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The most-traded Donald Trump market right now: "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — Odds" — a 99% implied probability of July 22 on Polymarket, as of July 22, 2026.
The deepest single-person book in prediction markets: executive actions, appointments, statements, and every election cycle he touches.
7
Live markets
$10.4M
Tracked volume
3
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
July 22 · Polymarket · $377.1K vol
August 31 · Polymarket · $243.2K vol
Giorgia Meloni · Polymarket · $232.9K vol
Jerome Powell · Polymarket · $66.6K vol
Save America Act · Polymarket · $45K vol
Weijia Jiang · Polymarket · $38.6K vol
Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi · $27.5K vol
ARCHIVE
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Final read: Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · Polymarket · $8.3M vol
Final read: Yes · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Final read: Interfere / Interference · Polymarket · $33.9K vol
FAQ
The most-traded live Donald Trump market is "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? — Odds", where the market implies a 99% chance of July 22 on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 7 live Donald Trump markets in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.