WeatherJan 1

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

In Dec 2026

Evidence & research ↓

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

6 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets6Kalshi volume4K contractsEvent venuesKalshi

Driving Coverage

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Above 16 inches

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·1.5K contracts vol

Above 4 inches

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·860 contracts vol

Above 8 inches

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·772 contracts vol

Above 20 inches

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·375 contracts vol

Above 12 inches

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·338 contracts vol

Above 24 inches

Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·202 contracts vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: 6 listing keys checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Weather — official station context

Data

Refused · no-key-match

Select a verified listing with its explicit station association, local contract day and retained native source rules.

Availability details

Retires when A selected verified listing has a source-backed station key and a readable, pinned station collection.

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027-01-01 05:59 UTCKalshi contracts closevenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXMSPSNOWM-26DEC since 2026-11-03

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If the total snowfall in Minneapolis in December 2026 is strictly greater than 16 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Snowfall data is available through The Weather Company’s dashboard at https://weather.com/kalshi. Select “Snowfall,” choose the city and station specified in this market’s rules, and use “Custom” to select the specified calendar period. Snowfall is reported in inches for each station’s local calendar day. Not all weather data is the same. Forecasts and other weather websites may report different figures. Preliminary readings may change, and displayed totals may be incomp…
Full text
lete when daily reports are missing. Resolution uses initial non-preliminary official values reported by The Weather Company, subject to the contract’s source hierarchy, correction, trace, and contingency provisions.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi

ActionsNo venue-native listing on this page to request research on