The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Friday, September 4, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Match Winner up 51 pts to 77%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Match Winner · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Wildwood · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
American Doctor · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Max Martin · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Morgan Wallen · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
25 bps increase · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
October Meeting · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 77%
Sports · Aziz Dougaz 51%
Sports · Arthur Gea 58%
Sports · Coleman Wong 68%
Sports · Qinwen Zheng 75%
Sports · Mary Stoiana 52%
Sports · Lloyd Harris 64%
Sports · Botic Van de Zandschulp 66%
Sports · Liam Draxl 55%
Sports · Atlanta 61%
Market snapshots
Carlos Alcaraz · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Aryna Sabalenka · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
December 31, 2026 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Andy Ruiz Jr. · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
December 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Democrats Sweep · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Linke · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- US diesel prices hit an all-time-high — BBC
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 4 at 4:18AM CDT until September 5 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO — National Weather Service
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 4 at 4:18AM CDT until September 8 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO — National Weather Service
- President Javier Milei says ‘winds of change’ support Argentina’s claim to Falkland Islands — The Guardian
- Nvidia's investments grow to $99 billion as chip giant becomes major backer of AI companies — CNBC
- Why England wing Caluori played on with detached wrist ligament — BBC
- After Fighting Russia Fiercely, He Wants to Forge Ukraine’s Path to Peace — New York Times
- Europe targeted by spiralling campaign of sabotage and Russia is the chief suspect — BBC
- Notre Dame’s Jersey Patch Deal With SoFi Divides Alumni and Fans — New York Times
- Flood Warning issued September 3 at 4:21AM CDT until September 3 at 6:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued September 3 at 4:05AM CDT until September 3 at 6:15AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued September 3 at 3:29AM CDT until September 3 at 5:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.