Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN
By Corbin V King · Updated September 4, 2026
This market has settled. Its final read (September 4, 2026) was a 40% implied probability for Match Winner on Polymarket, with $110.2K in venue-reported volume.
Final implied probability
Market favorite
Match Winner — market favorite
Polymarket · $110.2K reported volume
40%
Implied
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Counter-Strike
8 categories priced
Still contested
7
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN
Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWINsettled
Contested- Map 2 Winner51%
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)51%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)50%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Black Phoenix vs Infinite (BO3) -settled
Contested- O/U 2.5 Games52%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 1 Winner49%
- Match Winner45%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
DENDELE CS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEMsettled
Contested- Match Winner59%
- Map 2 Winner57%
- Map 1 Winner55%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEMsettled
Contested- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
- Map 2 Winner97%
- O/U 2.5 Games94%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.590%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing:settled
Contested- Match Winner65%
- Map 2 Winner62%
- Map 1 Winner57%
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)50%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
+3 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Globalsettled
Contested- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Color (+3.5)53%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
- O/U 2.5 Games47%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
- Map 1 Winner40%
+4 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing:settled
Contested- O/U 2.5 Games99%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)90%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)90%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Match Winner40%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3)settled
Clear favourite- Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)69%
- O/U 2.5 Games51%
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)50%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)50%
- Map 2 Winner35%
+18 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled September 4, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Map 2 Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 51% | — |
Match Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 40% | $109.1K |
Map 1 Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 33% | $1K |
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | Polymarket | 51% | $39 |
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 42/100 · Developing Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 20/30 | $110.2K in comparable USD-reported volume. Log-scaled: $1k scores 0, while $1M+ maxes the component. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
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Key takeaways
- Final market read: Match Winner at 40% implied probability on Polymarket.
- The attributed event snapshot reports $110K in venue-native volume before close.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 40% implied probability for Match Winner on Polymarket.
The market's final read
The market never fully made up its mind: Match Winner closed at just 40%. The attributed event snapshot reports $110K in venue-native volume.
How the odds moved
The final tracked read was 40% for Match Winner. Implied probability is the attributed venue listing's price read as a percentage. It repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN?
The market closed with Match Winner at 40% implied probability on Polymarket. That was W.E.T.'s final attributed listing observation before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 40% for Match Winner. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/counter-strike-team-nemesis-vs-1win-bo3-nodwin-clutch-series-playoffs-odds-2026-09-02?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=counter-strike-team-nemesis-vs-1win-bo3-nodwin-clutch-series-playoffs-odds-2026-09-02">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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