WeatherSep 3

Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?

TWC reporting day dated September 3, 2027

Evidence & research ↓

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

Kalshi prices “Above 0 millimeters” at 47% — a coin flip.

23.4K contracts in venue-reported volume. One venue-attributed observation; no cross-market aggregate.

Kalshi markets1Kalshi volume23.4K contractsEvent venuesKalshi

Driving Coverage

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Above 0 millimeters

Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC·23.4K contracts vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Weather — official station context

Data

Refused · no-key-match

Select a verified listing with its explicit station association, local contract day and retained native source rules.

Availability details

Retires when A selected verified listing has a source-backed station key and a readable, pinned station collection.

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2027-09-04 05:59 UTCKalshi contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXRAINDPARIS-03SEP27 since 2026-11-03

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If total precipitation at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) for The Weather Company reporting day dated September 3, 2027 (06:00 UTC that date to 06:00 UTC the following date) is strictly greater than 0 millimeters, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses The Weather Company's daily precipitation value for Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG), labeled September 3, 2027, in millimeters. The source's reporting day runs from 06:00 UTC on the report date to 06:00 UTC the following date. Use the date label on the daily report. Data is available at https://weather.com/kalshi under…
Full text
International, Paris (LFPG), for the report date. Use the daily precipitation total, not hourly temperature observations or a weather forecast. The Weather Company attributes this precipitation data to Météo-France, API Données Climatologiques (https://portail-api.meteofrance.fr). Total precipitation includes liquid-equivalent rainfall and melted frozen precipitation. Trace amounts and missing daily values count as 0.00 millimeters, subject to the contract's data-error and contingency provisions. Use the initial non-preliminary reported value, subject to the contract's material-error correction provisions. A Final label alone does not establish that data is error-free. If no reliable data is available by expiration, the contract's last-fair-price provision applies. Trading is scheduled to close one minute before the reporting day ends. Expiration is at 10:00 AM ET on the specified expiration date, subject to the contract's early-expiration and contingency provisions. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Weather Company or Météo-France. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Météo-France does not endorse this product.

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