Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay

Kalshi1.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.3%01:41 UTC

Ryan Gosling

2 venues · Terms may differ

Sebastian Stan

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.6%01:41 UTC

Timothée Chalamet

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi4.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.2%01:41 UTC

Tom Cruise

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi15.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket11%01:41 UTC

Anthony Ippolito

Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·36.2K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

Channing Tatum

Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.5K contracts vol

Charles Melton

Will Charles Melton win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·568 contracts vol

Ethan Hawke

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·5.5K contracts vol

Hanns Zischler

Will Hanns Zischler win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·245 contracts vol

Jaafar Jackson

Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·$4.6K vol

Jacob Tremblay

Will Jacob Tremblay win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·300 contracts vol

Jafar Jackson

Will Jafar Jackson win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·49.1K contracts vol

Best Picture

45Kalshi · Polymarket

All of a Sudden

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.1%01:41 UTC

Avengers: Doomsday

2 venues · Terms may differ

Behemoth

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.7%01:41 UTC

Digger

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.5%01:41 UTC

Disclosure Day

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.1%01:41 UTC

Dune: Part Three

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi9.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket12%01:41 UTC

Fjord

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi1.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.3%01:41 UTC

Josephine

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.2%01:41 UTC

Michael

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.1%01:41 UTC

Project Hail Mary

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.8%01:41 UTC

The Debut

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket2%01:41 UTC

The Drama

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket0.7%01:41 UTC

The Invite

2 venues · Terms may differ

The Odyssey

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi48.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket44.5%01:41 UTC

The Social Reckoning

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.5%01:41 UTC

Wild Horse Nine

2 venues · Terms may differ

Artificial

Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·104.3K contracts vol

Being Heumann

Will Being Heumann win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·9.1K contracts vol

Clarissa

Will Clarissa win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·$1.4K vol

Club Kid

Will Club Kid win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·64.2K contracts vol

Outcomes

106Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·168.3K contracts vol

Yes 80%No 20%

The Odyssey

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·139.7K contracts vol

Yes 97%No 3%

Obsession

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·92.6K contracts vol

Yes 43%No 57%

Tie

Will Tie win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·67.6K contracts vol

Wild Horse Nine

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·50.7K contracts vol

Yes 90%No 10%

Ryan Gosling

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·47.7K contracts vol

Yes 54%No 46%

Tom Cruise

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·47K contracts vol

Yes 34%No 66%

Digger

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·43.7K contracts vol

Yes 16%No 84%

Disclosure Day

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·38.9K contracts vol

Fjord

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·36.7K contracts vol

Yes 51%No 49%

Tie

Will Tie win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·35.5K contracts vol

Kalshi52%01:41 UTCPolymarket51.5%01:41 UTC

Robert Pattinson

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·35.3K contracts vol

Yes 50%No 50%

You Can See Everything

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·33.5K contracts vol

Yes 35%No 65%

Jaafar Jackson

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·32.7K contracts vol

Yes 14%No 86%

Pedro Pascal

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·32.2K contracts vol

Yes 17%No 83%

Matt Damon

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·32.1K contracts vol

Yes 89%No 11%

The Invite

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·28.6K contracts vol

Yes 66%No 34%

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·28.2K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

I Play Rocky

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·27.3K contracts vol

Yes 38%No 62%

Andrew Scott

2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·26.6K contracts vol

Yes 92%No 8%

Supporting Actress

15Kalshi · Polymarket

Anne Hathaway

2 venues · Terms may differ

Betty Gilpin

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2%01:41 UTCPolymarket5%01:41 UTC

Danielle Deadwyler

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.3%01:41 UTC

Gemma Chan

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.9%01:41 UTC

Inde Navarrette

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3%01:41 UTCPolymarket1.6%01:41 UTC

Isabella Rossellini

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.5%01:41 UTC

Margaret Qualley

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.6%01:41 UTC

Mariana di Girolamo

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi0.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket6.7%01:41 UTC

Parker Posey

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket3.5%01:41 UTC

Penélope Cruz

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi20%01:41 UTCPolymarket16.5%01:41 UTC

Sandra Hüller

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi7.5%01:41 UTCPolymarket5.4%01:41 UTC

Tao Okamoto

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi2%01:41 UTCPolymarket15.8%01:41 UTC

Zendaya

2 venues · Terms may differ

Kalshi3%01:41 UTCPolymarket5.5%01:41 UTC

Amanda Seyfried

Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·3.2K contracts vol

Yes 10%No 90%

Kate O'Flynn

Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·2.9K contracts vol

Yes 10%No 90%

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Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

The Black Ball

Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·5.9K contracts vol

Yes 38%No 62%

The Odyssey

Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·5.1K contracts vol

Yes 22%No 78%

The Invite

Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·4.1K contracts vol

Yes 29%No 71%

Project Hail Mary

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.9K contracts vol

Yes 6%No 94%

Dune: Part Three

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.9K contracts vol

Yes 6%No 94%

Toy Story 5

Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.2K contracts vol

The Social Reckoning

Will The Social Reckoning win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1.1K contracts vol

Yes 27%No 73%

All of a Sudden

Will All of a Sudden win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

Wildwood

Will Wildwood win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

Clarissa

Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

Cry to Heaven

Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

Ink

Will Ink win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

Saturn Return

Will Saturn Return win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

The Whisper Man

Will The Whisper Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol