The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, September 3, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Match Winner up 51 pts to 77%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Match Winner · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
200-219 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Max Martin · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Morgan Wallen · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
25 bps increase · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Bobby Witt Jr. · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Other · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Other · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 56%
Sports · Qinwen Zheng 82%
Sports · Match Winner 40%
Sports · Match Winner 65%
Sports · Match Winner 38%
Sports · Match Winner 23%
Sports · Match Winner 40%
Sports · Match Winner 65%
Sports · Match Winner 35%
Sports · Match Winner 59%
Market snapshots
20-22M · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Carlos Alcaraz · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Aryna Sabalenka · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Wake Forest · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Felix Auger-Aliassime · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
December 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Nikola Bartunkova · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Alcaraz puts positive spin on going 4 sets in win — ESPN
- Flood Warning issued September 3 at 4:21AM CDT until September 3 at 6:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued September 3 at 4:05AM CDT until September 3 at 6:15AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued September 3 at 3:29AM CDT until September 3 at 5:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
- Which Investors Will Get Rich From Anthropic’s IPO? — New York Times
- Putin floats 'chance' at peace with Ukraine as NATO chief warns Russia is becoming 'increasingly reckless' — CNBC
- For Russia and Ukraine, an Escalating Spiral With No End in Sight — New York Times
- Russia to close Goethe-Institut centres as Germany tensions escalate — Al Jazeera
- 🤔 Kelce buys Ohio home before Swift marriage — ESPN
- Berkshire CEO Abel says Alphabet a 'significant player' in AI after growing stake in Q2 — CNBC
- Who Approves Trump’s Washington Makeover Projects? — New York Times
- Bank of Canada mulls Trump tariff shock as it readies interest rates decision — CNBC
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.