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Topic
The most-traded Republican Party market right now: "Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm" — a 24% implied probability of ≤47 on Polymarket, as of July 21, 2026.
Every market where the GOP is the outcome: control of Congress, races, and nomination fights across both venues.
2026 Midterms arena — the full event tracker10
Live markets
$4.9M
Tracked volume
0
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
≤47 · Polymarket · $2.7M vol
Jay Feely · Polymarket · $468.4K vol
Lisa Demuth · Polymarket · $451.3K vol
Mike Mazzei · Polymarket · $431.3K vol
Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $288.8K vol
Below 190 · Polymarket · $275.1K vol
Megan Degenfelder · Polymarket · $90.2K vol
John James · Polymarket · $81.9K vol
Ty Masterson · Polymarket · $75.1K vol
Vicente Ada · Polymarket · $42.1K vol
FAQ
The most-traded live Republican Party market is "Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm", where the market implies a 24% chance of ≤47 on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 10 live Republican Party markets in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.