EntertainmentDec 31

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

In 2027

Evidence & research ↓

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The Market Read

26 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets26Kalshi volume123.6K contractsEvent venuesKalshichecking coverage…

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Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Supporting Actor

25Kalshi

Robert Pattinson

Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·19.5K contracts vol

Paul Giamatti

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·15.6K contracts vol

John Leguizamo

Will John Leguizamo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11.3K contracts vol

Sam Rockwell

Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11.1K contracts vol

Edward Norton

Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·9.7K contracts vol

Skyler Gisondo

Will Skyler Gisondo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·7.4K contracts vol

Jeremy Strong

Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·7K contracts vol

John Goodman

Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·6.7K contracts vol

Riz Ahmed

Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.6K contracts vol

Guitarricadelafuente

Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.4K contracts vol

Colman Domingo

Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.2K contracts vol

Tom Holland

Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.1K contracts vol

Miles Teller

Will Miles Teller win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4K contracts vol

Guy Pearce

Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.2K contracts vol

Channing Tatum

Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.7K contracts vol

James Ortiz

Will James Ortiz win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.8K contracts vol

Steve Buscemi

Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.1K contracts vol

Adam Scott

Will Adam Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·615 contracts vol

Charles Melton

Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·490 contracts vol

Himesh Patel

Will Himesh Patel win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·484 contracts vol

Outcomes

1Kalshi

Tie

Will Tie win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.9K contracts vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: 26 listing keys checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027Ceremonyoscarsevent identity
2027-12-31 15:00 UTCKalshi contracts closevenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXOSCARSUPACTO-27 since 2026-09-22

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Robert Pattinson has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi
Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Paul Giamatti has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

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