The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Friday, July 24, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Washington up 45 pts to 99%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Washington · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Decrease · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↓ 62,500 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↓ $90 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Aleksandr Shevchenko · Kalshi + Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
200-219 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Connecticut · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
August 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Daniel Merida 61%
Sports · Match Winner 51%
Sports · Match Winner 56%
Sports · Match Winner 22%
Sports · Match Winner 25%
Sports · Match Winner 43%
Sports · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 59%
Sports · Match Winner 70%
Sports · Chicago C 52%
Sports · Oleksandra Oliynykova 58%
Market snapshots
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Miami Heat · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
New Rihanna Album · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Major fire after Ukrainian strike on St Petersburg warehouse — Al Jazeera
- US and Iran trade more strikes in Gulf as fears of escalation mount — BBC
- Mykhailo Drapatyi: Can new Ukraine army chief alter Russia war’s direction? — Al Jazeera
- Is the Amaury Family, Owners of the Tour de France, Hurting Cycling? — New York Times
- Trump ramps up threats of major operations in Iran — The Hill
- Trump to speak at White House press dinner rescheduled after shooting — The Guardian
- Amish Shah Wins Democratic Primary in Swing Arizona House District — New York Times
- Shah defeats House Democrats' pick for battleground Arizona House seat — The Hill
- Cassidy cites autism website change in support of CDC nominee — The Hill
- Kakao taps Circle to explore won stablecoin payment infrastructure — Cointelegraph
- Hedge funds circle UK stocks as new PM Andy Burnham pledges 'new economic model' — CNBC
- 'Let's enjoy the ride' says Elon Musk, as AI fears mount — BBC
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.