Topic
Donald Trump Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Donald Trump snapshot: "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? — Odds" — a captured 88% implied probability for China on Polymarket; corpus through November 5, 2026.
Captured contracts concerning executive actions, appointments, statements, and election outcomes, grouped without claiming exhaustive venue coverage.
13
Open snapshots
$19.4M
Comparable USD vol.
34
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Donald Trump snapshotscorpus through November 5, 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? — Odds
China · Polymarket · $2.3M vol
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? — Odds
Pete Hegseth · Polymarket · $1.5M vol
Trump out as President before 2027? — Odds & Probability
Trump out as President before 2027? · Polymarket · $14.2M vol
Who will Trump meet with in 2026? — Odds & Probability
Mohammed bin Salman · Polymarket · $1.4M vol
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Odds
Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 5.2M contracts vol
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Odds
Before Jan 1, 2028 · Kalshi · 617.2K contracts vol
Will Trump impose martial law? — Odds & Probability
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 96.7K contracts vol
Will Trump run for a third term? — Odds & Probability
Before Election Day · Kalshi · 159.6K contracts vol
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Odds
Before Jan 1, 2028 · Kalshi · 604.3K contracts vol
Will Trump recognize Taiwan? — Odds & Probability
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 38.7K contracts vol
Will Congress override Trump's veto? — Odds
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 31.2K contracts vol
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 13.2K contracts vol
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Odds & Probability
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 31.4K contracts vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Donald Trump board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Donald Trump markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Odds
Final read: Before Jan 2027 · Kalshi · 13K contracts vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30? — Odds
Final read: Alex Jones · Polymarket · $182.8K vol
Who will Trump meet with in September 2026? — Odds
Final read: Xi Jinping · Polymarket · $42.6K vol
When will Trump announce a new White House Press
Final read: September 30 · Polymarket · $182K vol
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Odds
Final read: Before Jan 2027 · Kalshi · 10.2K contracts vol
Who will Trump publicly praise in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: Bryson DeChambeau · Polymarket · $240K vol
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31? — Odds
Final read: Zohran Mamdani · Polymarket · $70.3K vol
Who will Trump speak to in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: Ursula von der Leyen · Polymarket · $92.2K vol
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — Odds
Final read: August 21 · Polymarket · $197.6K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Donald Trump market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? — Odds", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 88% implied probability for China. Across the corpus through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 13 open-status Donald Trump market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Donald Trump snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through November 5, 2026 are attributed to Kalshi and Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.