The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, July 23, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Washington up 45 pts to 99%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Washington · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Aleksandr Shevchenko · Kalshi + Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Connecticut · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
France · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Benjamin Netanyahu · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ $90 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Troy Jackson · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
The Signal Sheet
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Anna Bondar 71%
Sports · Petra Marcinko 63%
Sports · Match Winner 9%
Sports · Match Winner 40%
Sports · Match Winner 69%
Sports · Titouan Droguet 56%
Sports · Paula Badosa 86%
Sports · Oleksandra Oliynykova 56%
Sports · Panna Udvardy 55%
Sports · Jesper De Jong 54%
Market snapshots
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Miami Heat · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
New Rihanna Album · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Amish Shah Wins Democratic Primary in Swing Arizona House District — New York Times
- Shah defeats House Democrats' pick for battleground Arizona House seat — The Hill
- Kakao taps Circle to explore won stablecoin payment infrastructure — Cointelegraph
- Hedge funds circle UK stocks as new PM Andy Burnham pledges 'new economic model' — CNBC
- Badenoch says Burnham’s ambitions for Britain are ‘too small’ after business rates cut for pub and clubs in England – UK politics live — The Guardian
- No men's Ashes Test in north of England - full 2027 schedule — BBC
- Business rates to be cut by 20% for pubs, clubs and music venues in England — The Guardian
- A New Target for Ukraine’s Long-Range Attacks: Russia’s Version of Amazon — New York Times
- Russia’s Amazon-style retail giant Wildberries is now in Ukraine’s crosshairs. Here's why — CNBC
- Russia's businesses under strain from Ukraine's attacks on Wildberries — BBC
- Arsenal defender Saliba sidelined for ‘extended period’ due to back injury — Al Jazeera
- Rubio says Iran ‘begging’ for a deal with US but not ready to make one — Al Jazeera
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.