Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST
By Corbin V King · Updated July 25, 2026
Final prediction market odds for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST: Match Winner closed at 56% implied probability on Polymarket…
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Counter-Strike
2 categories priced
Still contested
2
inside 15 points
Tightest
+1
Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST
Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLASTsettled
Contested- Map 2 Winner75%
- O/U 2.5 Games74%
- Match Winner56%
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)56%
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
- Map 1 Winner1%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLASTsettled
Contested- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)54%
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)50%
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
- O/U 2.5 Games41%
- Map 1 Winner34%
+4 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled July 25, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Match Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 56% | $736.8K |
Map 2 Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 75% | $276.6K |
Map 1 Winner Moneyline | Polymarket | 1% | $222.8K |
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) | Polymarket | 1% | $123.3K |
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5) | Polymarket | 1% | $9.8K |
O/U 2.5 Games Totals | Polymarket | 74% | $4K |
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5) | Polymarket | 56% | $3.5K |
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Polymarket | 48% | $1.4K |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 20/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 0/30 | No positive venue-reported volume was available at snapshot time. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 0/15 | 0 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
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Key takeaways
- Final market read: Match Winner at 56% implied probability on Polymarket.
- No attributable venue-native volume is published for this observation.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 56% implied probability for Match Winner on Polymarket.
The market's final read
The market never fully made up its mind: Match Winner closed at just 56%. No attributable venue-native volume is published for this observation.
How the odds moved
The final tracked read was 56% for Match Winner. Implied probability is the market's price read as a percentage — a live, venue-attributed estimate that repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST?
The market closed with Match Winner at 56% implied probability on Polymarket. That was the final venue-attributed read before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 56% for Match Winner. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
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How Prediction Market Odds Work: Reading Prices as Probabilities
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