The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Washington up 45 pts to 99%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Washington · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Aleksandr Shevchenko · Kalshi + Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Connecticut · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ 140m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
France · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
August 15 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Troy Jackson · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 22%
Sports · Match Winner 57%
Sports · Match Winner 33%
Sports · Luciano Darderi 64%
Sports · Thiago Agustin Tirante 61%
Sports · Nuno Borges 68%
Sports · Alexander Bublik 70%
Sports · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 54%
Sports · Raphael Collignon 65%
Sports · Yannick Hanfmann 64%
Market snapshots
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Miami Heat · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
New Rihanna Album · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- World’s largest meat company faces legal challenge over green credentials of $6bn global expansion — The Guardian
- Trump ally pledges to ‘work with people’ he disagrees with after Arizona primary win – US politics live — The Guardian
- 6 Takeaways From Arizona’s Tense, Trump-Dominated Primaries — New York Times
- Republicans eye Arizona comeback with Hobbs-Biggs governor matchup: Primary takeaways — The Hill
- Transport secretary quizzed on bus fare change — BBC
- Trump ally wins Republican primary for Arizona governor, setting up race against Katie Hobbs — The Guardian
- US ‘open’ to negotiations with Iran but Tehran not ‘serious’, Rubio says — Al Jazeera
- Iran, Gulf hit as Hormuz, Bab al-Mandeb close: What’s the latest? — Al Jazeera
- Iran toll in Hormuz would set ‘dangerous precedent’ says Rubio — Al Jazeera
- Wistron shares surge in Taiwan after opening of Texas AI superchip plant to supply Nvidia — CNBC
- Stanton fends off progressive House challenger in Arizona Democratic primary — The Hill
- Most bus fares in England to be capped at £2 from January — BBC
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.