EntertainmentDec 31

Oscar winner: Best Actress

In 2027

Evidence & research ↓

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

18 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets18Kalshi volume265.8K contractsEvent venuesKalshichecking coverage…

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Actress

17Kalshi

Inde Navarrette

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·111.3K contracts vol

Julianne Moore

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·42.7K contracts vol

Anne hathaway

Will Anne hathaway win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·27.6K contracts vol

Renate Reinsve

Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·14.3K contracts vol

Olivia Wilde

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·14K contracts vol

Penélope Cruz

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·11.3K contracts vol

Sandra Hüller

Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·8.6K contracts vol

Mikey Madison

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·7.6K contracts vol

Cynthia Erivo

Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·6.5K contracts vol

Scarlett Johansson

Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·3.2K contracts vol

Joan Collins

Will Joan Collins win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·3.2K contracts vol

Kirsten Dunst

Will Kirsten Dunst win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·1K contracts vol

Natalie Portman

Will Natalie Portman win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·812 contracts vol

Dakota Johnson

Will Dakota Johnson win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·148 contracts vol

Shailene Woodley

Will Shailene Woodley win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·146 contracts vol

Kate O'Flynn

Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·100 contracts vol

Marion Bailey

Will Marion Bailey win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·Volume unavailable

Outcomes

1Kalshi

Tie

Will Tie win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC·13.1K contracts vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: 18 listing keys checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027Ceremonyoscarsevent identity
2027-12-31 15:00 UTCKalshi contracts closevenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 01:41 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXOSCARACTR-27 since 2026-09-22

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Inde Navarrette has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi
Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Julianne Moore has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

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