Dated Market Snapshots
Oscars 2027 Odds
In W.E.T.'s September 4, 2026 snapshot, one attributed Polymarket listing recorded The Odyssey at 54% to win Oscars 2027, ahead of Dune: Part Three at 16%, with $136.5K in venue-reported event volume.
Identified Oscars 2027 listings retained in W.E.T.’s corpus, with their observation dates, source venues, implied probabilities, and comparable volume where units permit. Coverage is not exhaustive and no refresh schedule is implied. See the methodology.
The nominees board
Concentration
24
a clear favourite
Effective contenders
4.1
of 22 priced in the dated snapshot
Book
120%
sums past 100 — check the venue rulebook and outcome set
Lead
+38
points clear of Dune: Part Three
The Odyssey
Dune: Part Three
La Bola Negra
Wild Horse Nine
Fjord
Digger
Project Hail Mary
Tony
Behemoth!
The Debut
Avengers: Doomsday
Michael
Where the night is still open
Ceremony
Oscars 2027
15 categories priced
Still contested
4
inside 15 points
Tightest
+1
Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Contested- The Black Ball27%
- The Odyssey26%
- The Invite20%
- Project Hail Mary8%
- Ink6%
- Dune: Part Three6%
+1 pt margin · 15 nominees · 9 more
Best Actor Winner
Contested- Matt Damon27%
- John Malkovich23%
- Andrew Scott19%
- Tom Cruise14%
- Robert Pattinson8%
- Jeremy Strong6%
+4 pt margin · 18 nominees · 12 more
Best Actress Winner
Contested- Julianne Moore27%
- Inde Navarrette20%
- Renate Reinsve14%
- Sandra Hüller13%
- Sophie Okonedo7%
- Ruth Madeley6%
+7 pt margin · 11 nominees · 5 more
Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Contested- American Doctor37%
- Once Upon a Time in Harlem24%
- One in a Million14%
- Nuisance Bear6%
- Tutu5%
- Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party4%
+13 pt margin · 7 nominees · 1 more
Best Supporting Actress Winner
Clear favourite- Anne Hathaway36%
- Penélope Cruz21%
- Sandra Hüller9%
- Mariana di Girolamo6%
- Betty Gilpin6%
- Zendaya6%
+15 pt margin · 13 nominees · 7 more
Best Supporting Actor Winner
Clear favourite- Paul Giamatti30%
- Robert Pattinson9%
- Guy Pearce9%
- John Goodman8%
- Sam Rockwell7%
- Edward Norton5%
+21 pt margin · 22 nominees · 16 more
Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Clear favourite- Wildwood49%
- Toy Story 527%
- Ray Gunn11%
- Forgotten Island8%
- Hoppers7%
- Tangles6%
+22 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Best Original Screenplay Winner
Clear favourite- Wild Horse Nine39%
- Digger14%
- The Debut13%
- Obsession12%
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth8%
- The Black Ball6%
+25 pt margin · 17 nominees · 11 more
Best Original Score Winner
Clear favourite- The Odyssey41%
- Dune: Part Three14%
- Project Hail Mary11%
- The Black Ball8%
- Disclosure Day7%
- Whalefall4%
+27 pt margin · 12 nominees · 6 more
Best Visual Effects Winner
Clear favourite- Dune: Part Three54%
- Project Hail Mary26%
- The Odyssey12%
- Godzilla Minus Zero10%
- Avengers: Doomsday4%
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day4%
+28 pt margin · 6 nominees
Best Cinematography Winner
Clear favourite- The Odyssey61%
- Dune: Part Three25%
- Project Hail Mary11%
- Werwulf2%
- Digger2%
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth2%
+36 pt margin · 10 nominees · 4 more
Best Picture Winner
Clear favourite- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three16%
- La Bola Negra12%
- Wild Horse Nine8%
- Fjord6%
- Digger5%
+38 pt margin · 22 nominees · 16 more
Best Casting Winner
Decided- The Odyssey54%
- The Black Ball14%
- UNABOMBER10%
- Clarissa8%
- Being Heumann7%
- Obsession6%
+40 pt margin · 13 nominees · 7 more
Best International Feature Film Winner
Decided- The Black Ball65%
- Fjord14%
- All of a Sudden4%
- Minotaur3%
- Possible Love2%
- Fatherland1%
+51 pt margin · 15 nominees · 9 more
Best Director Winner
Decided- Christopher Nolan66%
- Alejandro G. Iñárritu14%
- Denis Villeneuve14%
- Jesse Eisenberg4%
- Aaron Sorkin4%
- Lance Oppenheim3%
+52 pt margin · 14 nominees · 8 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up — the gap between them is the recorded margin.
What the market has priced
Champion field22 contenders
outright winner listings appear in the retained snapshot
Individual matchups
no identified fixture observation is retained
Draw and rounds
no identified draw observation is retained, so no bracket is inferred
A layer is present only when an identified observation exists in the dated corpus. Missing layers are not inferred from schedules, and this page makes no venue-refresh claim.
3
Retained pages
3
Active snapshots
0
Expired unresolved
1
Observed venues
Top categories
1 marketOther markets
1 marketActive Oscars 2027 snapshots on the desk
| Market | Market’s call | Implied % | Venue | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner — Odds & Probability | The Odyssey | 54% | Polymarket | $136.5K |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations — Odds | The Odyssey | 97% | Polymarket | $19.6K |
| Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the | The Odyssey | 87% | Polymarket | $127.9K |
Each row links to its dated market page. Venue splits remain withheld without confirmed same-outcome identity.
How this arena settles
Explicit settlement writes convert individual observations into final archives. If an event time passes without one, the page labels the row expired and unresolved instead of manufacturing a result. Part of the Big Event Desk — event navigation with preserved provenance.
Answers
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win Oscars 2027?
In W.E.T.'s September 4, 2026 snapshot, one attributed Polymarket listing recorded The Odyssey at 54% implied probability for Oscars 2027, ahead of Dune: Part Three at 16%, with $136.5K in venue-reported event volume. That is a dated market observation, not a forecast.
When is Oscars 2027?
Oscars 2027 is scheduled for March 2027. W.E.T. organizes only identified listings retained in its dated corpus; the page does not assert a refresh schedule.
How much comparable USD volume is reported for Oscars 2027 prediction markets?
W.E.T. tracks $284K in comparable USD-reported volume across 3 Oscars 2027 market pages as of September 4, 2026. Kalshi contract counts and mixed-unit event totals are excluded rather than added to dollars.
Where do Oscars 2027 prediction markets trade?
This snapshot contains attributed listings from Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical gap is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of who will win?
No. Implied probability is a venue price observation, not a forecast from W.E.T. The displayed values are dated snapshots; verify a venue for later availability or price changes.
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W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Quotes are venue-attributed observations with identity-keyed history. Numerical cross-venue comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed. Implied probabilities are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Prediction markets may be restricted in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+.