Topic
Republican Party Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Republican Party snapshot: "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" — a captured 99% implied probability for Below 190 on Polymarket; corpus through November 5, 2026.
Published observations where the Republican Party is an explicit outcome, including control, race, and nomination contracts when present in the corpus.
2026 Midterms arena — registered event tracker5
Open snapshots
$817.7K
Comparable USD vol.
23
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Republican Party snapshotscorpus through November 5, 2026
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 · Polymarket · $712.7K vol
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm
190+ · Polymarket · $17.8K vol
Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)
James Comer · Polymarket · $4.9K vol
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
Yes · Polymarket · $6.8K vol
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win
3 · Polymarket · $75.4K vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Republican Party board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Republican Party markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm
Final read: 22–23 · Polymarket · $686K vol
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm
Final read: ≤47 · Polymarket · $5.9M vol
Delaware Republican Senate Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Michael Katz · Polymarket · $66.7K vol
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner — Odds & Probability
Final read: Anthony DiLorenzo · Polymarket · $74.3K vol
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Elaine Pelino · Polymarket · $87.2K vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $3.1M vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $21.8K vol
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary
Final read: Darline Graham Nordone · Polymarket · $33.8K vol
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner — Odds
Final read: Gentner Drummond · Polymarket · $999.2K vol
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican
Final read: Fishback 10–15% · Polymarket · $332.1K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Republican Party market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 99% implied probability for Below 190. Across the corpus through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 5 open-status Republican Party market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Republican Party snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through November 5, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.