WeatherDec 31

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Before 2028

The Market Read

Traders price this at 12% — a longshot.

$0 traded on Kalshi.

Markets1Volume$0VenueKalshi

Driving Coverage

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A 7.8 magnitude quake in the Philippines kills at least 35, collapses buildings and triggers tsunami

PBS · 45d ago

Powerful earthquake in southern Philippines leaves at least 37 dead

The Guardian · 46d ago

Scientists Warn a ‘Megaquake’ Event in Coastal Cities Could Be ‘Imminent’

Newsweek · 437d ago

Scanning the wire…

Markets on this event

WET odds · tap for Kalshi & Polymarket

Before 2028

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Yes 12%No 88%

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