EntertainmentDec 31

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

In 2027

Evidence & research ↓

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

41 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets41Kalshi volume7.2M contractsEvent venuesKalshichecking coverage…

Driving Coverage

Open the Newsroom →

Scanning the wire…

Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Best Picture

39Kalshi

The Odyssey

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.8M contracts vol

Digger

Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·558.4K contracts vol

Dune: Part Three

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·545.9K contracts vol

The Black Ball

Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·532.6K contracts vol

Wild Horse Nine

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·401.6K contracts vol

Avengers: Doomsday

Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·320.8K contracts vol

Project Hail Mary

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·318.1K contracts vol

The Debut

Will The Debut win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·317.1K contracts vol

Obsession

Will Obsession win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·235.4K contracts vol

You Can See Everything

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·223.8K contracts vol

Josephine

Will Josephine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·216.2K contracts vol

The Social Reckoning

Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·209.1K contracts vol

Michael

Will Michael win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·193.8K contracts vol

Fjord

Will Fjord win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·177.4K contracts vol

Elsinore

Will Elsinore win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·153.3K contracts vol

Artificial

Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·104.3K contracts vol

Paper Tiger

Will Paper Tiger win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·102.7K contracts vol

Disclosure Day

Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·95.1K contracts vol

Behemoth

Will Behemoth win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·73.8K contracts vol

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·65.6K contracts vol

Outcomes

2Kalshi

Tie

Will Tie win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·67.6K contracts vol

1949 / Fatherland

Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·26.6K contracts vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: 41 listing keys checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027Ceremonyoscarsevent identity
2027-12-31 15:00 UTCKalshi contracts closevenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXOSCARPIC-27 since 2026-09-22

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi
Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Digger has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Actions