Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing:
By Corbin King · Updated September 2, 2026
As of September 2, 2026, the prediction market implies a 40% chance of Match Winner on Polymarket, with $237.3K in venue-reported volume.
Implied probability snapshot
Market favorite
Match Winner — market favorite
Polymarket · $237.3K reported volume
40%
Implied
Venue listing
View the live market on Polymarket
This W.E.T. observation is dated. Open Polymarket to verify later availability and price changes.
Driving coverage
Open the Newsroom →The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Counter-Strike
8 categories priced
Still contested
7
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN
Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN
Contested- Map 2 Winner51%
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)51%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)50%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Black Phoenix vs Infinite (BO3) -
Contested- O/U 2.5 Games52%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 1 Winner49%
- Match Winner45%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
DENDELE CS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM
Contested- Match Winner59%
- Map 2 Winner57%
- Map 1 Winner55%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM
Contested- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
- Map 2 Winner97%
- O/U 2.5 Games94%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.590%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing:
Contested- Match Winner65%
- Map 2 Winner62%
- Map 1 Winner57%
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)50%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
+3 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global
Contested- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Color (+3.5)53%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
- O/U 2.5 Games47%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
- Map 1 Winner40%
+4 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing:
Contested- O/U 2.5 Games99%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)90%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)90%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Match Winner40%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3)
Clear favourite- Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)69%
- O/U 2.5 Games51%
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)50%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5)50%
- Map 2 Winner35%
+18 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Fetched venue snapshot — market navigation
One cached fetch of the venue-attributed rows W.E.T. matched to this event. Filter the returned rows by type; this panel does not poll, subscribe, or claim exhaustive venue coverage.
Odds — dated market snapshotas of September 2, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Match Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 40% | $93.6K |
Map 2 Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 1% | $38.1K |
O/U 2.5 Games Totals | Polymarket | 99% | $174 |
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | Polymarket | 90% | $20 |
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | Polymarket | 90% | — |
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | Polymarket | 90% | — |
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Polymarket | 10% | $20 |
Implied probability = the venue’s YES price read as a percentage at capture. This is a dated observation; use the attributed venue link, when available, to verify later changes.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the September 2, 2026 snapshot · 46/100 · Developing Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 24/30 | $237.3K in comparable USD-reported volume. Log-scaled: $1k scores 0, while $1M+ maxes the component. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
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Key takeaways
- One tracked Polymarket listing prices Match Winner at 40% implied probability.
- Polymarket reports $237K in venue-native event volume.
- This is implied probability from venue prices observed as of Wednesday, September 2 — not a tip or a forecast of the result.
Prediction markets make Match Winner the favorite in Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, pricing the outcome at 40% implied probability on Polymarket as of Wednesday, September 2. Here is the dated market read.
What the prediction market is pricing
Across 14 tracked market rows, Polymarket reports $237K in venue-native event volume. Match Winner leads at 40%, a slight edge. It currently trades on Polymarket; any related listing on another venue remains separate until identity is confirmed.
How sports markets like this settle
Sports markets resolve on the game itself — a final result, a score line, a player total. The implied probability is what traders are collectively paying for each outcome, repriced live as lineups, injuries, and in-game events land.
What could move it
Team news and injuries, roster and lineup changes, weather for outdoor games, and the way the line drifts from open to close as sharp money arrives are what move these prices. Because real money is on the line, the price reprices quickly around these catalysts — which is what makes 40% a live estimate rather than a settled call.
Reading the number
A contract at 40¢ implies a 40% chance the market resolves YES: a dated venue observation of implied probability, not a forecast or a tip from W.E.T. The figure above is a snapshot as of Wednesday, September 2; odds move continuously, so open Polymarket for the current line.
Track this and every Sports market on the live Event Dashboard, or browse all Sports odds & probability. For the mechanics, see the prediction markets guide.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs?
As of Wednesday, September 2, Polymarket price Match Winner at 40% implied probability. Implied probability is the market's YES price read as a percentage; it moves continuously, so check the live venue for the current line.
What is the probability of Match Winner?
The prediction market implies a 40% chance of Match Winner on Polymarket as of Wednesday, September 2 — that is what traders are collectively pricing, not a forecast from W.E.T.
What is the difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket odds?
This dated observation includes Polymarket. A second venue listing is shown separately until W.E.T. confirms same-outcome equivalence.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These are dated venue observations shown as implied probability — a record of what traders were collectively paying at the stated time, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
Markets & sources
Related topics
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Should You Use?
A market-native comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket: regulation, funding rails, coverage, fees, liquidity, settlement, and which platform fits your trading.
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/counter-strike-3dmax-vs-heroic-bo3-iem-beijing-global-qualifier-playoffs-odds-2026-09-02?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=counter-strike-3dmax-vs-heroic-bo3-iem-beijing-global-qualifier-playoffs-odds-2026-09-02">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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