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The most-traded Democratic Party market right now: "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds" — a 79% implied probability of Abdul El-Sayed on Polymarket, as of July 22, 2026.
Every market where the Democrats are the outcome: control of Congress, races, and primary fields across both venues.
10
Live markets
$2.6M
Tracked volume
0
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
Abdul El-Sayed · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Troy Jackson · Polymarket · $807.1K vol
Francesca Hong · Polymarket · $202.7K vol
Adam Hamilton · Polymarket · $158.2K vol
Jerri Green · Polymarket · $87K vol
Peggy Flanagan · Polymarket · $75.6K vol
Ed Markey · Polymarket · $46K vol
Marquita Bradshaw · Polymarket · $20.1K vol
El-Sayed 5–10% · Polymarket · $17.7K vol
Haley Stevens · Polymarket · $6.1K vol
FAQ
The most-traded live Democratic Party market is "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner — Odds", where the market implies a 79% chance of Abdul El-Sayed on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 10 live Democratic Party markets in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.