WeatherDec 31

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

The Market Read

“2” leads at 56% — a clear leader.

6 outcomes · $3.2M total volume · next: “1” at 40%.

Markets6Volume$3.2MVenuePolymarket

Driving Coverage

Open the Newsroom →

Red Sox match team record with 15th straight win

ESPN · 2h ago

Perez ties Brett's Royals record with 317th HR

ESPN · 2h ago

Assessing the Global Temperature and Precipitation Analysis in June 2026 - NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) (.gov)

Google News · 14d ago

NOAA and NASA see 2026 tracking among hottest years

MSN · 3d ago

El Niño may drive 2026 into the ranks of the hottest years ever recorded

The Weather Channel · 14d ago

June 2026: Earth’s 2nd-hottest June on record

Yale Climate Connections · 14d ago

Don’t Hide the Thermometer: Data Leads to Better Decisions

Southern Alliance for Clean Energy · 5d ago

WMO confirms 2025 was one of warmest years on record

World Meteorological Organization WMO · 190d ago

Scanning the wire…

Markets on this event

WET odds · tap for Kalshi & Polymarket

$789.4K vol

Yes 1%No 99%

$536.5K vol

Yes 40%No 60%

6 or lower

$511K vol

$499.4K vol

$483.8K vol

$372.7K vol

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