Topic
Donald Trump Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Donald Trump snapshot: "Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Odds" — a captured 19% implied probability for Before January 20, 2029 on Kalshi; corpus through September 5, 2026.
Captured contracts concerning executive actions, appointments, statements, and election outcomes, grouped without claiming exhaustive venue coverage.
6
Open snapshots
$11.6M
Comparable USD vol.
30
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Donald Trump snapshotscorpus through September 5, 2026
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Odds
Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 5M contracts vol
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Odds
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · 554.9K contracts vol
Will Trump run for a third term? — Odds & Probability
Before Election Day · Kalshi · 144.2K contracts vol
Trump out as President before 2027? — Odds & Probability
Trump out as President before 2027? · Polymarket · $11.4M vol
When will Trump announce a new White House Press
September 30 · Polymarket · $182K vol
Who will Trump meet with in September 2026? — Odds
Xi Jinping · Polymarket · $42.6K vol
ARCHIVE
Settled Donald Trump markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Odds
Final read: Before Jan 2027 · Kalshi · 10.2K contracts vol
Who will Trump publicly praise in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: Bryson DeChambeau · Polymarket · $240K vol
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31? — Odds
Final read: Zohran Mamdani · Polymarket · $70.3K vol
Who will Trump speak to in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: Ursula von der Leyen · Polymarket · $92.2K vol
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — Odds
Final read: August 21 · Polymarket · $197.6K vol
Who will Trump meet with in August 2026? — Odds
Final read: Elon Musk · Polymarket · $313.4K vol
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? — Odds
Final read: August 31 · Polymarket · $55.6K vol
What will Trump say during remarks at NASA? — Odds
Final read: Mission · Polymarket · $106.6K vol
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August
Final read: 200+ · Polymarket · $28.6K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Donald Trump market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Odds", where one attributed Kalshi listing records a 19% implied probability for Before January 20, 2029. Across the corpus through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 6 open-status Donald Trump market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Donald Trump snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026 are attributed to Kalshi and Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.