The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Washington up 45 pts to 99%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Washington · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Argentina · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Aleksandr Shevchenko · Kalshi + Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
120-125m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Connecticut · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Kylian Mbappe · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Heavyweight · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 5%
Sports · Boston 54%
Sports · Los Angeles D 51%
Sports · Cleveland 55%
Sports · Atlanta 66%
Sports · Milwaukee 59%
Sports · Houston 53%
Sports · San Diego 52%
Sports · Detroit 51%
Sports · Seattle 60%
Market snapshots
Spain · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Kylian Mbappe · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Spain · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Miami Heat · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Tennis players must take sex test to play on women's tour under new WTA policy — BBC
- Women’s tennis players must take one-time gene test for eligibility — Al Jazeera
- Can Arizona Republicans Stop Feuding Long Enough to Win Back the State? — New York Times
- TSMC is accelerating Arizona factory buildout to capitalize on AI 'megatrend,' CFO says — CNBC
- Iran vows not a ‘single drop’ of oil or gas will pass strait of Hormuz as US carries out ninth night of strikes – Middle East crisis live — The Guardian
- Paying cash without pennies is confusing. That could soon change — The Hill
- Pentagon Withheld Dozens of U.S. Military Injuries in Iran War — New York Times
- What does Iran’s attack on Kuwait infrastructure mean for Gulf? — Al Jazeera
- Trump: Latest strikes on Iran ‘in honour’ of killed US military personnel — Al Jazeera
- Bezos backs CuspAI as startup teams up with Nvidia to hunt for chipmaking materials — CNBC
- Maine Democrats rally around Troy Jackson to replace Graham Platner in crucial Senate race – US politics live — The Guardian
- Troy Jackson on glidepath to Maine Senate nomination — The Hill
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.