UTC

Matt Damon

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi25.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket21.5%01:41 UTC

Pedro Pascal

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.3%01:41 UTC

Ryan Gosling

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi1.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.3%01:41 UTC

Sebastian Stan

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.6%01:41 UTC

Timothée Chalamet

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi4.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.2%01:41 UTC

Tom Cruise

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi15.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket11%01:41 UTC

Anthony Ippolito

Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·36.2K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

Channing Tatum

Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.5K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Charles Melton

Will Charles Melton win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·568 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Ethan Hawke

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·5.5K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Hanns Zischler

Will Hanns Zischler win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·245 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Jaafar Jackson

Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·$4.6K vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Jacob Tremblay

Will Jacob Tremblay win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·300 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Jafar Jackson

Will Jafar Jackson win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·49.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Best Picture

45Kalshi · Polymarket

All of a Sudden

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.3%01:41 UTC

Avengers: Doomsday

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.1%01:41 UTC

Behemoth

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.7%01:41 UTC

Digger

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.5%01:41 UTC

Disclosure Day

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.1%01:41 UTC

Dune: Part Three

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi9.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket12%01:41 UTC

Fjord

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi1.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.3%01:41 UTC

Josephine

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.2%01:41 UTC

Michael

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.1%01:41 UTC

Project Hail Mary

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.8%01:41 UTC

The Debut

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket2%01:41 UTC

The Drama

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.3%01:41 UTC

The Invite

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.7%01:41 UTC

The Odyssey

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi48.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket44.5%01:41 UTC

The Social Reckoning

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.3%01:41 UTC

Wild Horse Nine

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.5%01:41 UTC

Artificial

Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·104.3K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Being Heumann

Will Being Heumann win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·9.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Clarissa

Will Clarissa win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·$1.4K vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Club Kid

Will Club Kid win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·64.2K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Outcomes

101Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·168.3K contracts vol

Yes 80%No 20%

The Odyssey

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·139.7K contracts vol

Yes 97%No 3%

Obsession

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·92.6K contracts vol

Yes 43%No 57%

Tie

Will Tie win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·67.6K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Wild Horse Nine

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·50.7K contracts vol

Yes 90%No 10%

Ryan Gosling

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·47.7K contracts vol

Yes 54%No 46%

Tom Cruise

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·47K contracts vol

Yes 34%No 66%

Digger

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·43.7K contracts vol

Yes 16%No 84%

Disclosure Day

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·38.9K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Fjord

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·36.7K contracts vol

Yes 51%No 49%

Tie

Will Tie win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·35.5K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Robert Pattinson

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·35.3K contracts vol

Yes 50%No 50%

You Can See Everything

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·33.5K contracts vol

Yes 35%No 65%

Jaafar Jackson

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·32.7K contracts vol

Yes 14%No 86%

Pedro Pascal

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·32.2K contracts vol

Yes 17%No 83%

Matt Damon

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·32.1K contracts vol

Yes 89%No 11%

The Invite

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·28.6K contracts vol

Yes 66%No 34%

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·28.2K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

I Play Rocky

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·27.3K contracts vol

Yes 38%No 62%

Andrew Scott

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·26.6K contracts vol

Yes 92%No 8%

Supporting Actress

15Kalshi · Polymarket

Anne Hathaway

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi52%01:41 UTCPolymarket51.5%01:41 UTC

Betty Gilpin

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2%01:41 UTCPolymarket5%01:41 UTC

Danielle Deadwyler

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.3%01:41 UTC

Gemma Chan

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.9%01:41 UTC

Inde Navarrette

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.6%01:41 UTC

Isabella Rossellini

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.5%01:41 UTC

Margaret Qualley

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.6%01:41 UTC

Mariana di Girolamo

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket6.7%01:41 UTC

Parker Posey

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.5%01:41 UTC

Penélope Cruz

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi20%01:41 UTCPolymarket16.5%01:41 UTC

Sandra Hüller

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi7.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket5.4%01:41 UTC

Tao Okamoto

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2%01:41 UTCPolymarket15.8%01:41 UTC

Zendaya

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3%01:41 UTCPolymarket5.5%01:41 UTC

Amanda Seyfried

Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·3.2K contracts vol

Yes 10%No 90%

Kate O'Flynn

Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·2.9K contracts vol

Yes 10%No 90%

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

You Can See Everything

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·7.5K contracts vol

Yes 80%No 20%

NAZA

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.8K contracts vol

Yes 84%No 16%

Nuisance Bear

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.6K contracts vol

Yes 30%No 70%

One in a Million

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.5K contracts vol

Yes 34%No 66%

Musk

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·756 contracts vol

Yes 18%No 82%

American Doctor

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·521 contracts vol

Yes 67%No 33%

Tutu

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·285 contracts vol

Yes 16%No 84%

Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·283 contracts vol

Yes 21%No 79%

14th

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·230 contracts vol

Yes 23%No 77%

Once Upon a Time in Harlem

2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·90 contracts vol

Yes 69%No 31%

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film

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Outcomes

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Actor

Best Picture

Outcomes

Supporting Actress

Evidence

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